X-indicator
New Week on Gold! Will the Bullishness continue?I was bullish on gold and price ended up doing as expected last week and looking for it to continue this week. But i have to sit on hands for now to see how they want to play Monday. Will they move to create a Low for the week first? or will they break out to start early on new highs? I have to see some type of confirmation first. Then we can get active.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Review and plan for 14th July 2025 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
Results - analysed.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
IS THE STOCK MARKET HEADING INTO DOT COM BUBBLE 2.0?In this video we look at the 3 month chart of SP:SPX using the traders dynamic index & Fibonacci retracement levels to put together a bullish case for the overall stock market to go on a monster rally over the next 7 years
We also theorize about how over the next 2 years the SP:SPX can indeed hit 7200+ by Q3 2026 and have pullbacks to 5800-6100, but how that could just be the "consolidation move in price" of the overall stock market before we get what could end up being the largest stock market rally we have ever seen in the 21st century
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EURAUD The current head of the European Central Bank (ECB) is Christine Lagarde. She has been serving as ECB President since November 2019, Lagarde has emphasized her commitment to steering the ECB through complex economic challenges, including inflation control and adapting monetary policy to evolving global conditions.
the current key interest rates set by the European Central Bank (ECB) are as follows:
Deposit Facility Rate: 2.00%
Main Refinancing Operations Rate: 2.15%
Marginal Lending Facility Rate: 2.40%
These rates were last adjusted on June 11, 2025, when the ECB lowered the key interest rates by 25 basis points (0.25%) to reflect the updated inflation outlook and economic conditions.
Additional Context:
Inflation in the Eurozone is currently around the ECB’s medium-term target of 2%.
The ECB’s Governing Council decided on the rate cut based on a downward revision of inflation projections for 2025 and 2026, partly due to lower energy prices and a stronger euro.
The next ECB interest rate decision is scheduled for July 24, 2025.
ECB Executive Board member Isabel Schnabel recently indicated that the bar for further rate cuts remains “very high” as the economy is holding up well.
Summary Table of ECB Key Rates (as of June 11, 2025)
Rate Type Interest Rate (%)
Deposit Facility Rate 2.00
Main Refinancing Rate 2.15
Marginal Lending Rate 2.40
the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cash rate remains at 3.85%. This decision was made at the RBA’s July 8, 2025 meeting, where the board chose to hold rates steady despite widespread market expectations of a cut to 3.6%
Key Points:
The RBA has signaled that an easing cycle is likely coming, but it wants to wait for the release of the full quarterly inflation data at the end of July to confirm that inflation is on track to decline sustainably toward the target range (2–3%).
Inflation has moderated, with trimmed mean inflation at 2.4% in May, within the target band.
The board was divided: six members voted to hold rates, while three favored a cut.
Market expectations now price in about an 85% chance of a 25 basis point cut to 3.60% at the next meeting on August 12, 2025.
RBA Governor Michele Bullock emphasized that the bank is reacting to domestic inflation and employment data and is prepared to adjust policy as needed, but is not holding rates high “just in case.”
Summary Table
Date Cash Rate (%) Board Decision Next Meeting Expectation
July 8, 2025 3.85 Hold rates steady Likely 0.25% cut at August 12, 2025
Additional Context
The RBA’s cautious approach reflects the need to confirm inflation trends before easing.
The decision surprised markets that had anticipated an immediate cut due to slowing consumer spending and inflation within the target range.
Governor Bullock acknowledged the challenges for borrowers but noted that housing prices, not just interest rates, affect affordability.
EURAUD TRADE MATHE
EU10Y=2.686%
ECB RATE =2.0%
AU10Y= 4.362%
RBA RATE =3.85%
INTEREST RATE DIFFERENTIAL= EUR-AUD=2.0-3.85=-1.85% EURO BASE CURRENCY AND AUD QUOTE. FAVOUR AUD CARRY TRADE.THE TARRIF HAMMER ,AUDSTRALIA AND CHINA TRADE REMAINS A KEY TOOL FOR AUD STRENGTH.
BOND YIELD DIFFERENTIAL= EURO-AUD =2.686%-4.362%=-1.676 FAVOUR AUD .
BUT EURO ZONE ECONOMIC OUTLOOK WILL OFFSET YIELD AND BOND ADVANTAGE AS CHINA AUSTRALIA COMMODITIES MARKET IS DEPENDING MORE ON CHINA ,SO GLOBAL RESTRICTION ON EXPORT WILL GIVE EURAUD LONG POSITION.
#EURAUD
BITCOIN Bitcoin and the Potential Move to $136,000 based on my price action +sma+ema advanced strategy.
Current Market Context
Bitcoin (BTC) is trading near all-time highs, recently surpassing $117,000-118000
The market is characterized by strong institutional inflows, robust ETF demand, and bullish technical momentum.
Is a Move to $136,000 Possible?
Analyst and Model Forecasts
Bitwise Asset Management and several market analysts see a 30% rally possible in July, which could push Bitcoin to the $136,000 level. This projection is based on:
Historical post-crisis rallies (average 31% gains after macro/geopolitical shocks).
