I would be looking for reversal patterns on the ES and the Russe7 1 25 I made a few mistakes naming some of the markets but if you can deal with that then I explain what my concerns are regarding some of the patterns. most of the trades that I posted as trading opportunities have moved higher and did not require large stops. I spent time on a certain pattern that I don't really talk about but it influenced my Trading and gives me caution not to stay in a market to Long.... and I tried to use the the gold and the silver because I really am tied into those markets and I'm concerned about a pattern on the gold that is actually giving a signal to be long but I'm still concerned about it and I tried to articulate that in the video.... it's about the concept of what that pattern represents to me..... and incorrect or the market trades differently it's not a big deal..... the irony in the video is that I tried to show that pattern thinking that I was in a certain Market and I had the wrong Market..... the only thing I would say is there's a certain pattern and they think Gold's a very good example and will give me a chance to talk about it in a couple of days and I want to see if it actually can make a new high which I am concerned about because I want that new high to sell some of my goal but I want a good price and it's a large amount.... and I'm not doing this to be egotistical or trying to prove a point.... I'm willing to show something that's actually going on and I'm willing to talk about it. a number of people are entering in my trades which is perfectly fine and they try to make statements in my videos that require that you go back and reevaluate those videos to see what happened and that's the best way to learn. I stopped looking at other people's charting mostly because I'm happy with what I do but also when people chart something and project a Target but never do anything else to help you determine if that projection was correct that's not of any value. if you can find somebody who finds an entry and tells you what it is or that it's about to happen and that person does a video on it which he cannot change so that even though you don't see the actual trade the market trades in the direction and has reversals that are outlined before they happen that's the best way to trade it completes the cycle of trading.... and the beautiful thing is if you post it you can't erase it.... that's how you can learn effectively if you go back and create the patterns that were shown to you previously.
X-indicator
USDJPY FXAN & Heikin Ashi exampleIn this video, I’ll be sharing my analysis of USDJPY, using FXAN's proprietary algo indicators with my unique Heikin Ashi strategy. I’ll walk you through the reasoning behind my trade setup and highlight key areas where I’m anticipating potential opportunities.
I’m always happy to receive any feedback.
Like, share and comment! ❤️
Thank you for watching my videos! 🙏
I love a fresh daily structure break, here's why.......All the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!!
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BellRing Brands (BRBR) - Gartley Pattern + Kijun ConfluenceBellRing Brands (BRBR) Stock Analysis ( video version ):
In March 2025, I previously took a look at this budding public company BellRing Brands, Inc. for a long-term investment horizon. It was priced around 74 at the time, then the fall of the overall market status put additional pressure on its stock, although the company itself is booming and meets my fundamental parameters.
Since then, we had an awesome and confident forward guidance from the company in the last earnings call in May 2025: bellring.com/news/bellring-brands-reports-results-second-quarter-2025-affirms.
Now, looking at BellRing Brands (BRBR) once again, on a weekly chart, key technical patterns have formed that look very promising and solid with its many confluences.
TECHNICALS:
WEEKLY:
Many weekly confluences have appeared from a technical perspective. Here is what I see:
(1) There is a clear Bullish Gartley-ish pattern in a weekly retracement to 50% followed by a retracement to 78.6% of a preceding move.
(2) The price is around 78% fib support.
(3) Horizontal area of support: The 50 - 58 area is a whole prior area of horizontal support that was a prior resistance area back in July 2024, and the price has landed back on that area. You know what we say as technicians and investors: past resistance = future support.
(4) MACD Hidden Bullish Divergence (weekly)
(5) The price tested the weekly cloud and broke through; however, bullish extremes were triggered when that happen, which is rare based on all my personal studies. In fact, the current level 55-58 marks the end of a bearish double top cycle that began around March 2025.
(6) A weekly Doji with volume support (classified as a "dVa" in my old notes of Volume Price Analysis).
Here is the weekly chart:
MONTHY:
BRBR is poised to rally Q3 and Q4 2025.
