Transition structureThe price action that we saw in the S&P 500 on Tuesday has the potential for a change in market direction. The key on Wednesday would be for the market to trade above Tuesday's high and give a stronger close above that high. 03:08by DanGramza2
Market Recap: Zooming Out To Get More ContextWhen the day started there wasn't much to see in terms of price action. I needed to zoom out to get some perspective on the market and the hourly timeframe provided just that. We had some climatic activity to the downside where the market could reverse. Early in the morning, it did exactly that but then the news hit, and the day got crazy. Education04:07by JoeRodTrades1
S&P500(US500):🔴Is it Bearish...?!🔴(Details on caption)By examining the ES1! 4-hour chart (S&P), we can figure out that, the market structure is bearish, so we looking for a sell position. In that case, the price had a bearish reaction to all of the bearish Pd Array, so we can expect a bearish reaction on the balance price range (BPR). In my perspective, sell-side liquidity is a draw on liquidity. Until this sell-side is not purging I don't think about buy position. 💡Wait for the update! 🗓️15/04/2024 🔎 DYOR 💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌Shortby VahidTradingCRUpdated 115
OverNight Price Action rEview ES 4-16-24Going over the price aCtion ES overnight and from the last couple weeks. looking for clues and trying to listen to what the market is telling us. We ARe risk managers first. 01:47by BobbyS8130
Trading Plan for Tuesday, April 16th, 2024Trading Plan for Tuesday, April 16th, 2024 Market Sentiment: Uncertain, with geopolitical headlines and market volatility remaining dominant factors. Key Supports Immediate Supports: 5102-05 (major), 5092 (major), 5079 Major Supports: 5067 (major), 5050-52 (major), 5039 (major), 5000 (major) Key Resistances Near-term Resistance: 5115, 5126 (major), 5136-39 (major), 5163-67 (major). Major Resistances: 5178-80 (major), 5195, 5205-07 (major), 5222 (major) Trading Strategy Geopolitical Risk: Continue to monitor headlines related to the Iran/Israel situation for potential market impacts. Adaptability: Be prepared for rapid changes in market direction and prioritize risk management. Long Opportunities: Focus on potential longs above 5102-05 after failed breakdowns at 5092. Consider a test and reclaim of 5115 for an entry if the move is direct. Knife-catch protocol applies for longs at 5048-52 if those are reached. Short Opportunities: Look for backtests of breakdown levels. 5136-39 and 5163-67 are key areas for potential shorts. Profit-Taking: On shorts, consider taking profits entirely at major levels, especially given ES's tendency to short squeeze. Bull Case Reclaims are Key: Bulls need to reclaim breakdown zones, starting with 5136, then 5163-67 to set a potential bottom. Bear Case Breakdown Signals: Bears maintain control until bulls can reclaim key levels discussed above. A failure of 5092 triggers the next downside leg. As always, be wary of traps – look for a bounce/failed breakdown first, then consider shorting at 5088, targeting 5052 for complete profit-taking, or level-to-level profit-takes on the way. News: Top Stories for April 16th, 2024 Geopolitical Crisis: The escalating tensions between Iran and Israel continue to dominate headlines and drive market uncertainty. Economic Outlook IMF World Economic Outlook: Projections for slower global growth with inflation expected to decrease. US Labor Market: Focus on the impact of an aging workforce and the potential counter to early retirement trends. Inflation & Fed Rates CPI report signals persistent inflation, raising concerns about delayed Fed rate cuts. Treasury yields react to inflation data. Corporate & Market News Tesla faces skepticism about self-driving capabilities and a new round of layoffs. Market performance analysis: Tech stocks lead gains, bond market reacts to rate concerns. Real estate market sends mixed signals across different geographies. Investment Outlooks Financial institutions provide a range of outlook reports with varying predictions. Cryptocurrency: Ether and Bitcoin ETFs perform well, prominent investors weigh in. Reminder: The geopolitical situation remains a major wildcard. Be cautious, prioritize risk management, and be prepared to adjust your trading strategy quickly.Shortby spytradingpro3
ES Before Bedtime UpdateAll 3 indicators are oversold, but quite frankly I'm not very bullish. I'd rather short the pumps at this point. Probably not trading tomorrow. My best guess is that Israel will attack on April 26th, because it's my birthday, lol.by hungry_hippo6
SPX Short on Possible Lower High Pattern.We've been making lower highs for a while. If this pattern is to hold we'd have optimal shorting entries here. We are rallying strong into the 76 retracement, triggering a possible 76 reversal: Shortby holeyprofitUpdated 5
