Killy_Mel

Killy_Mel

EURUSD has broken outside the 1st standard deviation from weekly (120-h) mean amid expanding volatility, signaling a probability of a leg of weekly uptrend. Traders can take long positions close to the upper 1st standard deviation (1.1225 now) with stops at weekly mean (1.1175) Target is 100 pips off the 1st standard deviation - at 1.1320, with break-even level...

Killy_Mel

Travelers is the second best looking stock in our Dow Jones Overviews so far (after Nike) On long term basis it is trading firmly above 10-year uptrend border - 1st standard deviation from 10-year mean (at 87.75) - and did not even tag it during the August market-wide sell-off Price is also currently testing the 5-year uptrend, trading close to its border - the...

Killy_Mel

Procter & Gamble is in uncertain situation on macro basis. On long term basis price is trading between 10-year and 5-year means. Price close to macro means is actually an outlier, an indication of uncertainty of major market participants and investors regarding the stock. On short term basis price is currently on downward risk, as it trades below the 1st...

Killy_Mel

Pfizer is doing pretty well on long term perspective Price has tested and held the 10-year trend, by falling to 10-year uptrend border (at 30.5) during August selloff, then bouncing back up from it Price is also currently restoring its 5-year trend, however it is yet to trade above the 5 -year uptrend border at 33 Nothing stops the price from trending upwards -...

Killy_Mel

USDJPY is breaking back into the 1st st deviation from weekly mean amid compressing volatility (measured by 3.2 st deviations from weekly mean), siting high probability to reach the mean itself @ 120 Traders can take long positions at the lower 1st standard deviation @ 119.625 with stops below relevant lows @ 119.17 Traders should also mind JP news coming out 0:30 UTC

Killy_Mel

Recently GBPUSD has broken below lower 1st standard deviation from quarterly mean, initiating a new leg downwards. If the price continues down from here, the closest target is relevant lows at 1.5150 If those are taken out, price will be very likely to fall to the lower 1st standard deviation from 1-year mean at 1.5000 Thus downwards scenario will be only...

Killy_Mel

Rusian MICEX index, measured in US dollars is on risk of another severe breakdown. Price is now currently trading at a key level - converged lower 1st standard deviations from 1-year and quarterly means (@ 24.75) If the level is taken out, price will be open to fall to its relevant lows @ 23 and If those are broken down, next target would be 18.5 - the 2014...

Killy_Mel

IN OUR PREVIOUS IDEA ON SNP WE STATED THAT THE INDEX CANCELLED DOWNWARD RISK, AS IT TRADED ABOVE 1ST STANDARD DEVIATIONS FROM 1-YEAR AND QUARTERLY MEAN AT ABOUT 197 HOWEVER, MARKET PROVED US WRONG! PRICE HAS FALLEN BACK BELOW THE KEY LEVELS, THUS IS NOW OPEN TO MORE DOWNSIDE AT THIS STAGE WE CAN ONLY CONCLUDE THAT THE TRUE CANCELLATION OF DOWNWARD RISK WILL BE...

Killy_Mel

Nike is the best-looking stock from our Dow Jones overview so far On long term perspective it trades firmly above upper 1st standard deviation from 5 and 10 year means - which means that long term uptrends are well in progress. On short term basis the long term picture is confirmed by the slope of both 1-year and quarterly means. The august selloff did not...

Killy_Mel

Microsoft is restoring its long term up trends after late August selloff Recently the price bounced up from 10-year uptrend border, which is marked by the upper 1st standard deviation from 10-year mean @ 39.40. If the upwards impulse continues, price will also restore its 5-year uptrend, by trading above its border, marked by the upper 1st standard deviation...

Killy_Mel

EURUSD is currently on risk of breakdown, as it falls below 1st standard deviation from weekly (120-h) mean, amid expanding volatility (measured by 3.2 st deviations from the mean) - signaling downtrend probability Traders can pick short positions closer to the lower 1st standard deviation (at 1.12525) with STIOP at the mean itself (1.1315) Traders should mind...

Killy_Mel

Merck fell into uncertainty on long term basis, but is on risk to fall on short term perspective. On long term perspective price is now in lateral range after it failed 10-year uptrend, by falling below 1st standard deviation from 10-year mean @ 54.65 (now the range upper border). The lower border of the macro lateral range is marked by 5-year mean, standing now...

Killy_Mel

McDonalds trades flat both on long term and short term basis. On long term perspective price is now in lateral range after it failed 10-year uptrend, by falling below 1st standard deviation from 10-year mean @ 100 (now the range upper border). The lower border of the macro lateral range is marked by 5-year mean, standing now at 92.5 - MCD has tested and held this...

Killy_Mel

JPMorgan is testing its macro uptrend, after successfully testing its 10-year uptrend, currently price tires to reestablish its 5-year uptrend. Recently price has bounced up from the 10-year uptrend border, marked by 1st standard deviation from 10-year mean (at 57) Currently price is trading around its 5-year uptrend border, marked by upper 1st st deviation from...

Killy_Mel

JNJ micro picture currently contradicts macro one. On long term basis, JNJ has held the test of 10-year trend by falling below and then bouncing back up above the 10-year uptrend border (marked by 1st standard deviation from 10-year mean, now at 91) On short term basis, however, price has fallen below 1st standard deviations from quarterly (66-day) and 1-year...

Killy_Mel

Since about 2013 Gazprom trades laterally in relation to 1-year mean, giving abundant opportunity to take mean revertion trades. Mean revertion trade is when price goes from either 1st standard deviation from the mean to the mean itself On the chart I have pointed out such opportunities in the past (blue arrow is approximate entry towards the mean, highlighted...

Killy_Mel

IBM is on risk of 5-year downtrend after falling out from 1st standard deviation from 5-year mean. Additionally, price has fallen out of 1st standard deviation from 1-year mean, this is on short term downward risk as well. Thus unless price trades back above short term risk order @ 150.5 - and then back above larger downtrend risk border @ 157.5 - risk of...

Killy_Mel

Intel is restoring its long term uptrends. Recently the price broke above 10-year uptrend border, which is marked by the upper 1st standard deviation from 10-year mean. The breakout is aligned with a break of 1-year downtrend (price broke above the lower 1-st standard deviation from 1-year mean) If the upwards impulse continues, price will also likely to revert...