We have a potential monthly bounce of the kijun forthcoming along with good fundamentals going forward supporting the growth of the company in the long term.
** potential monthly Kijun Trend Bounce **
Here is the monthly chart:
Target:
Currently, the price is 58.54. My tentative target is around 140 by March 2026.
Thus, with all the fundamental support, good forward-looking guidance, and the technical I believe that BellRing Brands (BRBR) is at a great price right now. It is prime to continue its stretch of growth for 2025. Looking forward with investor foresight, the case for BellRing Brands and its stock (BRBR) is not only a high-probability outlook of positivity, but a high odds outcome of technical price pattern success. What a great discount.... :)
GOLD 45MINTHE month of july 1 Key Economic Outlook ;
Central Bank Speeches
(1)The bank of England head (BOE) Gov Bailey might speak in context on BOE 4.25% rate cut ,uk inflation about 3.45% is still above limit and the goal is 2%.my focus will be on his rhetoric's ,if he sounds dovish or Hawkish tones, then GBP will react to the sentiment.
(2)Bank of japan (BOJ) Gov Ueda will center on rate held steady at 0.5% and core inflation remains above 2%,market will watch the sentiment because its likely he will address yield -curve control adjustments or hawkish signals , which will potentially boost JPY AND JP10Y
the head of united states Fed reserve Chair, sir! Powell will speak and it comes with red folder ,the last monetary policy meeting kept Fed funds rate at 4.25–4.50% ,Powell recently emphasized patience on rate cuts based on cautious wait and see approach
Key Messages Expected:
Tariff-driven inflation risks require vigilance.
Rate cuts unlikely until September unless inflation cools markedly.
"No urgency" to ease policy amid solid labor market.
US Economic Data Releases
Final Manufacturing PMI 52.0 52.0 Neutral if unchanged; USD positive if >52.0.
ISM Manufacturing PMI 48.8 48.5 Contractionary (<50); USD negative if <48.5.
JOLTS Job Openings 7.32M 7.39M USD negative if <7.32M (labor cooling).
ISM Manufacturing Prices 69.6 69.4 USD positive if >69.6 (inflationary pressure).
Construction Spending -0.2% -0.4% Limited impact unless significantly below forecast.
Market Implications
USD: Powell’s tone is critical. Hawkish remarks (delayed cuts) could lift DXY; dovish hints may weaken it. Data surprises (especially ISM/JOLTS) could amplify volatility.
GBP/JPY: Bailey/Ueda speeches may drive cross-pairs. BOJ hawkishness could weaken EUR/JPY carry trades.
Risk Assets: Weak ISM/JOLTS data may pressure equities (US30) and boost bonds (↓US10Y).
Summary of Key Risks
Powell Speech: Reiteration of "no imminent cuts" likely. Watch for tariff-inflation warnings.
ISM/JOLTS: Sustained manufacturing contraction or softer labor demand could fuel recession fears.
Carry Trades: JPY strength (Ueda) may pressure EUR/JPY/AUD if BOJ signals policy shift.
#gold #fx
GOLD XAUUSD THE month of july 1 Key Economic Outlook ;
Central Bank Speeches
(1)The bank of England head (BOE) Gov Bailey might speak in context on BOE 4.25% rate cut ,uk inflation about 3.45% is still above limit and the goal is 2%.my focus will be on his rhetoric's ,if he sounds dovish or Hawkish tones, then GBP will react to the sentiment.
(2)Bank of japan (BOJ) Gov Ueda will center on rate held steady at 0.5% and core inflation remains above 2%,market will watch the sentiment because its likely he will address yield -curve control adjustments or hawkish signals , which will potentially boost JPY AND JP10Y
the head of united states Fed reserve Chair, sir! Powell will speak and it comes with red folder ,the last monetary policy meeting kept Fed funds rate at 4.25–4.50% ,Powell recently emphasized patience on rate cuts based on cautious wait and see approach
Key Messages Expected:
Tariff-driven inflation risks require vigilance.
