Hello,Traders!
US30 went down from the
Horizontal resistance above
Just as I predicted but is now
Retesting a horizontal support
From where a local rebound
Is somewhat likely
Buy!
Like, comment and subscribe to boost your trading!
See other ideas below too!
Recently I posted my analysis of the 30Y yield. That posts is here .
Since then bond yields have moved higher. As I stated in my original post this could end up between 5%-6% before any meaningful pullback.
Best to all,
Chris
This chart appears pretty well behaved. This decline in yield has come right into the .382% retracement area of wave 3 for a wave 4 bottom. If the 30Y bond continues to behave...yields are headed above 5%. To some of you reading this...that may sound like a stretch.
To those who like correlations...I wonder what happens to stocks if this plays...
Hey traders,
Here is our forecast on US30Y.
US30Y reached a strong resistance area.
Based on our outlook the market will dump to the next structure support.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
✅US30_BONDS price went up sharply
But a strong resistance level was hit
Thus, as a pullback is already happening
And a move down towards the target shall follow
SHORT🔥
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Hello,Traders!
US30Y went up sharply
Retested the horizontal resistance
And made a pullback so I think
We will see a retest
Of the support level below
Sell!
Like, comment and subscribe to boost your trading!
See other ideas below too!
Understanding the basics of Bonds is very important to traders/investors. Yields (interest rates) are like gravity to other
asset classes. The higher yields go the more gravity on other asset classes. Most are unaware of this simple rule bc most
traders today have never had to deal with inflation and rising rates.
I can't go too much more in explaining it all...
What are GOVERNMENT BONDS YIELD?
Bonds are Fixed Income instruments that allow investors to anticipate the flow of funds they will receive.
What does an inverted yield curve mean?
Put simply, this means that short-term US debt is more profitable than long-term debt. Economic theory says that in a “normal” situation, long-term lending should be more...
Hello,Traders!
US30 is trading in a downtrend
And the price is retesting
The broken horizontal key level
Which is now a resistance
From where a move down
Is to be expected
Sell!
Like, comment and subscribe to boost your trading!
See other ideas below too!
Is 4% yield the end for the 10 year?
The fed is talking about increasing the base rate further so I doubt it is the bottom but we do see a similar move here versus the begging of the sell off. Moving about .23% on the yield today versus the beginning of the sell off does leave one to wonder. Are we close to the bottom? Does this mean that equities have the green...
US 30-Year Government Bonds Yield in full flight, breaking 2018 highs. Major support at 3.80
A complete five-wave pattern could land bond prices at 4.85-5.11
Looking at this chart it looks like the bond yields on 30 year treasuries capitulated between January and March 2020 and now we could be in a trend reversal from the large downward parallel channel. Indeed the long bond sell off seems to be accelerating as the price has now broken out of the upward sloping channel.
30Y have benefited from rotational flows out of the S/T part of the curve into longer dated, Technically speaking the 30Y has broken out of downward trend and is indicating a strong upside move, with a first target around 3.71/3.75% by next month.
All the fixed tenure yields have broken above their four decades of downtrend. - 2yr, 5yr, 10 yr & 30yr
To note, the shorter end, the fixed 2 year tenure yield is climbing faster than the longer end, the U.S. fixed 30 year tenure government bond yield.
The year closing, it will be crucial to determine the trend transition; from this long-term downtend to uptrend.
I notice that whenever a crash occurs, bond market would be offloaded prior to the event.
Order block was printed on the 1st of October 2018 prior to covid. Bearish fair value gaps printed and rebalanced in 2019 prior to the crash.
Note that Buyside liquidity (BSL) has been taken out, I would speculate that the market is currently printing a bearish order block....
Alright so I've come up with a formula between different US Bond Yields resulting in an oscillator indicator - which successfully signals tops on the stock markets and the bear market after.
Based on the area where that oscillator crosses the 0 value (down), we start topping until it comes back up. This period last in average around 1 year and is aligningt +/-...
