Geofftv1

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About me Just retired, active interest in charting with Elliott Waves and trendlines.
Joined Scotland
Markets Allocation
7 % indices 5 % forex 1 % stocks 87 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
UKX 45% | 51 XAUUSD 17% | 20 US 13% | 15 SPX 5% | 6
Geofftv1 Geofftv1 DJI, W,
DJI: DOW - Possible turning point reached.
70 0 2
DJI, W
DOW - Possible turning point reached.

DOW has reached a possible turning point with wave 5 being ,618 of waves 1-3. RSI is way overbought and a throwover from 2009 origin trendline has occured. Good luck.

Geofftv1 Geofftv1 UKX, 60, Short ,
UKX: FTSE - Turning at possible D.Top
67 1 2
UKX, 60 Short
FTSE - Turning at possible D.Top

FTSE was rejected at the upper blue trendline and formed a double top. look for drop to lower blue trendline. Good Luck

Geofftv1 Geofftv1 UKX, M, Short ,
UKX: FTSE - Supercycle Chart (revisited)
153 9 3
UKX, M Short
FTSE - Supercycle Chart (revisited)

My previous long term chart was violated by the FTSE rising above 7600. This new chart portrays FTSE in a large expanded Flat correction starting in 2007. Currently wave b is nearly complete possibly at around 7750 where wave c = (1.618 wave a) of FLAT wave b. If correct FTSE will then start a prolonged bear market to at least 3280. Good Luck

Geofftv1 Geofftv1 UKX, W,
UKX: FTSE - Weekly Roadmap Update:
70 2 0
UKX, W
FTSE - Weekly Roadmap Update:

FTSE has continued to show strength right up to the close in 2017! If correct this weekly chart shows the final waves of an ending diagonal starting back in 2009 after the last major bear market. Pink Trendlines. All main indicators are showing strong bearish divergence and 2018 may see the start of a much more severe correction? Good Luck

Geofftv1 Geofftv1 US30, 60, Short ,
US30: US30 Possible double top
163 3 4
US30, 60 Short
US30 Possible double top

Looks like a double top may have been made, wait for close below lower trendline to confirm.

Geofftv1 Geofftv1 SPX, 60, Short ,
SPX: SPX - Not quite finished yet? Maybe?
428 5 7
SPX, 60 Short
SPX - Not quite finished yet? Maybe?

This 4 hour chart looks in detail at the EW count from Sept which if correct is Primary wave 4 forming a triangle correction. Primary wave 5 circle is nearing completion and may already be complete? however my own hunch is that SPX will trace out an ending diagonal as shown to top around 2788-2790 before xmas. When SPX closes below the 2016 trend line I think it ...

Geofftv1 Geofftv1 SPX, 60,
SPX: SPX - Not quite finished yet?
381 13 6
SPX, 60
SPX - Not quite finished yet?

SPX looks to have completed a running flat for intermediate wave (4) and is now in wave (5) which may aim for the 2016 trend line to form a possible double top? Good Luck

Geofftv1 Geofftv1 XAUUSD, D, Short ,
XAUUSD: GOLD - Targets 1230 then 1210
268 2 4
XAUUSD, D Short
GOLD - Targets 1230 then 1210

Building on my idea back from July GOLD looks to be in wave C of a large triangle which may end around 1210 where wave (a) = (c) Good Luck

Geofftv1 Geofftv1 UKX, D, Short ,
UKX: FTSE - 9 year support trendline being tested.
40 0 0
UKX, D Short
FTSE - 9 year support trendline being tested.

This chart back to 2009 shown a very solid support trendline with a PP that has been tested multiple times, if the suggested ending diagonal is correct then a break of this trendline could happen soon signalling a trend reversal. Good Luck

Geofftv1 Geofftv1 UKX, 240, Short ,
UKX: FTSE - 4Hr Update
78 5 5
UKX, 240 Short
FTSE - 4Hr Update

FTSE is currently in minor wave 3 of Intermediate wave (3) downwards. Next targets down are 7200 and 7100. Good Luck

Geofftv1 Geofftv1 DJI, M, Short ,
DJI: DOW Monthly - Bulls Beware!
320 9 6
DJI, M Short
DOW Monthly - Bulls Beware!