Rate cuts unlikely until September unless inflation cools markedly.
"No urgency" to ease policy amid solid labor market.
US Economic Data Releases
Final Manufacturing PMI 52.0 52.0 Neutral if unchanged; USD positive if >52.0.
ISM Manufacturing PMI 48.8 48.5 Contractionary (<50); USD negative if <48.5.
JOLTS Job Openings 7.32M 7.39M USD negative if <7.32M (labor cooling).
ISM Manufacturing Prices 69.6 69.4 USD positive if >69.6 (inflationary pressure).
Construction Spending -0.2% -0.4% Limited impact unless significantly below forecast.
Market Implications
USD: Powell’s tone is critical. Hawkish remarks (delayed cuts) could lift DXY; dovish hints may weaken it. Data surprises (especially ISM/JOLTS) could amplify volatility.
GBP/JPY: Bailey/Ueda speeches may drive cross-pairs. BOJ hawkishness could weaken EUR/JPY carry trades.
Risk Assets: Weak ISM/JOLTS data may pressure equities (US30) and boost bonds (↓US10Y).
Summary of Key Risks
Powell Speech: Reiteration of "no imminent cuts" likely. Watch for tariff-inflation warnings.
ISM/JOLTS: Sustained manufacturing contraction or softer labor demand could fuel recession fears.
Carry Trades: JPY strength (Ueda) may pressure EUR/JPY/AUD if BOJ signals policy shift.
#gold #xauusd #gbp #jpy
Review and plan for 1st July 2025Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
swing idea - trent
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Tron (TRX): Buyers Are Getting Ready For Breakout | +40% ComingTron coin is seeing a decent volume of buys recently, and we are still expecting to see a volatile breakout, which would give us an opening and potential of 40% movement from here, so we wait for BREAK OF STRUCTURE.
More in-depth info is in the video—enjoy!
Swallow Team
Velocity Market Conditions Explained.There are 6 primary upside Market Conditions. Currently the stock market is in a Velocity Market Condition where price and runs are controlled by retail investors, retail swing traders, retail day traders and the huge group of Small Funds Managers using VWAP ORDERS to buy shares of stock with an automated systematic buy order trigger when the volume in that stock starts to rise. The more volume in a stock the faster the VWAP order will trigger.
You task is to study Dark Pool hidden and quiet accumulation bottoming formations to be ready for the Velocity Market Condition that always follows.
Price is a primary indicator.
Volume is a primary Indicator.
These are the most important indicators in your trading charting software tools.
The next most important indicator is Large lot versus Small lot indicators which are NOT based on volume but more complex formulations.
HFTs use algorithms, AI, social media discussions etc.
To ride the Velocity wave upward, you must enter the stock before the run upward.
Learning to read charts as easily takes practice and experience.
The benefit is the ability to forecast with a very high degree of accuracy what that stock will due in terms of rising profits, over the next few days or longer.
Candlesticks have many new candle patterns that have just developed in the past couple of years. The stock market is evolving at a fast pace and the internal market structure that you can't see is only visible in the candlesticks, large lot vs small lot indicators, and other semi professional to professional level tools for analyzing stocks.
The stock market is changing and becoming far more tiered with more off exchange transactions. Learn to read charts so that you can trade with higher confidence and higher revenues.
Litecoin (LTC): Break of Resistance | Buyers DominatingLitecoin is showing signs of a possible bounce that we might be taking very soon. While we had a successful breakout here, we also see with the current retest price showing signs of recovery, where buyers are not giving the current zone away easily.
More in-depth info is in the video—enjoy!
Swallow Academy
XAUUSD I Trade Update Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** XAUUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
AUDUSDAUD/USD Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.6530–0.6550
Slightly bearish near-term bias amid RBA rate cut expectations
Australia 10-Year Government Bond Yield
Current Yield: 4.15% (as of June 30, 2025)
Rose 0.01 percentage points from the previous session.
