SPX - Is it topping or setting up a for another run up?I hang up my trader title this week as I have been whooped by poor decision making in a choppy market. But here are my scenarios I will watch as we go. I can't help to think we are topping, but also see we are still in a strong bull market; it just has been harder to swing trade the daily.
Scenarios I’m Watching
Upside Continuation:
Buyers hold above the shaded zone (6,440–6,481) and press higher along the uptrend. A clean push above 6,532 would open the door to new highs, with the trend remaining intact as long as higher lows continue.
Sideways Chop:
Price keeps oscillating above and below the 6,440–6,481 range. This would extend consolidation and could frustrate swing traders, but it would also allow moving averages to tighten then smooth out and set the stage for another leg higher.
Deeper Pullback:
If the shaded zone and uptrend line break, the next levels to watch are the 20 EMA (~6,430) and the 50 SMA (~6,355). A dip into this area could still be a normal pullback within an uptrend, especially if buyers step in quickly as they’ve done in recent weeks.
Bearish Roll-Over:
If neither the 20 EMA nor the 50 SMA hold, a breakdown toward ~6,200 is possible. While not a technical correction percentage-wise, it would feel significant for anyone who entered near recent highs.
X-indicator
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Plan for 8th SEPTEMBER 2025 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Trading GOLD At All-Time Highs - 2 Methods for Profit TakingGold has broken out to all-time highs, leaving traders asking: “Where should I take profits when there’s no structure to target?”
In this video, I’ll walk you through two proven methods for setting profit targets when trading in uncharted territory:
🔹 Price Action & Technical Tools – measured moves, AB=CD patterns, Fibonacci extensions (127 & 1618), and wedge breakout projections.
🔹 Indicator-Based Exits – using RSI, stochastics, and volatility bands (Keltner Channels / Bollinger Bands) to identify exhaustion and exit signals.
You’ll learn:
✅ How to set profit targets without previous structure
✅ Why thinking like the “other trader” gives you an edge
✅ Why catching part of the move beats chasing the very top
If you have any questions or comments, please leave them below.
Akil
AI proves i was right about NVDAI used Gemini AI to alayze my previous videos and the results was as following: Fundamentally; the price wasat its fair value, and technically; the price was at a reversing point.
This is my thoughts and ideas about the stock, do your math before trading.
Good luck luck to you all
Markets Titan
JP225 Nikkei 225What is JP225?
The JP225, also known as the Nikkei 225, is a major stock market index in Japan. It tracks the performance of 225 of the largest and most liquid publicly traded companies listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE). The Nikkei 225 covers a wide array of sectors such as automotive (Toyota, Honda), technology (Sony, Panasonic), finance (Mitsubishi UFJ), consumer goods, and more. It is price-weighted, meaning the stocks with higher prices have a bigger influence on the index value, similar to the Dow Jones Industrial Average in the US.
The Nikkei 225 serves as a key barometer for the health of the Japanese economy and equity market performance.
How Does the JB10Y and BOJ Interest Rate Decision Affect the JP225?
1. Japan 10-Year Government Bond Yield (JB10Y)
The JB10Y yield reflects long-term borrowing costs and investor expectations on Japan’s economy and inflation.
Rising 10-year yields typically signal improving growth or inflation expectations, which can be positive for equities like the Nikkei if higher yields reflect stronger economic prospects.
However, higher yields also increase financing costs for companies, which may weigh on profit margins and stock prices if the rise is rapid or caused by inflation worries.
Falling yields can indicate economic pessimism or deflation fears, which usually weigh on the Nikkei due to adverse growth expectations.
2. Bank of Japan (BOJ) Interest Rate
BOJ’s interest rate policy primarily influences short-term rates and liquidity in the Japanese economy.
Japan has historically maintained very low or even negative interest rates to stimulate economic growth and combat deflation.
BOJ rate hikes might increase borrowing costs and dampen stock valuations in the short term but could also signal confidence in economic recovery.
Maintaining or lowering rates supports corporate borrowing and investment, generally providing a tailwind to the Nikkei.
