AMP Futures - Market ReplayIn this video we will demonstrate how to use Market Replay.Editors' picksEducation03:17by AMP_Futures22223
AMP Futures - Customizing your ChartIn this video we will demonstrate how to select time frames on a chart, how to access different chart types, indicators, and drawing tools.Editors' picksEducation15:17by AMP_Futures3335
Traders Alert ! May 31,2024Traders Alert ! If the Front Month S+P 500 Futures Contract June 2024 (ESM24), closes below 5216.75, then a potential waterfall decline could occur. Traders are advised to closely monitor the market this afternoon near the close, as Month- End Position Squaring, especially those on the wrong side of this market, as well as the two day weekend,could heighten market volatility dramatically during the first week of June. THE_UNWIND Woods Of ConnecticutShortby The_UnwindUpdated 337
Follow-through is expectedFollow-through to the upside is expected in the S&P 500 for Wednesday, June 5. In the past two trading sessions buyers have entered into market lows to rally the S&P 500 into the close. The challenge now can these buyers move the market to close above 5230 by the end of Wednesday session.01:34by DanGramza113
Long $ESI really like the imbalance we entered. I think below 5312-5314 we see more downside. Until then; I’m long hereLongby SimpleJackTrading223
Dumpster FireWith the S&Ps inability to hold above the overnight low today, inflation data on tap for tomorrow, and an almost insane amont of crowding in every good trade available I think it is time to pay for our hubris. NVDA trade is showing cracks, MSFTs buyback program seemingly on hold and a vix close above the 50 day tells me we are in for some short term pain. Extended personal outlook: *this is not finical advice, I'm not a financial advisor! The fact that FED members are even mentioning rate hikes, even if to just dissuade us that the next move will not be one, should be alarming. Maybe they will give us a transitory rate hike. Probably not this year, but by year end, I expect the market to catch on to the fact that rates are going higher.by poedric220
Summer SebaticalI'm excited to share that I'll be taking a summer sabbatical to recharge. As a result, the newsletter will be on a brief hiatus. But don't worry, I'll be back in September, refreshed and ready to dive back into the markets with you. Wishing you a profitable summer!by spytradingpro221
AMP Futures - Volume Candles Chart typeIn this video we will demonstrate how to access the NEW Volume candles chart type with TradingView.Education02:03by AMP_Futures112
Reversal immenantFriday we went up from S5 to R6. This is the ultimate SELL zone. TTM Squeeze Pro has placed 3 orange SELL dots above the last 15" Bearish harami. Between this evening,. Sunday's overnight market, and mondays open we might go a little higher first or make the move in the overnight session, but one way or the other we reversa and go xown either this evening or on monday. Stoch RSI is heading up to overbought. MACD is totally overbought at an extreme level and rolling over. TTM squeeze shows strong buying, but that stochastic shows what happen Friday, the next phase is weak biuying and then selling. I chose neutral, but i could have chosen SELL, it's just a matter of how things look tonight at the open of the futures markets.Shortby dryanhawleyUpdated 4
The Macro Narrative of the S&PThe S&P 500 is in a bit of a pickle in terms of orderflow. Looking at the Cumulative Delta Volume (CVD) and price, relative to April's highs, we see that the deltas have peeled off significantly. In this case, the CVD is showing exhaustion. Bulls are, perhaps, not as serious as before. This will give some solace to market short-sellers, though I would prefer to see absorption where CVD makes a higher high and the price does not. In any case, the swing in deltas from staggeringly positive to staggeringly negative gives us some insight into what the "big boys" are thinking. It is my opinion that we will see MES (and SPX) in the upper 4900-5000 range in the coming weeks. Summers are notoriously slow for trading, so it will be interesting to see how this develops. Shortby PureDeltaUpdated 4
Day Trade Using Event Contracts - E-mini S&P Futures Discover trading techniques with Anthony Crudele! 📈 Learn how to leverage CME Group's Event Contracts like 0DTE Options for day trading E-mini S&P Futures on the month's first trading day.05:13by Tradovate5
Can buyers follow through?Buyers bought the break but can the follow through on to new highs!01:54by DanGramza3
ES UpdateI've been preparing for a relocation, so haven't been trading. Looks to me like RSI is gonna hit oversold probably tomorrow, then a Friday bounce.by hungry_hippo5
