S&P 500 $ES EoM ReviewAll-time highs booked @ $5,368.25 before a minor retracement below the 13th May 24 lows. Area of interest: Buystops: $5,368.25 Sellstops: $5,205.50, $5,166.5014:56by LegendSinceUpdated 0
Lean and Prep 6.5.24ES Trade Plan Inflection: 5297 Upper lvls: 5325 / 5344 / 5358 Lower lvls: 5272-5280 / 5252 / 5226 NQ Trade Plan Inflection: 18656 Upper lvls: 18831-18859 / 18916-18951 / 19049 Lower lvls: 18596 / 18570-18591 / 18471 / 18310-18341 Stay Frosty!07:14by Beyond_ChartsUpdated 0
Live Trade Analysis on MNQ Using PO3, FRVP, Goldbach and ICTHello traders, Today, I'm excited to share a detailed analysis of a live trade I executed on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 (MNQ) futures market. This trade exemplifies the fusion of several advanced trading concepts: PO3, Fixed Range Volume Profile (FRVP), Goldbach, Inner Circle Trader (ICT) methodologies, and Fair Value Gaps (FVG). Let's dive into the trade, the rationale behind it, and the results. Setting the Stage PO3 (Power of Three) PO3 is a concept that identifies three key phases in market movements: Accumulation, Manipulation, and Distribution. Recognizing these phases helps traders anticipate market moves and identify optimal entry and exit points. Fixed Range Volume Profile (FRVP) The FRVP is a powerful tool that shows the volume distribution over a specific range of price data. It helps in identifying high volume nodes (HVNs) and low volume nodes (LVNs), which serve as potential support and resistance levels. Goldbach Goldbach's trading strategy revolves around statistical probabilities and mathematical models to identify high-probability trade setups. It complements other technical analysis tools by adding a layer of probabilistic insight. Inner Circle Trader (ICT) Concepts ICT concepts emphasize understanding market structure, liquidity, and order flow. Key elements include liquidity pools, market maker buy/sell models, and institutional order flow. Fair Value Gaps (FVG) FVGs occur when there is a price gap between consecutive bars, indicating areas of potential liquidity. These gaps often serve as magnets for price, offering opportunities for reversals or continuations. The Trade Market Context Today's trade setup began with a thorough analysis of the MNQ market during the pre-market hours. Using the PO3 concept, I identified the accumulation phase as the market consolidated within a tight range. This was followed by a brief manipulation phase, marked by a false breakout to the downside, which quickly reversed. Volume Profile Analysis Using the FRVP, I identified significant volume clusters that aligned with the accumulation zone. The highest volume node (HVN) within this range acted as a critical support level. Conversely, the low volume nodes (LVNs) highlighted potential areas of resistance where the market might struggle to break through. Goldbach and ICT Confluences I overlaid Goldbach's probability models onto the existing market structure, which provided additional confirmation of the high-probability zones identified by the FRVP. ICT concepts further reinforced these levels by highlighting liquidity pools and likely institutional activity. Identifying the Fair Value Gap (FVG) During the manipulation phase, a noticeable FVG formed as the price swiftly moved down and then reversed. This gap indicated an area where price was likely to return, providing a prime entry opportunity. Execution Entry I entered the trade as the price retraced to the FVG, aligning with the HVN identified by the FRVP. The confluence of these factors—volume profile support, FVG, and the probabilistic edge from Goldbach—provided a robust entry signal. Management and Exit The trade was managed using a trailing stop approach, initially set below the HVN to protect against adverse moves. As the price moved in favor of the trade, I adjusted the stop to lock in profits, eventually exiting at a significant resistance level identified by the LVN on the FRVP. Results and Reflection The trade concluded with a solid profit, showcasing the power of combining multiple advanced trading concepts. The integration of PO3, FRVP, Goldbach, ICT, and FVG provided a multi-faceted approach that significantly enhanced the trade's success probability. Key Takeaways Confluence is Key: Combining multiple concepts and tools increases the reliability of trade setups. Volume Profile Insight: The FRVP is invaluable for identifying support and resistance levels based on actual market participation. Liquidity Awareness: Understanding liquidity pools and gaps helps anticipate market movements and avoid traps. Mathematical Edge: Goldbach's probabilistic models add a quantitative layer to traditional technical analysis. This trade is a testament to the effectiveness of a well-rounded trading strategy that leverages diverse methodologies. I encourage fellow traders to explore these concepts further and integrate them into their own trading plans for enhanced performance. Happy trading, Lord MEDZ10:25by SkinwahUpdated 0
ES OverNight Price Action REview 6-5-24Going over Price Overnight sEession. we are basing in a 20 pt range. not much to do but wait for the market to put in a setup. no setup/no trade Wednesday. keep working hard. always remember to eliminate what isnt working and double down on what is working. 03:01by BobbyS8130