Reflects market reaction to RBA policy and global trade uncertainty.
Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Rate
Current Cash Rate: 3.85% (lowest in two years)
Cut by 25 bps in May 2025 to combat slowing growth and align with 2–3% inflation targets.
Markets price a 90% probability of another 25 bps cut in July 2025.
US Federal Reserve (Fed) Rate
Current Federal Funds Rate: 4.25–4.50%
Unchanged since December 2024; held steady at the June 18, 2025, meeting.
Fed signaled potential for two 25 bps cuts in late 2025 (September/December), contingent on inflation cooling.
Key Implications
Rate Differential:
RBA-Fed spread: –0.40% to –0.65% (AUD negative), pressuring AUD/USD.
Australia’s 10Y yield premium over US 10Y (~4.26%) is –0.11%, reducing AUD carry appeal.
AUD/USD Drivers:
RBA Easing: Expected July cut may weaken AUD further.
Fed Patience: Delayed cuts sustain USD strength.
Yield Sensitivity: Narrowing yield spreads limit AUD upside.
In summary:
AUD/USD trades near 0.6530–0.6550, pressured by RBA-Fed policy divergence and narrowing yield spreads. The RBA’s dovish path (3.85% rate, July cut expected) contrasts with the Fed’s hold at 4.25–4.50%, sustaining USD strength. Australia’s 10Y yield at 4.15% offers minimal premium over US Treasuries, limiting AUD support.
#AUDUSD
Weekly trading plan for BitcoinLast week price action showed a local correction before reaching the first target. This week, we may see a deeper pullback before the next targets are hit and ATH is revisited. In this idea I marked the important levels for this week
Write a comment with your coins & hit the like button and I will make an analysis for you
The author's opinion may differ from yours,
Consider your risks.
Wish you successful trades ! mura
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-30-25 : Gap Potential PatternToday's pattern suggests the SPY will attempt to create a GAP at the open. It looks like the markets may attempt to move higher as the SPY is already nearly 0.35% higher as I type.
Last week was very exciting as we watched the QQQ and the SPY break into new All-Time Highs.
I suspect the markets will continue a bit of a rally into the early Q2 earnings season where retail traders attempt to prepare for the strong technology/innovation/AI earnings data (like last quarter).
I do believe this rally is due for a pullback. I've highlighted this many times in the past. Typically, price does not go straight up or straight down. There are usually multiple pullbacks in a trend.
So, at this point, the markets are BULLISH, but I still want to warn you to stay somewhat cautious of a pullback in the near future (maybe something news-related).
Gold and Silver should start to move higher over the next 5-10+ days, with gold trying to rally back above $3450. I see Gold in a solid FLAGGING formation that is moving closer to the APEX pattern.
Bitcoin is nearing a make-or-break volatility point. I see BTCUSD breaking downward, but it could break into a very volatile phase where it attempts to rally (with the QQQ through earnings), then collapse later in July. We'll see how things play out.
Remember, tomorrow morning I have a doctor's appointment. So I may or may not get a morning video done. FYI.
Get some today.
Toncoin (TON): One Good Long Position Can Be Taken HereToncoin has a good chance of a breakout happening soon, where we are seeing a good 7:1 RR trade that can be taken on bigger timeframes. Toncoin is one of the coins that we think has yet to reveal its potential ATH....
More in-depth info is in the video—enjoy!
Swallow Academy
Bitcoin UpdateWe’re back looking at the #Bitcoin chart. While BTC stays above the 55-day MA (currently at 101,116), we remain overall bullish. But here’s the catch:
🔍 What I’m watching:
• The MACD is still below zero — no clear buy signal yet.
• The RSI is encouraging (above 50), but…
• 📉 No surge in volume = caution.
• DMI also not giving a strong green light.
👉 So, we might need more consolidation before the next leg higher. Patience is key!
If BTC clears these highs?
🎯 I’d target ~114,000 (top of the long-term channel since 2021).
For now, staying positive but waiting for that volume confirmation. 💪
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