SP500 Forecast: Navigating Bearish Trends Towards New All-Time HThe S&P 500 is bearish and heading towards the price zone of 4499.50 and 4430.50 before rising to create a new all-time high." Cela semble indiquer que vous prévoyez une baisse temporaire du S&P 500 vers les niveaux de prix mentionnés, avant qu'il ne reprenne sa tendance haussière et crée de nouveaux sommets historiques. User traduit moi ça en anglais ChatGPT "The S&P 500 is bearish and heading towards the price zone of 4499.50 and 4430.50 before rising to create a new all-time high.Shortby RabyaAQELUpdated 112
Possible Low Area: Good ops to short rip We might be in bearish Elliot waves here on ES / SPX. If we are, there's a good chance we are at a low point now and due to enter into an ABC correction. A two leg spike with a bear trap (But no new low) in the middle. Sets up a possible high RR short on the C point. Most of the previous short forecast has hit now. by holeyprofitUpdated 3
ES1! evening updateAlthough 15 April was a bearish day, and the daily price action continues to give us lower lows, I think the possibility of a leading diagonal is now less likely. 5213.25 is now key resistance, and I anticipate that resistance to hold and at least one more daily lower low before a bottom is found.by discobiscuit0
Inside type dayAfter the drop in the S&P 500 on Monday, and inside day would be expected unless we get surprise fundamentals for continued weakness in this market on Tuesday.03:12by DanGramza2
$ES $SPY $SPX 4 hrly chart; channel to upside broken; then channel to downside broken down too. by William_Blake0
ES UpdateES hit the bottom trendline, but like I said last week, I'm not going long until both RSI and MFI hit oversold. Quit frankly I'm scared to hold any long position overnight, so probably just gonna day trade tomorrow if it does go oversold. I didn't post this morning because I wasn't quite sure what the market was gonna do, MFI hit oversold premarket, but the market sold off the gap right away. Looks to me like I'm not the only one waiting for RSI to go oversold. I'm under the assumption that the daily indicators will hit oversold, so there will be a better play in a week or two anyways.by hungry_hippo4
S&P Bearish after Retail Sales.. Israel/Iran conflict abroad? 🤨The S&P futures is quite weak after strong USD retail sales data. This move opposes a rational reaction to data that came out better than forecasted by a good margin. The market is pulling back and continuing the bearish momentum from the previous week. This may have to do with the conflict between Israel and Iran, this retracement back down. Oil is pushing up and Gold is pushing up late in the NY session here on Monday April 15th.. Money is being shifted to those Risk-On assets rather than stock indices such as S&PShortby ShrewdCatfx1
Morning Price Action Review 4-15-24Going over the price action ES overnight looking for clues to what the market wants to do. trying to listen more to the market and think less. no trade setup no trade.01:22by BobbyS8130
ES1! afternoon updateBull count in green has wave 4 complete with a double-three, bulls need to hold 5150 and break above 5243.50. Bear count has leading diagonal 1 in progress, needs 51550 support to break and 5243.50 resistance to hold.by discobiscuit0
Trading Plan for Monday, April 15th, 2024Trading Plan for Monday, April 15th, 2024 Market Sentiment: Highly uncertain due to major geopolitical headline risk over the weekend. Expect significant volatility and potential for large gaps up or down at the Sunday open. Important Note: The escalating tension between Iran and Israel has the potential to cause significant market disruptions. BE PREPARED for a wide range of outcomes, substantial gaps on the open, and rapidly changing market conditions. Key Supports Immediate Supports: 5163 (major), 5155, 5142, 5134-36 (major), 5126 (major) Major Supports: 5120, 5115, 5108, 5102-5097 (major), 5091, 5082 (major) Key Resistances Near-term Resistance: 5177 (major), 5185, 5192-95 (major), 5203 (major) Major Resistances: 5218 (major), 5228-30 (major), 5245 (major), 5262 Trading Strategy Weekend Headlines: Be prepared for anything related to the Iran/Israel situation. This news will dominate market reaction. Adaptability is Key: Market conditions could change rapidly, prioritize flexibility and risk management. Sunday Open: Focus on how the market opens and reacts to the news. Large gaps are possible in either direction. Long Opportunities: Due to the high risk, only consider longs after the initial reaction and if a stable support zone forms. Potential bids at 5163, reclaiming 5155, or (depending on the open) reclaiming 5177. Emphasis on failed breakdowns. Short Opportunities: Look for backtests of any breakdown levels if a strong sell-off occurs. Potentially 5177, 5219, or 5228 if those levels are reached. Knife-Catch