ES poised to go higherIt looks like are going into a 5th wave complex, in trend, and impulsive. looks at this time that the 4th wave i s complets, sideways correction we will see by dryanhawley1
#ES_F Day Trading Prep Week 06.02 - 06.07Last Week : Last week market opened up outside of Value, build some more supply then started the correction lower, we were able to move down to VAL where we found our first Support where we were able to do some covering but eventually we broke, held under and go continuation towards the Lower Edge, we were able to test its bottom where we ran out of Supply and got a sharp reversal back inside Value for a big move from VAL to VAH. This Week : Going into this week if we look at Structure we can see we did a look below VAL and fail which gave a return trip to VAH which we tagged, build more supply under and Failed which gave another round trip back to VAL and this time we tagged Key Support at 5249.75 - 44.75 and it acted as proper Key Support giving another big bounce all the way back towards Key Area and as we can see end of day push over 5295.50 - 90.25. Globex consolidated over Key Area but was not able to hold and we got a flush back inside the Means of 5295.50 - 44.75 Range. This to me screams balance, and I think market will want to stay around these areas going forward until we will build up enough supply to accept under VAL or get stronger buyers to give us acceptance over VAH. My bias is that we might not see higher prices over 5320-40s for some time but of course we never know and have to trade what market gives, for now I believe this current intraday range can finally become our balance range which we haven't gotten in some time, we have been moving ranges back and forth without spending too long in each and I think its about time we get some good balance action that can last a while. The way I will be trading this we have our intraday range means at 5279.25 - 75.25 // 5264.75 - 60.75 this is the area where price might want to keep returning back into, pushes out of them can go towards the Key Edges of 5295.50 - 90.25 as our Resistance and 5249.75 - 44.75 but this is the time to be careful with looking perfect tags or too much continuation outside of Key Edges because if we have found balance we will look for any pushes out of the Means to return back either from failures at/above/below Key Support/Resistance or we could even see pushes out of means that will consolidate above/below without tagging Key Edges and then return back in, and when price is between this will be our balance/build up area. Will continue trading this range until we can see clear acceptance Over or Under Key Support/Resistance and holds over/under VAH/VAL. Levels to Watch : Current Range 5295.50 - 5244.75 Means 5279.25 - 75.25 // 5264.75- 60.75 Key Resistance 5295.50 - 90.25 Key Support 5249.75 - 44.75 IF we do happen to leave balance and accept under/over the ranges would be Above : 5341 - 36 Key Resistance 5324.75 - 20.75 // 5310.50 - 06.50 Means 5295.50 - 90.25 Below : 5234.25 - 30.25 // 5219.75 - 15.75 Means 5204.25 - 5199.75 Key Support by HollowMnUpdated 0
Watching for Make or Break?Watching carefully the blue horizontal line. If it doesn't break, I am almost certain to claim that a downtrend will be begin.Shortby hweikang0
ES 1/3 AWR 1/3 AWR can send us higher! it usually acts as true support / resistance like today!Longby KeclikkUpdated 1
Rising wedge on the S&PWith the rejection of lower prices at the trend line, the S&P appears to be in a rising wedge at what I assume is the end of the uptrend. With FOMC meeting on the 12th, it could be the catalyst for more volatility. But with the VIX broken and a seemingly endless bull run, it is prudent to expect another wrench to be thrown into the fray before July. I'm watching for the pattern to complete by July 5th as of now. by poedric0
Hey traders, it's Lord MEDZ here! In today's videoI'm excited to walk you through a fantastic trade I executed earlier on the Micro Nasdaq Futures (MNQ). Utilizing the ICT Fair Value Gap (FVG), Order Block (OB), and Market Structure Shift (MSS) strategies, I managed to achieve an impressive 11:1 risk-reward ratio within just 20 minutes, all during the New York power hour. We'll dive deep into the 15-second timeframe to break down every detail of this trade. Stay tuned to see how I leveraged these powerful tools to maximize my gains. Let's get into it! 10:08by SkinwahUpdated 0
ES1! afternoon updateThree examples of the .618 fib holding support since the low of 4963.50. Bulls certainly seem intent on getting SPX to 6000. I think that as long as buyers are entering at and holding support at technical levels, no reason to doubt we see 6000 by the end of the year.by discobiscuit0
