We're seeing a not so unexpected bounce in Treasuries, which could potetially see the 10Y yield back at the 1.50% level as early as today. Having said that, on the monthly timeframe, we're looking at an RSI of 53, so we still have room to run, potentially to the 2% - 2.25% level by EOM. Let's see how the cookie crumbles as bond bears potentially get ready to take...
- Welcome to the final trading day of Q1, folks! Futures were relatively flat in the overnight session ahead of Biden's long awaited Infrastructure announcement today, which should see a proposal in the realm of $2.25 Trillion tackle roads, bridges, and the EV market, among others. I have no idea why the Biden administration would raise taxes to pay for it, since...
The real question is what happens when we hit 2%? Will the bond market (and stock market) implode? Will the Fed step in with YCC? Something tells me we won't have to wait much longer. Hold on to your hats in April, the 10Y note won't see real support until the 128 level (we're currenty trading around 131...
9:12AM - Market preview: - Yesterday's PA looked like a buy-back fueled spending fest, with corporations spending as much on buy-backs as they did pre-COVID. I guess somethings never change, or do they? The Ponzi appears to be alive and well (for now). Don't you just love it when individual investors have next to no control over PA? However, this morning, the S&P...
TVC:US10Y Out of the long trade for now, looking for growth stock entry.
The price of US Ultra T-Bonds have fallen below a key level of 180.00 (Trading view's instrument is decimalised and shows 18000), this is on the rise of US longer dated yields approaching nearly 2.5%. The 30 Year Rate is projected to reach 2.75% and even 3%, based on rising inflation as the US economy is expected to rival that of China's growth in 2021 - around...
After a near 50% crash over just 5 days, GameStop (GME) is seeing heavy support at the 21 day EMA, and we're back at a 222 handle. My play here would be to exclusively short GME when we see the upper band of the flag tested near 300+. But, to be honest, with risk so incredibly sporadic, and flows (and price) essentially blurred by MM and Fed manipulation, I'm...
This is the U.S. Government Bond 30Y Yield from 1988 until today. I chose this hyper long-term chart on the 1M (monthly) time-frame as with bonds being the talk of the month as for reasons that may move stocks, Gold etc lower, I wanted to get a good understanding of what the real long-term picture is. This illustrates a clear and standard Channel Down. I have...
Hello. This is my overnight setup for the weekend. I wanted to hold short or open long equities rather than bonds but it's not feasible at the moment. Unfortunately this is posted after market close, but will serve as a journal for how poorly/fantastically I play it. A funky strangle, with a 1:1:1 ratio: Mar 19 +140C @ 0.65 Mar 19 +135P @ 1.45 Apr 16 +100P...
📌 ridethepig | Game, Set and Match! In order to inform ourselves about the dangers of this move, we shall in what follows point to a few live charts which we called live together from 2019 that the 2s5s was going to invert frantically , and was a bad sign. It enables occupation of the dominos, which for those following long enough will know the one thing...
Yields increasing in 5, 10, 20, and 30 yr. 30 yr yield is already above pre-COVID levels.
Despite Stocks heading higher, 30 Year Yields are also climbing about to hit 2% - a level they were last at in Feb 2020. US CPI prints this week will be very interesting to see if the momentum continues
Jaw is getting bigger and bigger.
The bond market can be quite tricky. In terms of yield curves consider the following: Bear steepening Bull Steepening Bear Flattening Bull Flattening > Steepening (the premium for longer debt is growing) > Flattening (the premium is shrinking) For example, bull steepening, which is exactly what we have been doing this since the start of this...
📌 Endgame in the economic cycle and illustrating a painful recession Yields had the opportunity to move and successfully played the 'elastic band' rejection from the inversion in 2019, which despite the length of the global CB combination, can be expressed in no other terms than reckless. FED was obviously aiming for the ideal position (the frontal defence from...
neat chart, dont get to see a breakout like this on 30y gov bonds very often...
Due to Covid 19 the US30Y has drop. When things gets back to normal, should we expect an increase ?
The U.S. 10 Yr. Yield Jumped over 5.2 BP to +7% , following a full in prices post debate. This is the highest since sept 18th.