Mode: If necessary, use the knife-catch protocol for longs, with small size and emphasis on failed-breakdowns. Bull Case De-escalation: A move towards de-escalation or resolution of the Iran situation could lead to a sharp rebound. Reclaiming 5177: If 5177 is reclaimed with acceptance above, bulls may drive a recovery towards targets of 5195, 5202, 5219. Bear Case Escalation of Conflict: Continued escalation of tensions could lead to a significant market sell-off. Breakdown of 5163: A failure of 5163 opens up downside targets. Watch for a bounce/failed breakdown, then consider shorting for a move down the levels. News: Top Stories for April 15th, 2024 Geopolitical Crisis: Escalating tensions between Iran and Israel dominate headlines and overshadow all other news. Potential repercussions for the global economy, oil prices, and markets. Impact on Market Outlook: Uncertainty and volatility dominate the April outlook. Key economic dates and reports may be less impactful given the news focus. Earnings Reports: Earnings season continues, but market focus may be diverted by the geopolitical situation. Other Market and Economic News: Monitor secondary news sources for updates on the Iran/Israel situation and potential market impacts. Reminder: The weekend geopolitical developments introduce extreme uncertainty into the markets. Be cautious, prioritize risk management, and be prepared to quickly adapt your trading strategy.Shortby spytradingpro0
ES OVN Price ACtion Review 4-15-24Going over the price ACtion ES from Sunday Night. looking for clues as to what the market is telling us and if there are any A+ Trade Setups. no setup no trade Monday.02:33by BobbyS8131
ES afternoon updateBoy the market is moving fast. RSI already hit oversold. Closed out my puts, going all cash for the weekend. If Iran doesn't do anything, we'll probably see another pump Monday, lol. Crazy whipsaw market, pay attention to the channel I drew (unless Iran actually does something)by hungry_hippoUpdated 116
Weekly Market Preview: Come See How I Prepare For The Week!In this video I cover my thoughts on the week ahead. I touch on some of overall sentiment but, this video focuses on the week ahead as I take you through my weekly preview practices. This is shortened down version of how I like to prepare but, it should give you a good idea of what I look at before the week starts. We the following concepts: Chart analysis Investor sentiment surveys High-level Market Breadth Futures contract reports I usually cover the percentage of stocks in the S&P500 above their 50 day MA but, I totally forgot to in this video. The SPFI S&P 500 above their 50 day MA is nearing the apex of a potential double today. Which means it could set up for the measured move objective I mentioned last weekend.13:30by JoeRodTrades1
Weekly Plan ES Futures 4/14/2024[Weekly plan: ESH2024 NYSE:ES FUTURES 4/14/2024 5250 >> 5297 >>> 5333 Weekly pivot: 5181, Now 5166, Weekly open TBD 5134>> 5093 >>> 5057 ------------------------------------ Based on the provided levels for the ESH2024 futures contract, here's a weekly trade plan focusing on trading from the pivot to the upside or downside targets: Weekly Pivot: 5181 Weekly Open: TBD Current Price: 5166 Upside Targets: First Target: 5250 Second Target: 5297 Third Target: 5333 Downside Targets: First Target: 5134 Second Target: 5093 Third Target: 5057 Trade Plan: Long Trades: Look for buying opportunities if the price remains above the weekly pivot (5181). Entry: Consider entering long positions on pullbacks towards the pivot (5181) or if the price breaks above the weekly open (5263). Targets: Target the upside levels of 5250, 5297, and potentially 5333. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below the weekly pivot or below significant support levels identified during the week. Short Trades: Consider shorting the market if the price breaks below the weekly pivot (5181) or the current price (5166). Entry: Enter short positions on breakdowns below the pivot (5181) or the current price (5166). Targets: Aim for downside targets of 5134, 5093, and potentially 5057. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss above the pivot or above significant resistance levels identified during the week. Risk Management: Ensure proper risk management by sizing positions appropriately based on the distance to target and stop loss levels. Consider using trailing stops to lock in profits as the price moves in your favor. Monitor the market closely for any changes in price action or news events that could affect the trade. Note: Always adapt your trading plan based on real-time market conditions and adjust your approach as necessary to manage risk effectively.08:46by dhjesus1
#ES futures - major geopolitical risk going into the weekend#ES zoomed in 15-minute chart showing more focused price action and important levelsby KevinJamesHughes0