The Mechanics Of Trading - Part X - EOD 2 Min ES RecapPart X - End Of Day 2 Min ES Recap I started this video because a friend asked me for help determining trends on multi-interval (time frames) and asked how I look at trading across multiple intervals. Asking how to best setup/use price trends to capture the best trade setups. Essentially, it comes down to three key components... A. Initial reversal/impulse waves should be traded lightly (if at all). They are the "potential price reversal setups" that are usually the most dangerous for traders (and often fairly short in length). B. Looking for the second wave to form provides traders with the opportunity to catch the bigger Wave-3. This wave forms after the impulse (Wave-1) and a corrective wave (Wave-2), which must stay below any previous ultimate high or above any previous ultimate low. C. Wave-3, and Wave-5 if applicable, are where traders can flex their muscles related to trade size using the techniques I present to try to capture the MEAT (Sweet Spot) of any trend. Remember, after Wave-3, you must prepare for the potential end of a trend setup where volatility is likely to increase and risks become a bit more elevated. I go over multiple techniques in this video. Fibonacci techniques and Fibonacci Price Theory Anchor Bars (breakaway bars) Using Fibonacci Retracements to identify key support/resistance levels for trending Stochastics RSI Wave formations (ZigZag) and Others This video is designed as an instructional video to help you incorporate usable techniques into your own trading style. Hope you enjoy.Education29:41by BradMatheny1
The Mechanics Of Trading - Part IX - ES Breakdown To SupportPart IX I started this video because a friend asked me for help determining trends on multi-interval (time frames) and asked how I look at trading across multiple intervals. Asking how to best setup/use price trends to capture the best trade setups. Essentially, it comes down to three key components... A. Initial reversal/impulse waves should be traded lightly (if at all). They are the "potential price reversal setups" that are usually the most dangerous for traders (and often fairly short in length). B. Looking for the second wave to form provides traders with the opportunity to catch the bigger Wave-3. This wave forms after the impulse (Wave-1) and a corrective wave (Wave-2), which must stay below any previous ultimate high or above any previous ultimate low. C. Wave-3, and Wave-5 if applicable, are where traders can flex their muscles related to trade size using the techniques I present to try to capture the MEAT (Sweet Spot) of any trend. Remember, after Wave-3, you must prepare for the potential end of a trend setup where volatility is likely to increase and risks become a bit more elevated. I go over multiple techniques in this video. Fibonacci techniques and Fibonacci Price Theory Anchor Bars (breakaway bars) Using Fibonacci Retracements to identify key support/resistance levels for trending Stochastics RSI Wave formations (ZigZag) and Others This video is designed as an instructional video to help you incorporate usable techniques into your own trading style. Hope you enjoy. Education19:24by BradMatheny0
The Mechanics Of Trading - Part VIII - Learning PatiencePart VIII I started this video because a friend asked me for help determining trends on multi-interval (time frames) and asked how I look at trading across multiple intervals. Asking how to best setup/use price trends to capture the best trade setups. Essentially, it comes down to three key components... A. Initial reversal/impulse waves should be traded lightly (if at all). They are the "potential price reversal setups" that are usually the most dangerous for traders (and often fairly short in length). B. Looking for the second wave to form provides traders with the opportunity to catch the bigger Wave-3. This wave forms after the impulse (Wave-1) and a corrective wave (Wave-2), which must stay below any previous ultimate high or above any previous ultimate low. C. Wave-3, and Wave-5 if applicable, are where traders can flex their muscles related to trade size using the techniques I present to try to capture the MEAT (Sweet Spot) of any trend. Remember, after Wave-3, you must prepare for the potential end of a trend setup where volatility is likely to increase and risks become a bit more elevated. I go over multiple techniques in this video. Fibonacci techniques and Fibonacci Price Theory Anchor Bars (breakaway bars) Using Fibonacci Retracements to identify key support/resistance levels for trending Stochastics RSI Wave formations (ZigZag) and Others This video is designed as an instructional video to help you incorporate usable techniques into your own trading style. Hope you enjoy.Education31:32by BradMatheny0