BOJ policy also influences currency strength (JPY), which affects export-oriented companies within the index.
Summary
The JP225 (Nikkei 225) is influenced by both the longer-term JB10Y bond yields and the Bank of Japan’s interest rate decisions. Rising JB10Y yields can indicate stronger growth but come with higher costs, impacting the index positively or negatively depending on the economic context. BOJ’s interest rates affect short-term borrowing, liquidity, and market sentiment, with low or easing rates typically supporting equity markets like the Nikkei.
#jp225 #stocks #indices
These factors, combined with global market trends and currency movements, shape the Nikkei 225’s performance and investor sentiment in Japan.
FTSE100 What is the FTSE 100?
The FTSE 100 Index (Financial Times Stock Exchange 100 Index), also called the "Footsie," is the UK’s leading stock market index. It represents the 100 largest companies listed on the London Stock Exchange by market capitalization. These companies cover a wide range of industries including finance, energy, healthcare, consumer goods, and more.
The FTSE 100 is widely regarded as a barometer of the overall health of the UK stock market and economy. It is capitalization-weighted, meaning larger companies have more influence on the index's movement. Examples of major constituents include Shell, HSBC, AstraZeneca, and Unilever.
How Do GB 10-Year Bond Yield (GB10Y) and Bank of England Interest Rate Affect FTSE 100?
1. GB 10-Year Government Bond Yield (GB10Y)
The 10-year UK government bond yield reflects long-term interest rates and investor outlook on inflation and growth.
Rising bond yields typically increase borrowing costs for companies, which can reduce profit margins and dampen stock prices, negatively affecting the FTSE 100.
Higher yields also make bonds more attractive relative to stocks, potentially leading investors to reallocate funds away from equities like the FTSE.
Lower bond yields make borrowing cheaper and bonds less competitive, boosting stock valuations and supporting the FTSE 100.
2. Bank of England (BoE) Interest Rate
The BoE’s interest rate influences short-term borrowing costs, consumer spending, and business investment.
An increase in the BoE rate usually raises loan and mortgage costs, slowing economic growth and often putting downward pressure on the FTSE 100.
Conversely, a rate cut or stable low rates encourage borrowing and spending, generally supporting equities including the FTSE 100.
The BoE’s rate decisions also signal monetary policy direction and economic outlook, impacting investor sentiment.
Summary
The FTSE 100’s performance is closely linked to UK bond yields and BoE interest rates. Rising GB10Y yields and higher BoE rates tend to pressure the FTSE by increasing costs and diverting investment to bonds. Lower yields and accommodative BoE policy usually support higher FTSE valuations by lowering costs and boosting investor confidence.
These UK economic factors, combined with global market trends and currency fluctuations (like GBP strength), shape the FTSE 100’s market dynamics.
BASED ON STRUCTURE ONE PUSH INTO SUPPLY MIGHT TRIGGER SELLOFF ON SENTIMENT
FED RATE CUT OR HIKE WONT AFFECT US MARKET ALONE ,THE UK STOCK MARKET WILL FEEL THE IMPACT OF FOMC SOON.
#FTSE100 #STOCKS #INDICES
US30What is the US 30?
The US 30, commonly known as the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) or simply the Dow, is a stock market index that tracks the performance of 30 large publicly traded companies in the United States. It is one of the most widely followed equity indices and serves as a key indicator of the overall health of the US stock market and economy. The Dow includes companies from various sectors like technology, finance, health, and consumer goods.
How Do US 10Y Treasury Yield, DXY, and Fed Interest Rates Affect the US 30?
1. US 10-Year Treasury Yield (US10Y)
The 10-year Treasury yield reflects long-term borrowing costs and investor confidence in economic growth and inflation.
Higher yields often mean higher borrowing costs for companies, which can reduce corporate profits and lower stock prices, including the Dow.
Rising yields can also make bonds more attractive relative to stocks, leading to a shift away from equities like the Dow.
Conversely, lower yields tend to support higher stock valuations as cheaper debt and less attractive bond returns encourage investment in equities.
