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BITCOIN PREDICTION: CRASH WILL STOP HERE!!!? (nobody watching) Yello Paradisers! In this video, I'm sharing with you the ultra-line time frame perspective. We are analyzing the channel and the Elliott Wave Theory on a high time frame chart. I'm sharing with you how the ABC correction is finished. We are going through the Bitcoin CME futures gap or medium time frame. I'm sharing with you the Fibonacci time zone, the Elliott Wave count, and the confirmations we are waiting for to start in your positions. Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable. Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader. Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
Short
by MyCryptoParadise
8
All eyes on the PCE todayWatching the US dollar reaction carefully today. TVC:DXY MARKETSCOM:DOLLARINDEX Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 75.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
MARKETSCOM:DOLLARINDEX
by Marketscom
USDJPYUSDJPY recent strength is largely driven by the significant interest rate differential and divergent monetary policies between the US Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan. The carry trade remains a vital market driver, and future movements will closely track shifts in Fed/BoJ policy signals and economic data. THE USDJPY trade directional bias wont be complete without the understanding of the US10Y AND JB10Y,the central banks interest rate and the differentials on both the bond yield and interest rate. Federal fund rate is 4.25-4.5% united state government 10 year bondyield is 4.213% BANK OF JAPAN (BOJ RATE 0.5% JP10Y 1.601% INTEREST RATE DIFFERENTAL WILL BE 4.25%-0.5%= 3.75% BOND YIELD 4.213%-1.601%= 2.612% UNITED STATES ECONOMIC DATA REPORT TODAY AND DIRECTIONAL BIAS. Fed Interpretation of Economic Data (Greater vs. Lower Than Forecast) Core PCE Price Index (inflation measure):Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) is an economic measure of the total value of goods and services purchased by or for U.S. consumers, including households and nonprofit institutions serving households. It covers spending on durable goods (like vehicles and appliances), nondurable goods (like food and clothing), and services (like healthcare and transportation). The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), a department within the U.S. Commerce Department, is responsible for collecting, compiling, and reporting PCE data. They release the data monthly in their Personal Income and Outlays report, providing detailed information on consumer spending and income trends. Why PCE Matters to the Federal Reserve (Fed): PCE is critical because it represents about two-thirds of the U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP), making it a primary driver of economic activity and growth. The Fed closely monitors the PCE Price Index (PCEPI) or PCE inflation gauge, which tracks changes in consumer prices. The core PCE (excluding volatile food and energy prices) is the Fed's preferred inflation measure. By assessing PCE data, the Fed gauges inflationary pressures and consumer spending behavior, which are vital for setting appropriate monetary policy such as adjusting interest rates. Accurate PCE data helps the Fed balance its dual mandate to promote maximum employment and maintain stable prices, thereby influencing decisions that affect the U.S. economy's health and financial markets. Greater than forecast: Signals stronger inflationary pressures, increasing the likelihood the Fed will maintain or raise interest rates to contain inflation. Lower than forecast: Implies inflation is easing, which could encourage the Fed to pause rate hikes or consider rate cuts to support growth. Goods Trade Balance (deficit): Worse (larger deficit) than forecast: May indicate weaker domestic production and demand, potentially signaling slower economic growth. Better (smaller deficit) than forecast: Suggests stronger domestic manufacturing and trade balance, which can support rate stability or tightening. Personal Income & Spending: Higher than forecast: Reflects robust consumer demand and income growth, supporting economic expansion and upward pressure on inflation — possibly endorsing higher rates. Lower than forecast: Suggests softer consumer demand that may reduce inflation risks, supporting a more cautious or dovish Fed stance. Prelim Wholesale Inventories: Reflects business stock levels; significant deviations can signal changing demand expectations. Higher inventories might suggest slowing demand. Chicago PMI (manufacturing activity): Above forecast: Signifies stronger manufacturing sector, possibly bolstering rate hikes. Below forecast: Points to cooling manufacturing, possibly tempering Fed tightening plans. University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment & Inflation Expectations: Influences Fed’s view on future consumer behavior and inflation psychology. Higher inflation expectations may push for tighter policy. Core PCE Effect on FOMC Rate Decision The Core PCE Price Index is the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, excluding volatile food and energy prices. The Fed targets roughly 2% inflation; sustained readings above target pressure the Fed to raise or hold interest rates higher to rein in inflation. Conversely, Core PCE below or moving toward the target may allow the Fed to pause or ease rates Even small monthly changes (like the forecast of 0.3%) are scrutinized for trend direction to guide future policy. If Core PCE grows faster than forecast consistently, the Fed is more likely to signal tighter monetary policy in upcoming meetings. Summary: The Fed interprets stronger-than-expected inflation, income, and spending data as a green light to maintain or increase rates. Weaker data than forecasts could tilt the Fed toward a more accommodative stance. Core PCE, as the inflation benchmark, is the overriding influence on FOMC decisions. Market participants watch Core PCE closely as a key signal for rate hikes, holds, or cuts. TRADING IS 100% PROBABILTY AND KEY LEVEL CAN FAIL. MANAGE YOUR RISK FOCUS ON LOW RISK HIGH REWARD TRADES HUNTER MINDSET AND PRECISION IS KEY. GOODLUCK
Long
by Shavyfxhub
Indexes Pull Back – Is This the Entry You Missed? | SPX500 & HK5Most major indexes like SPX500 and HK50 have retraced about 50% of their recent gains, giving a second chance to those who missed the previous leg up. In this episode, I break down key support zones and share simple, high-probability triggers—range breakouts, engulfing candles, and fakeouts—to spot momentum shifts. 🔍 📍Remember: follow the trend, manage your risk, and no shorting here as it goes against HWC/MWC bias. ( Educational content only , not financial advice. Comment your favorite ticker for future analysis.)