The Mechanics Of Trading - Part VII - 2 Min ES TrendingPart VII - Applying Success/Failure & Fibonacci Price Theory I started this video because a friend asked me for help determining trends on multi-interval (time frames) and asked how I look at trading across multiple intervals. Asking how to best setup/use price trends to capture the best trade setups. Essentially, it comes down to three key components... A. Initial reversal/impulse waves should be traded lightly (if at all). They are the "potential price reversal setups" that are usually the most dangerous for traders (and often fairly short in length). B. Looking for the second wave to form provides traders with the opportunity to catch the bigger Wave-3. This wave forms after the impulse (Wave-1) and a corrective wave (Wave-2), which must stay below any previous ultimate high or above any previous ultimate low. C. Wave-3, and Wave-5 if applicable, are where traders can flex their muscles related to trade size using the techniques I present to try to capture the MEAT (Sweet Spot) of any trend. Remember, after Wave-3, you must prepare for the potential end of a trend setup where volatility is likely to increase and risks become a bit more elevated. I go over multiple techniques in this video. Fibonacci techniques and Fibonacci Price Theory Anchor Bars (breakaway bars) Using Fibonacci Retracements to identify key support/resistance levels for trending Stochastics RSI Wave formations (ZigZag) and Others This video is designed as an instructional video to help you incorporate usable techniques into your own trading style. Hope you enjoy.Education19:43by BradMatheny0
PUT Spread on /ES Neutral to Long strategy58 days out, Jul 26th 90% chance to win on this trade without needing to adjust -4690 +4640 PUT side $100 premium, $13 in fees, $697 capital allocated 12.4% Will close around 50-70% Next time doing one of these will aim for at least $100 post fees.by leongabanUpdated 0
SP500**SP500:** This week's forecast will be for the price to drop to the bottom of the channel and after that we'll have the scenario of the price continuing its descent to the 4,993 zone or reversing the trend and retesting the historical highs.Shortby simaoxceps0
20240531 ESI anticipate more downside on 8.30 HI news, d ss raid and reversal to the upside for the rest of the day. Longby Yoo_CoolUpdated 0
Overnight Price ACtion REview ESGoing over the price action Overnight ES looking for clues and what our plan for the day is. 03:03by BobbyS8130
Bounce by ES 5180 LONG from there.This is the additional Pivot level we added to the Indicator CD_Camarilla All_Levels, so it is the extreme of the extreme buy level. Buying at this level S6 is very safe, just like selling an ALL time High R6, which has never cost me. If you dob't know about The Pivots study my Ideas. We had. run for 3 months with over 99 trades before we had a loss ( We sold R5, and the FOMC made a surprise RATE change which aused the market to go up for 2 months. Lesson to be learned there is #1 always safe a stop outside the pivots range, a catastropic stop, not a "tight stop" whch the MM use to tforce overtrading. #2 Don't trade, as a rule, before an FOMC announcement. These are swing trades based on 60" to 6 hour charrts, The Pivots don't show up in daily and above charts. If you understand what The Pivots are and how they work you know why. a days pivot range is created based on the previous intraday Pivots range. My trades are also based on many other factors, elliot waves, TTM Squeeze Pro, Candlesticks, etc. In a 6 hour chart we have a shooting star to continue down. No doubt we will explore S5 and possibly S6. I have been posting Ideas for 8 years here. Look at my past posts.. 2019 i predicted we would go up for 5 more Ellitot waves before the first ATH Jan 22. My next major post/Idee was March 2022, I shared that we had a "Tripple Thrust parrern from 2010 we went up on 3 sets of 5 waves up, corrected down from a lwer high, down for 6000 points on the NQ. Then I posted we would continue up as part of Elliots, Grand Supercycle Bull Market to new ATH which we have all seen. If you like my Ideas please follow me. I called this a LONG, but don't buy before S5 or S6 next week.Longby dryanhawleyUpdated 1
ES1! big picture updateMy bullish count for ES1!. I have us in wave 3 of (5) of ((3)) of V. It looks like wave 2 has completed. I expect ES1! to grind up the rest of the spring and summer, with target of ~6000 and the median line of the pitchfork drawn from COVID-19 low, January 2022 high and October 2022 low.by discobiscuit0
The Macro Narrative of the S&PThe S&P 500 is in a bit of a pickle in terms of orderflow. Looking at the Cumulative Delta Volume (CVD) and price, relative to April's highs, we see that the deltas have peeled off significantly. In this case, the CVD is showing exhaustion. Bulls are, perhaps, not as serious as before. This will give some solace to market short-sellers, though I would prefer to see absorption where CVD makes a higher high and the price does not. In any case, the swing in deltas from staggeringly positive to staggeringly negative gives us some insight into what the "big boys" are thinking. It is my opinion that we will see MES (and SPX) in the upper 4900-5000 range in the coming weeks. Summers are notoriously slow for trading, so it will be interesting to see how this develops. Shortby PureDeltaUpdated 4
Traders Alert ! May 31,2024Traders Alert ! If the Front Month S+P 500 Futures Contract June 2024 (ESM24), closes below 5216.75, then a potential waterfall decline could occur. Traders are advised to closely monitor the market this afternoon near the close, as Month- End Position Squaring, especially those on the wrong side of this market, as well as the two day weekend,could heighten market volatility dramatically during the first week of June. THE_UNWIND Woods Of ConnecticutShortby The_UnwindUpdated 338