Institutions buying more BTC than miners can supply.
Global rate cuts increasing liquidity and risk appetite.
Quantitative models and technical forecasters also predict a range between $136,000 and $143,000 as a potential 2025 high, with some models extending targets to $151,000 and beyond.
Other major banks and analysts (e.g., Standard Chartered, Bernstein, Fundstrat) maintain even higher year-end targets ($150,000–$200,000), but $136,000 is seen as a key intermediate technical and psychological level.
Technical Analysis
Bullish momentum is confirmed across short, medium, and long-term timeframes.
Key resistance levels to watch: $120,000 (psychological), $130,000 (round number), and $136,000 (target zone highlighted by several analysts).
Sustained trading above $112,000–$118,000 would support a move toward $130,000–$136,000, especially if ETF inflows and institutional demand remain strong.
Drivers Supporting the $136K Scenario
ETF and Institutional Inflows: Demand from US spot Bitcoin ETFs and corporate treasuries remains robust.
Macro Tailwinds: Expectations of US Federal Reserve rate cuts and a weakening dollar are fueling risk-on sentiment.
Supply Dynamics: The recent Bitcoin halving has reduced miner supply, amplifying the impact of new demand.
Technical Breakouts: Bull flag and breakout patterns suggest further upside, with $136,000 cited as a technical extension target.
Risks and Considerations
Volatility: Bitcoin remains highly volatile; sharp pullbacks are possible even in a strong uptrend.
Regulatory and Macro Risks: Changes in regulatory stance or a major shift in macro conditions could impact the trajectory.
Profit-Taking: Approaching major round numbers like $130,000 or $136,000 could trigger profit-taking and temporary corrections.
Summary Table: Bitcoin 2025 Price Targets
Source/Model 2025 Target Range $136K Move Outlook
Bitwise, Polymarket $136,000 (July 2025) High probability if current trends persist
Coinfomania AI Model Up to $143,440 $136K within model range
Investing Haven $80,840–$151,150 $136K within bullish scenario
Changelly, CoinDCX $100,000–$150,000 $136K is a key resistance
Standard Chartered $120,000–$200,000 $136K as a stepping stone
Conclusion
A move to $136,000 for Bitcoin is considered plausible in 2025 by my market structure advanced strategy , This scenario is supported by strong institutional demand, favorable macro conditions, and bullish technical patterns. However, volatility and macro/regulatory risks remain, so price action should be monitored closely as BTC approaches key resistance levels at 120k and 136k level
#bitcoin #btc
Bitcoin: Final Push in the 60-Day Cycle?Bitcoin appears to be making its final move higher within the current 60-day cycle. We could potentially see a push into the $121K–$122K range before a sharp correction takes us down to around $110K–$112K toward the end of the month, driven by the 3-day cycle timing.
After that, we’re likely to form a new 60-day cycle low, which could set the stage for a renewed move to the upside.
Is it time to go long?
At this point, the risk/reward doesn’t look favorable for new longs. Personally, I’m watching for one final push above $120K to consider opening a short position into the expected cycle low.
Gap down is likely a bear trap - SPYSo the gap down looked bearish but the technicals are not confirming it. One more high is likely today or Monday. Gold is at resistance here. OIl found support and looks like a long. BTC rallied and can go higher but it's putting in daily bearish divergences. Natural Gas looks like it will bounce.
PORTALUSDT CHART ANALYSİS ISTRADING CRYPTO PROFITABLE?
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Quick take on the S&P500From the very short-term perspective, the SP:SPX is currently stuck in a tight range. Waiting for a little breakout.
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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BITCOIN ABOUT TO CRASH HARD!!!!? (Be careful with your longs)I am sharing with you in this video the next CRYPTOCAP:BTC important resistances and support levels.
Together with the confirmations, it is said that if triggered, Bitcoin will start crashing hard, so be careful if you have overleveraged long positions opened right now!
Remember to always trade only with professional trading strategies and tactics, and make sure that your money management is tight!
CADJPY; Heikin Ashi Trade IdeaIn this video, I’ll be sharing my analysis of CADJPY, using FXAN's proprietary algo indicators with my unique Heikin Ashi strategy. I’ll walk you through the reasoning behind my trade setup and highlight key areas where I’m anticipating potential opportunities.
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Big Deal in RARE EARTHS space with MP! USAR, TMC, CRML next!Big deal with the DOD and MP yesterday. I am looking at some other plays here in sympathy. Neither had much action yesterday USAR, TMC, CRML but if we take out yesterdays intraday highs on these I think we could play some catch up!
Lets dig into the levels im watching and the overall setups on these! Metals stocks are not always the best stocks to trade they can fart around a lot intraday vs tech stocks so be careful with your entries and make sure the volume is there!
Nothing changes while price is below 8.01CYBN continues to reject form 4hr EMA12, bulls need to break above this in the next few trading sessions or it will continue to decline and knock the price below support, which would be a big step backwards and would be a clear signal that CYBN is not enjoying the same series of bullish signals that ATAI and MNMD are giving