A Synthetic Covered Call StrategyCME: E-Mini S&P 500 Options ( CME_MINI:ES1! ), E-Mini Nasdaq 100 Options ( CME_MINI:NQ1! ) Last Friday, the S&P 500 closed at 5,277.5, up 10.6% year-to-date. The Nasdaq Composite settled at 16,735.0, advancing 11.5% YTD. This year, the chances of aggressive interest rate cuts diminished rapidly amid solid employment data and cooling US inflation. However, these headwinds could not stop US stocks from reaching one new record after another. Over the past year, the Fed’s official rhetoric has shifted from hawkish to dovish, and then back to hawkish again. But action speaks louder than words. Since the last rate hike in July 2023, the Fed has kept the interest rates unchanged in the last six FOMC meetings. According to CME Group’s FedWatch Tool, the probability of a no-rate-change decision in the June 12th FOMC is 99.7%. There is an 81.2% chance that the Fed Funds rates stay at 5.25%-5.50% on July 31st. The futures market expects the first 25bp rate cut on September 18th, with a 64% probability (Data as of June 4th). (Link: www.cmegroup.com) Fed’s monetary policy has been the dominant driver of global financial market conditions in the last two years. The absence of Fed actions helped reduce market volatility. As a result, the VIX index plummeted from 19.2 on April 15th to 12.9 on May 31st. Exploring Covered Call Options Strategies Low volatility suggests that the US stock market is likely to move sideways in the near future. If you own stocks, you may finish the year with a positive return, as the two major indexes have already yielded 10-11% YTD. If you plan to enter the market now, buying stocks is quite challenging. I personally have a hard time justifying a lofty price while the expected return stays low. But what we don’t want to buy, we may be able to sell it. For investors who already own stocks, they could consider a covered call strategy. In a classic example, an investor owns 100 shares of stock A and sell 1 call option on the underlying stock. Below are three payoff scenarios: • If A rises and exceeds call strike, options buyer has the right to exercise (“call the stock”). He will pay at the strike (= 100 shares X strike price). Our investor receives both an upfront premium and the sales amount. However, he gave up all the upside. • If A moves sideways or rises below the strike, our investor will keep the upfront premium as profit. We may consider this as an income enhancement for owning A. • If A falls a lot, our investor will incur a loss. However, this loss is due to the risk of owning A, not from selling call options on A. There are some drawbacks with individual stock options. • Only the most popular stocks have adequate liquidity. Options trading fees and a wide bid-ask spread will cut into the premium income received by the options seller. • If you own many stocks and repeat this process multiple times, the problem multiplies quickly. The cost and time required to administer this strategy become unbearable. • At the end, actual returns could be worse off than theoretical payoff suggested. Synthetic Covered Call Options with E-Mini S&P and Nasdaq Is there any alternative to single stock options? We could achieve the same objective with options on E-Mini S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures. I call this Synthetic Covered Call strategy. Compared with individual stock options, stock index options are more liquid and capital efficient. My logic: • If you own a basket of diverse stocks, when the stock index rises, your stock portfolio will likely gain in value as well. • If stock indexes go beyond call strikes, the losses incurred in short options could be largely offset by the gain from the underlying stock portfolio. • Combining with a stock portfolio, short option on stock index futures has significantly lower risk than selling a naked call. However, we still need to understand investment risk. It lies with the possibility that the portfolio and market indexes could move in different directions. Investors could run an analysis to determine how correlated their portfolio return is to S&P and Nasdaq returns. On May 31st, the June contract of E-Mini S&P 500 (ESM4) is quoted 5,299.25. The out-of-the-money (OTM) call strike 5,400 is quoted at 13.75. The options contract will expire on June 21st, the third Friday of the contract month. • To sell 1 call option, the investor is required to deposit a margin of $11,800. He will receive an upfront premium from options buyer for $687.50 (=13.75 X $50). • If June futures stays below 5,400 in the next three weeks, the investor will pocket the upfront premium as investment income. • Hypothetically, if futures price reach 5,500, which is 100 points over the strike, our short options position will incur a loss of $5,000 (= 100 x 50). This will be more than the premium received, but still below the margin deposit. On May 31st, the June contract of E-Mini Nasdaq 100 (NQM4) is quoted 18,570.75. The OTM call strike 19,500 is quoted at 14.50. The options contract will expire on June 21st. • To sell 1 call option, the investor is required