2. US Dollar Index (DXY)
The DXY measures the strength of the US dollar against a basket of major currencies.
A stronger dollar can negatively impact Dow companies that earn significant revenue overseas by making their products more expensive internationally and reducing translated foreign profits.
A weaker dollar generally supports multinational companies’ overseas earnings, potentially boosting the Dow.
Currency strength also influences inflation and trade dynamics, indirectly impacting stock market sentiment.
3. Federal Reserve Interest Rate
The Federal Reserve sets the federal funds rate, which influences short-term interest rates and overall financial conditions.
Higher Fed rates typically raise borrowing costs for businesses and consumers, potentially slowing growth and leading to lower stock prices.
Rising rates can also cause investors to prefer fixed-income securities over stocks.
Lower or stable Fed rates encourage borrowing and investment, supporting higher equity prices.
Fed communications about rate intentions are closely watched as key drivers of stock market volatility, including the Dow.
Summary
The US 30 (Dow Jones) is influenced by interest rates, bond yields, and the dollar's strength. Rising US 10-year yields or Fed rate hikes generally create headwinds for the Dow by increasing costs and attractive alternatives to stocks. A stronger dollar can weigh on multinational earnings and lower the Dow’s performance. Conversely, lower yields, dovish Fed policy, and a weaker dollar tend to support gains in the Dow by making stocks more appealing.
These factors together shape investor sentiment, risk appetite, and valuation dynamics in the US stock market.The US 30, also known as the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), is a stock market index that tracks 30 large, publicly traded U.S. companies. It serves as a key indicator of the overall health and performance of the U.S. stock market.
The US 10-Year Treasury Yield (US10Y) affects the US 30 because it reflects long-term interest rates and economic expectations. When the 10-year yield rises, borrowing costs increase for companies, which can dampen profits and lead to lower stock prices, negatively impacting the Dow. Higher yields also make bonds more attractive relative to stocks, pulling investment away from equities.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) measures the strength of the U.S. dollar against other major currencies. A stronger DXY can hurt Dow companies with significant overseas revenue by making their products more expensive abroad and reducing translated foreign earnings, weighing on the Dow. Conversely, a weaker dollar tends to boost these companies and support the index.
The Federal Reserve interest rate sets short-term borrowing costs and influences overall financial conditions. Higher Fed rates raise costs for consumers and businesses, potentially slowing economic growth and weighing on stocks. Lower or stable rates encourage borrowing and investment, supporting stock prices. Market expectations of Fed moves heavily sway investor sentiment and the Dow's performance.
In summary, higher US10Y yields, a stronger DXY, and rising Fed rates often pose headwinds for the US 30, while lower yields, a weaker dollar, and accommodative Fed policy generally support it. These dynamics affect corporate profits, investment flows, and market risk appetite that collectively drive the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
U330 ,the structure is giving a pullback into my demand floor and to the moon us30.
if bulls keep the trend into the supply structure ,they could be selling from that zone.
#us30
GOLD DAILY CHART THE DAILY CHART shows the break of supply roof which saw the yellow metal approach 3599-3600 zone on united state poor economic data report.
while we expect correction ,we still pay attention to market structure which is bullish backed by central bank bulk purchase and bond /dxy sell off.
key areas to watch will be 3544-3559 for buy
key area to watch will be 3511 floor on potential retest.
the break of 3511 will be a whole drop into 3500-3492 zone for buy.
the daily supply roof is broken and that could provide us the demand floor but correction is needed to keep the trade balance
As the price is running out structure we hope that 15min will do the magic ,if they buy back 3573-3578 retested 30min demand floor then a new all time high will me made in the zone of 3614-3606-3604 zone .this will provide the next sell idea due to the structure surrounding the rally.
'A break below 3573-3578 will be aiming the ascending trendline and such technical break down might signal weakness .
this will bring 3544- 3526 zone on the watch for possible 15min buy structure in line with US10Y AND DXY 15MIN CHART or 30 min chart in search of correlation and divergence
GOLD ,DXY AND US10Y INSIGHT IS GREAT FOR DIRECTIONAL BIAS,ESPECIALLY WHEN YOU USE THEM TOGETHER.
