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XAUUSD I Trade Update Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** XAUUSD Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by BKTradingAcademy
4
AUDUSDAUD/USD Exchange Rate Current Level: 0.6530–0.6550 Slightly bearish near-term bias amid RBA rate cut expectations Australia 10-Year Government Bond Yield Current Yield: 4.15% (as of June 30, 2025) Rose 0.01 percentage points from the previous session. Reflects market reaction to RBA policy and global trade uncertainty. Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Rate Current Cash Rate: 3.85% (lowest in two years) Cut by 25 bps in May 2025 to combat slowing growth and align with 2–3% inflation targets. Markets price a 90% probability of another 25 bps cut in July 2025. US Federal Reserve (Fed) Rate Current Federal Funds Rate: 4.25–4.50% Unchanged since December 2024; held steady at the June 18, 2025, meeting. Fed signaled potential for two 25 bps cuts in late 2025 (September/December), contingent on inflation cooling. Key Implications Rate Differential: RBA-Fed spread: –0.40% to –0.65% (AUD negative), pressuring AUD/USD. Australia’s 10Y yield premium over US 10Y (~4.26%) is –0.11%, reducing AUD carry appeal. AUD/USD Drivers: RBA Easing: Expected July cut may weaken AUD further. Fed Patience: Delayed cuts sustain USD strength. Yield Sensitivity: Narrowing yield spreads limit AUD upside. In summary: AUD/USD trades near 0.6530–0.6550, pressured by RBA-Fed policy divergence and narrowing yield spreads. The RBA’s dovish path (3.85% rate, July cut expected) contrasts with the Fed’s hold at 4.25–4.50%, sustaining USD strength. Australia’s 10Y yield at 4.15% offers minimal premium over US Treasuries, limiting AUD support. #AUDUSD
by Shavyfxhub
1
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-30-25 : Gap Potential PatternToday's pattern suggests the SPY will attempt to create a GAP at the open. It looks like the markets may attempt to move higher as the SPY is already nearly 0.35% higher as I type. Last week was very exciting as we watched the QQQ and the SPY break into new All-Time Highs. I suspect the markets will continue a bit of a rally into the early Q2 earnings season where retail traders attempt to prepare for the strong technology/innovation/AI earnings data (like last quarter). I do believe this rally is due for a pullback. I've highlighted this many times in the past. Typically, price does not go straight up or straight down. There are usually multiple pullbacks in a trend. So, at this point, the markets are BULLISH, but I still want to warn you to stay somewhat cautious of a pullback in the near future (maybe something news-related). Gold and Silver should start to move higher over the next 5-10+ days, with gold trying to rally back above $3450. I see Gold in a solid FLAGGING formation that is moving closer to the APEX pattern. Bitcoin is nearing a make-or-break volatility point. I see BTCUSD breaking downward, but it could break into a very volatile phase where it attempts to rally (with the QQQ through earnings), then collapse later in July. We'll see how things play out. Remember, tomorrow morning I have a doctor's appointment. So I may or may not get a morning video done. FYI. Get some today.
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
10
Bitcoin UpdateWe’re back looking at the #Bitcoin chart. While BTC stays above the 55-day MA (currently at 101,116), we remain overall bullish. But here’s the catch: 🔍 What I’m watching: • The MACD is still below zero — no clear buy signal yet. • The RSI is encouraging (above 50), but… • 📉 No surge in volume = caution. • DMI also not giving a strong green light. 👉 So, we might need more consolidation before the next leg higher. Patience is key! If BTC clears these highs? 🎯 I’d target ~114,000 (top of the long-term channel since 2021). For now, staying positive but waiting for that volume confirmation. 💪 Disclaimer: The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
CME:BTC1!Long
by The_STA
MULTIPLE TIME FRAME ANALYSIS, gather data to make good decisionsAll the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!! www.tradingview.com
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Simply-Forex
2
US30lets look at the Correlations between US30, US10Y, DXY and fed Interest Rates us10y and dollar are like react in a similar way, when the US10Y is rising ,it attracts foreign capital into us economy and the dollar benefits from capital inflow and strengthens in the process US10Y and DXY (US Dollar Index): the current tariffs and geopolitical events caused temporary decoupled this correlation but the correlation has reverted to positive alignment as of June 2025. Higher yields now signal renewed confidence in the US economy, lifting both yields and the dollar. US30 (Dow Jones) and DXY,they have inverse correlation in such a way that when the dollar is weak it causes a boost of US30 by enhancing multinational corporate earnings as cheaper export brings in higher overseas revenue there are Exception when we experience Simultaneous strength in DXY and US30 during "risk-on" global confidence US10Y and Interest Rates (Federal Funds Rate): Direct Link: US10Y reflects market expectations for Fed policy. Anticipated rate hikes lift yields; expected cuts lower them. Current Context: With the Fed holding rates at 4.25–4.50%, US10Y (4.26%) remains sensitive to inflation data and future cut expectations. US30 and Interest Rates has Inverse Pressure when rate are Higher it increases borrowing costs, potentially dampening corporate profits and stock valuations. Lower rates support equity rallies. 2025 Dynamic: Despite elevated rates, US30 trades near record highs due to resilient growth and tariff-related sector rotations. Critical Drivers Yield-Dollar Sync: US10Y and DXY realignment signals market confidence in US assets, but geopolitical/trade risks can disrupt this. Equity Sensitivity: US30 benefits from dollar weakness but faces headwinds if the Fed delays rate cuts amid sticky inflation. Interest Rate Outlook: Fed patience (no cuts until September) sustains US10Y-DXY positivity but caps explosive US30 gains. watch my supply roof and demand floor for reaction. #us30
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by Shavyfxhub