to deposit a margin of $17,700. He will receive an upfront premium from options buyer for $290 (=14.50 X 20). • If June futures stays below 19,500 in the next three weeks, the investor will pocket the premium as investment income. • Hypothetically, if futures price reach 20,000, which is 500 points over the strike, our short options position will incur a loss of $10,000 (= 500 x $20). This will be more than the premium received, but still below the margin deposit. Option selling is risky. The Fed’s inaction and low volatility give us some comfort here, but we still could be wrong. The June 12th meeting is 12 days before options expiration. If the market indexes rise sharply, options seller could buy back the options in the open market at a loss. He may be able to prevent the loss from getting too big by closing the unprotected position. Options traders could find CME’s Options Calculator a valuable tool in structuring their options strategies. The best part, it is free. www.cmegroup.com Happy Trading. Disclaimers *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com by JimHuangChicago3
GDP drop as expect + Bear Flag If you check 1D time frame you can see Gap down that show strong selling pressure On 1H show bear flag show impulse down wave hope this trade set up is good this time Shortby tofinse1
Bounce by ES 5180 LONG from there.This is the additional Pivot level we added to the Indicator CD_Camarilla All_Levels, so it is the extreme of the extreme buy level. Buying at this level S6 is very safe, just like selling an ALL time High R6, which has never cost me. If you dob't know about The Pivots study my Ideas. We had. run for 3 months with over 99 trades before we had a loss ( We sold R5, and the FOMC made a surprise RATE change which aused the market to go up for 2 months. Lesson to be learned there is #1 always safe a stop outside the pivots range, a catastropic stop, not a "tight stop" whch the MM use to tforce overtrading. #2 Don't trade, as a rule, before an FOMC announcement. These are swing trades based on 60" to 6 hour charrts, The Pivots don't show up in daily and above charts. If you understand what The Pivots are and how they work you know why. a days pivot range is created based on the previous intraday Pivots range. My trades are also based on many other factors, elliot waves, TTM Squeeze Pro, Candlesticks, etc. In a 6 hour chart we have a shooting star to continue down. No doubt we will explore S5 and possibly S6. I have been posting Ideas for 8 years here. Look at my past posts.. 2019 i predicted we would go up for 5 more Ellitot waves before the first ATH Jan 22. My next major post/Idee was March 2022, I shared that we had a "Tripple Thrust parrern from 2010 we went up on 3 sets of 5 waves up, corrected down from a lwer high, down for 6000 points on the NQ. Then I posted we would continue up as part of Elliots, Grand Supercycle Bull Market to new ATH which we have all seen. If you like my Ideas please follow me. I called this a LONG, but don't buy before S5 or S6 next week.Longby dryanhawleyUpdated 1
Getting ready for Friday's numbersThursdays movement in the S&P 500 will get the market ready for the Friday labor numbers. The expectation is for continuation to movement to the upside and a close above 5390.02:18by DanGramza2
AMP Futures - Contract roll over using proper CQG symbol map.In this video we will demonstrate how to roll your contracts over using the proper CQG symbol map.Education05:51by AMP_Futures3
AMP Futures - New Volume Delta IndicatorsIn this video we will demonstrate how to access the New Volume Delta Indicators with TradingView.Education04:49by AMP_Futures3
AMP Futures - Volume Footprint Chart typeIn this video we will demonstrate how to use the NEW Volume footprint chart type.Education03:52by AMP_Futures3
ES Low of Week Pullback For Bullish Weekly CandleNow that Monday has printed, the weekly template that it has revealed is a bullish expansion week and Monday is the low of the week. I just now entered in market order at 5324.00 with a 6 point stop down at 5318.00 and a target at 5364.00 for 40 points or 6.6:1 I don't believe price will be returning back below the Low of Week, if it holds. Please see my prior post on the Dow Jones for more details Longby travis18haneyUpdated 222
Fair Value Gaps With Fibonacci Has Changed My Trading ForeverGave yall this one last night for FREE When we get the 618 Fibonacci in a fair value gap the win rate can dramatically increase Got $3k on this trade in 15 mins I plan to share more PLEASE DROP A LIKE AND FOLLOW!by tradingwarzone1
Now over $6k on this trade gave yall last week Here is the FULL System for FREE 1 - Identify the FALSE breakdown or trap AKA double bottom 2 - Wait for the FVG to form to enter the trade 3 - To increase the win rate add the FIBONACCI tool and enter on the 618 within the FVG Drop a LIKE For more FREE SYSTEMS AND TRADE IDEAS!by tradingwarzone1