LAST FLOOR TO WATCH ON BEARISH 1000PIPS DROP WILL BE 3492-3500 ZONE .
TRADING IS 100% PROBABILTY,ANY KEY LEVEL CAN FAIL.
MANAGE YOUR RISK AND USE LOW RISK HIGH REWARD STRATEGY.
THINK LIKE A HUNTER
GOODLUCK
#GOLD #SILVER #COPPER #XAUUSD #DOLLAR #DXY #US10Y
Will Bears Follow Through after Terrible Job Numbers?QQQ CME_MINI:NQ1! CME_MINI:ES1! stock market Forecast
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Meta Forecast Technical Analysis
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Magnificent 7 stocks forecast
GOLD NEW 15MIN/30MIN CHARTGOLD ,the market is overextended but that docent mean it wont continue to buy,its not your money neither is it my money that is driving gold price, the central banks are responsible .
if the central banks resume Monday to buy gold it will be looking on 15min/30min structure at 3574-3578 to buy back. if we break below 3578 on 30min i will be watching 3511-3516 zone for buy .
my goal is to hold my sell zone at 3599-3600 till gold drops to 3500-3493 level
the weekly sentiment will tell if gold will come to 3462-descending trending line connect 3511 buy floor on Friday.
Another zone to watch is 3566-3560 ascending trend line for buy and the breakout will justify 3511 demand floor.
PLS THIS IS MY PERSPECTIVE
WHAT IS YOUR PERSPECTIVE
TRADING IS 100% PROBABILITY
PLS MANAGE YOUR RISK
PROTECT YOUR CAPITAL AT ALL TIME
GOODLUCK.
#GOLD #XAUUSD
FED Rate Cuts Aren’t the Blessing You Think — History Proves ItIn this video I ll take you thru historical macro events and we will see how it all rhymes with current markets conditions.
Here is link to my initial article with the data
Remember: Macro takes time to play and price can be going for months before the crash happens watch charts Im mentioning and whole picture will starts to show to you.
Stay safe and protect your wealth and family. Next 5 years of the 4th Turning can be violent not only on the markets.
David Perk
Litecoin (LTC): Good Long Opportunity with 1:4 RRLitecoin has the potential to give us a decent 1.4 position right here if we manage to break that 200EMA line, which has been holding the price back for quite some time!
More in-depth info is in the video—enjoy!
Swallow Academy
Automating TradingView Alerts to Tradovate (Step 1: Webhook + JSWelcome to the first video on my channel, Quant by Boji.
In this series, I’m walking you through how to build a complete end-to-end automation pipeline that takes alerts from TradingView and turns them into real trades on Tradovate, with confirmations sent to Telegram.
In this first episode, I cover the foundation:
Creating an indicator in TradingView using Pine Script
Adding the alertcondition() function so alerts know when to fire
Setting up an alert in TradingView with the Webhook URL
Writing a JSON message in the alert so your server has all the data it needs
By the end of this video, you’ll understand how TradingView can send structured alerts directly to your server, which is the first step in connecting it all to Tradovate.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only. I’m not providing financial advice. Futures trading carries substantial risk, so always start in paper trading and do your own due diligence.
🔔 Subscribe and follow along — in the next episode, I’ll show you how to capture these alerts on AWS and move closer to live automation.
GOLDGOLD ,market open could be dropping to correct over 500pips on Monday and if it fails 3635-3640 on 15min based on the strategy.
if you joined me in holding sell rejection at 3599-3596 hold that level tight because once we break out of 3578 on 15min close the next zone to watch for buy will be 3555-3564 zone 3511-3516 floor my preferred zone is 3500=3492 zone.
#gold #xauusd
GOLD MONTHLY CHART GOLD ,the chart is over extended ON FED rate cut and poor economic data report we updated 3595-3600 zone and found a sell structure which we are holding ,as the market opens we are looking for sell correction to continue before a mejor buying.
i am looking at 3500-3492 for buy if correction gets into this zone.
further buy position will be coming from my 15min and 5min chart.