This monthly chart shows the Dow DJI index and the Average True Range indicator ATR which measures volatility. Note the textbook triangle in ATR in which has now reached the end of wave 'e' at the same time that the DJI has just thrown over the long term parallel trendlines drawn from waves 2 to 4 and wave 3.Good Luck

Geofftv1 Geofftv1 SPX, 120, Short ,
SPX: SPX - Updated Chart, on track.
389 13 9
SPX, 120 Short
SPX - Updated Chart, on track.

This 2 hour chart updates my earlier chart from 28th Oct in which I identified 2610 as a possible top for the SPX. If correct SPX is in an ending diagonal and has just completed wave 3 at 2604.39. Wave 4 should show a small correction before wave 5 finally drives SPX to 2610 or just above if a throwover occurs. Good Luck

Geofftv1 Geofftv1 UKX, 60, Short ,
UKX: FTSE - Combination retrace of wave (1)
54 0 5
UKX, 60 Short
FTSE - Combination retrace of wave (1)

FTSE did not reach the 0.236 retrace of wave (1) on the first attempt and now looks like a combination correction is in progress and nearly complete. FLAT-ZIGZAG-ZIGZAG. If correct this correction will reach 7410 before wave 3 down starts.

Geofftv1 Geofftv1 XAUUSD, 240, Long ,
XAUUSD: GOLD - 4 Hour update, expanding diagonal.
339 4 11
XAUUSD, 240 Long
GOLD - 4 Hour update, expanding diagonal.

Gold seems to be now tracing out an expanding diagonal for wave Y as shown on the chart. In an expanding diagonal wave 3 is greater than wave 1 and wave 5 is greater than wave 3, hence if correct I expect gold to reach above the 1300 level and into the target zone. Good Luck

Geofftv1 Geofftv1 DJI, 240, Short ,
DJI: DJI - 4 Hour Update
282 24 6
DJI, 240 Short
DJI - 4 Hour Update

DJI looks to have completed wave 1 and is now in wave C of a FLAT correction which may terminate at the 0.618fib retrace (very soon) OR if further strength left at the 0.786 fib. Two of the Three open gaps have been filled. Good Luck

Geofftv1 Geofftv1 XAUUSD, 240, Long ,
XAUUSD: GOLD - 4 Hour Chart
463 21 14
XAUUSD, 240 Long
GOLD - 4 Hour Chart

The EW structure in GOLD is very difficult to figure out lately but zooming down to the 15min level enables a pattern to be obtained. This 4 Hour chart shows my continuing idea from 29th Oct which has GOLD currently in a W,X,Y correction back to the 50% fib retrace level at 1309. Wave (x) has completed along with minor wave 1 of the (Y) wave. A small decline to ...

Geofftv1 Geofftv1 UKX, 240, Short ,
UKX: FTSE - 4 Hour Chart
139 8 8
UKX, 240 Short
FTSE - 4 Hour Chart

In previous posts I have indicated the FTSE will likely fall when the US markets top out, this looks to have occurred late last week. FTSE is in minute wave 1 down and will likely complete at around 7345 which is the fib 61.8 retrace of previous impulse and hitting the bottom red trend line. Note these trend lines were acting as resistance BUT now will act as ...

Geofftv1 Geofftv1 DJI, 60, Short ,
DJI: DJI - Topped, gaps to fill?
179 24 7
DJI, 60 Short
DJI - Topped, gaps to fill?

I will use the DJI for future charts instead of US30 as this provides gap information which is important when markets are moving quickly. DJI topped on 9th Nov at 23556 which is very close to my predictions and the 1.618 fib level shown on my previous chart. A five wave down has completed and DJI has retraced 61.8% of this BUT there are two open gaps at which may ...

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