While I'm still 100% sure that we wil be visiting 50$ in the following 2-3 weeks, I would like to warn those few people who are overleveraged. Yesterday we broke below the 10 EMA(daily) and the 20 EMA (daily) was holding the price. We also reversed from the green support zone which is becoming stronger and stronger. Today the stock markets seem to be starting the...
It's also a good setup. It's bouncing from the 50 EMA and might print a nice run above 4$ in the following 3-4 weeks.
Today's candlestick predicting that this is going to be a filthy decline. I will use the EMAs to sign the breakdowns levels and the testbacks. Today we closed on the 20 EMA. I think we are going to break it down soon (maybe tonight). The next level to watch is the 50 EMA at 1239.7. A lot of people is watching the blue trendline below the 50EMA and I'm pretty sure...
I make the call : gold has topped in the 1st stage of its new bull market. The topping was so typical again. Break the price to new highs (above 1284). Get everyone bullish. Convince the shorts that price is running to the sky: so they will stop out. When early bulls, late bulls, short traders are all on board and the daily chart is breaking to new highs banks are...
Gold was not able to rally on the bad NFP data on Friday. All the gains are erased by now. Just as I predicted: they cleaned out the shorts with the Friday pop and price falled again. As we break below 1274$ bulls have to face a seriuos problem as they are on the wrong side of this market.
This week is going to be an interesting week. The week before last gold printed a bullish Marubozu candlestick with a breakout. But last week there was no follow through. We had a red doji candlestick. And the beginning of this week we are coming down again. We have divergence between price and the RSI. WHile we had a higher high in price RSI was not able to move...
Friday we printed a reversal candlestick on the daily chart. (Hammer candlestick with buillish body) We turned up from the 50 EMA and closed at the daily maximum with high volume. The RSI left overbought territory. Notice what did it mean in the past. It was always a start of a new rally. It's bullish. At least we are going to test the May 2015 highs. And this...
Everything seems to be perfect here. Even the trendline is working beautifully. Bad news for the dollar but price couldn't break the trendline. That's how cycles are working. Once a top is printed hten the direction can't be changed. MACD crossing down again. I'm looking for the trendline break soon.
I'm in this vehicle for a ong time. It seems to me that the pullback is done. We broke out of the channel and have the testback. If oil rallies on Monday price will soar after the gap open. Slow Stochastic had just crossed up, RSI left overbought. It's a long . If the main indexes (S&P , Nasdaq, Dow) printed their bottom on Friday it will support the rally in ERX also.
This week Monday the correction started in oil from the 300 EMA. It's not such an important level but the previous rally couldn't break it through. Candles, patterns, volume & EMA We had 2 big red candle day : one of them below the average volume and next day above the average. The 2nd day price closed below the 10 EMA. When price is closing below the 10 EMA...
Today on the daily chart we had a nothing day. As the doji shows direction is not decided yet... As I said on the hourly chart post gold's intermediate decline is starting uneasily... Bulls are still hoping buying every dip , posting into my posts, trying to convince me that I'm in the wrong direction. Shorts are nervous. Taking profit after every 5$ decline......
Today I was waiting for a stronger decline, but gold's intermediate declines are starting slowly. Once she finds the right direction she is unstoppable. Why did I halfed down the XAUUSD position? I'm still sure that gold topped 4 days ago. I still think that we are heading down to the 50 EMA and later to the 200 EMA. Nothing has changed.But I think gold will try...
Back to the old plan.... Most of the traders start to realize that this is not the market you can short. We took out yesterday's high and now taking out the day before yesterday's high. Though the day before yesterday we closed below the 10 EMA yesterday there was no follow through with a very high volume : we closed exactly on the 10 EMA. That's why I posted...
S&P having a very interesting cycle.It had a strong rally in the previous weeks and close to the highs. Everybody is waiting for a correction now. The maximum level of the correction is the 200 EMA . No more... The RSI is already at oversold levels just like the prevoius reversals. So we might tag the 200 EMA and maybe not. But we will run to new highs soon in...
We printed a bullish pin bar candlestick today which is a very bullish sign that price is reversing. I noticed that only a few people are watching the the US Dollar Index. If you want to be successfull you have to watch this index every day. It's more important than the EurUsd.... What happened exactly in the US Dollar Index today? What was the fundamental...
EurUsd has printed a shooting star candlestick yesterday. We are so late in this intermediate cycle that this must be the sign of the reversal. Today we have the swing so all the swing traders and candlestick reversal traders are already on board for the short trade. MACD and RSI are showing divergencies. Though we couldn't tag the upper trendline and the...
We are on day 27 today. We bounced from the 10 EMA yesterday. This is normal. But don't wait for a big rally to 1300+ ... We have maximum 7 days from now for a move down into the daily cycle low. Today the dip buyers were buying gold as a backtest of the breakout. As soon as bulls will realize that it's not a backtest but we are heading down to the 50 EMA and to...
If oil had bottomed then shippers will start to rally also. This is one of them I'm watching for a while. It is now tagging the 10 EMA. It was 120 $ when oil was shining. If the oil bear ended it could rally 1000-2000%. Not an all in trade but it can run up to 6$ or 9$ easily. We are runnig out of sellers. As oil finishes this small decline it will start to run again.