GOODLUCK
#GOLD #XAUUSD
ETHEREUM ETHUSDT WEEKLY CHARTETHEREUM failed to bridge 5k zone on weekly close .I was forecasting a push into the weekly ascending trendline which could have seen price into 6300-6500k zone.
but as we retested the current all time high and we are seeing correction and took correction from that level to 4,298$ per Ethereum today
My buy floor will be in 3300-3370 zone and another buy floor will be 2229-2200 zone if key demand floor is broken .
its best to wait for buy on the 3300-3370 zone
no idea is perfect
manage your risk and protect your capital
trade with my hunter mindset
#ethereum #ethusdt
Weekly insighta EUR/USD S&P500 NVDA METAThis video is a weekly insights report from a financial trader on TradingView. I amdiscussing my analysis and predictions for several financial instruments based on technical and fundamental indicators.
Key Points:
Market Overview: The speaker talks about the impact of recent US unemployment data on the market, which led to a "parabolic" rise in the Euro dollar.
Euro Dollar: Based on a technical analysis of an "expanding diagonal" and an old trend line, the speaker believes a false breakout is likely. They plan to avoid trading USD pairs for the next 11 days, waiting for the Fed's interest rate decision.
S&P 500: The speaker notes a five-wave Elliot wave pattern with an expanding diagonal. They are waiting for the price to break below a trend line and a red confirmation line before considering a short position. They anticipate a "choppy" market for the coming week.
Nvidia: The speaker received "hate comments" for their previous analysis of Nvidia. They stand by their short position, citing a break below the exponential moving average, a "huge" divergence on the monthly chart, and a "shooting star" candle pattern. They note that Nvidia is the heaviest stock in the S&P 500, representing 7.5% of the index.
Bitcoin: The speaker points out that Bitcoin's price has crossed and retested two moving averages, which they see as a bearish sign. They will consider a short position if the price breaks below the previous low. They also expect Bitcoin to be stagnant in the coming week while the market waits for the Fed's decision.
Call to Action : The video concludes with a plea for viewers to subscribe to the speaker's TradingView channel for more trading insights and short-trade opportunities.
BITCOIN BITCOIN, the weekly timeframe has broken the demand floor and also failed to break and close above 112,500k on daily another key demand floor broken.
we have weekly and daily break of demand structure. On daily ,on weekly i want to see a retest to shot again.
for now allow the market break daily supply to enable it retest weekly double top neckline and sell.
trading is probability ,the daily retest on Friday could be the sell structure which has the potential to drop price into 98k zone and more aggressive take profit show that 55k-50k bitcoin is possible based on the market structure.
BUY ZONE WILL BE 98K-100K
BUY ZONE 91K-89K ASCENDING TRENDLINE ACTING AS DYNAMIC SUPPORT
SELL 117,842K WEEKLY LINE CHART CLOSE BREAKOUT
100% PROBABILTY ,NO CHART IS PERFECT.
NO IDEA IS PERFECT.
RISK MANAGEMNT IS KEY
HUNTER MINDSET ALWAYS .
GOOD LUCK.
#BITCOIN #BTC
SOMIUSDT CHART ANALYSİSWHAT TYPE OF CRYPTO TRADER ARE YOU?
Perhaps the most important change is that the world has become much
more short-term oriented. All sorts of people who used to be investors
are now traders. In the 1990s and 2000s, the heroes were the long-term
investors; today, the heroes are the wise traders. Trading created one of
the best ways to become wealthy in this decade. Why?
Your race does not matter. Your skin color does not matter. Your
education does not matter, whether you are a Ph.D. or a college drop out.
Your sex does not matter. Your origin does not matter. Your age does
not matter. Your background and history do not matter. Your language
does not matter. Your look does not matter. And your social status does
not matter as long as you have sufficient funds to trade. You do not have
to hire any employees. You do not have to buy or rent expensive office
space. I could go on and on, but I think you get the picture.