PEPPERSTONE:HK50
by SkepticLab
1
Gold Futures | ADX Heating Up – Continuation or Trap at MH?Price has pushed away from the untested H4 FVG, showing strong bullish pressure. With ADX > 25 on the 15m and close to crossing on 1H/4H, momentum is shifting into trend mode. My watch: Break + retest of yesterday’s high and MH level for continuation longs. Only looking for shorts if liquidity sweeps above MH and we see strong rejection. Question is: do we run higher with ADX confirmation, or is this just a trap before a deeper pullback?
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz
Gold - This pattern just repeats!🚑Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) shifts bearish soon: 🔎Analysis summary: With the previous 10 year bullish cycle, Gold perfectly followed market structure. With this 10 year cycle, Gold is still perfectly respecting market structure. Overall, it becomes more and more likely that Gold creates a top formation with a bearish correction following soon. 📝Levels to watch: $3,500 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
TVC:GOLDShort
by SwingTraderPhilTV
5
ict conceptsTrading foreign currencies can be a challenging and potentially profitable opportunity for investors. However, before deciding to participate in the Forex market, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. Most importantly, do not invest money you cannot afford to lose. There is considerable exposure to risk in any foreign exchange transaction. Any transaction involving currencies involves risks including, but not limited to, the potential for changing political and/or economic conditions that may substantially affect the price or liquidity of a currency. Investments in foreign exchange speculation may also be susceptible to sharp rises and falls as the relevant market values fluctuate. The leveraged nature of Forex trading means that any market movement will have an equally proportional effect on your deposited funds. This may work against you as well as for you. Not only may investors get back less than they invested, but in the case of higher risk strategies, investors may lose the entirety of their investment. It is for this reason that when speculating in such markets it is advisable to use only risk capital.
FOREXCOM:NAS100
by SiyaVK
How to identify a Buy Side Dark Pool Platform Trend.Contrary to popular opinion. Dark Pools do rarely move price in huge runs up or down. The Giant Buy Side Institutions use ATS Venues called "Dark Pools of Liquidity" to ensure that they can control their price to the penny or half penny spread. You need to learn how to read the a stock chart as easily as reading a book. Buy Side Institutions price on daily charts will usually be very small candles. Some candles will be white, some will be doji's and some will be black. A black candle in a platform is not a sell short signal. Platforms are a narrow price range that has consistent highs and lows that you can draw a rectangle around. Typically a Platform has a very stable price action but the candles are very small and compact. This is the Buy Zone that Dark Pools create that can last 1 -3 months depending on the reason for the Buy Side Institutions accumulation. IF it is for an ETF development, then the accumulation will be faster a month or less. If the accumulation is due to the expectation that the company is going to have a strong earnings report, then the platform will tend to be 3 months in duration before HFTs gap and run the stock up on earnings news. Platforms are an important sideways trend that you need to be able to easily identify so that you can enter the stock before the earnings release and HFT gap up. The Platform is a trend that takes some study to be able to see but the time is worth it because often the gaps out of a platform can be huge OR there is a strong momentum run or velocity run that nets high profits with low risk.
NASDAQ:APPLong
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
1