To keep actively trading Bitcoin short... I am watching and trading Bitcoin futures. This morning there was a 30 minute timeframe Spike right at the level I have been watching since after the ETF launch: the 50% Retracement of the "Sell the News" phase. I am looking for price to hold this level as Resistance and retrace at least back to 41000 in short time. ...
With the stock market making new All Time Highs fresh new opportunities for contrarian trades are going to be somewhat scarce. Thanks to a viewer on my Livestream (every Friday on Tradingview: 4pm EST UTC-5) I was made aware of a short setup I like on NYSE:JPM Context This price action is happening at a test of the past ATH set in November 2021. Last week...
"Buy the rumor/Sell the news" is a phenomenon as old as markets. It was like betting on the sun not to rise tomorrow. I have talked to many Bitcoin enthusiasts who are perplexed by this occurrence. They were assured by various Twitter personalities that this week would see the largest inflow of capital into Bitcoin ever, price would rise, and if they just...
Since September 2023 Bitcoin has been in a rally predicated on the Bitcoin ETF launch. The chart has setup in accordance with my technical rules to finally short (bet against) the price action. I am also going to use this post to expand upon my broader bearish outlook on Bitcoin at present and into the future. I was definitively Bullish on Bitcoin in Q1 if...
A viewer on my Livestream Friday brought to my attention that Pfizer NYSE:PFE is coming off a major low (COVID Low) and has done a pullback to the 50% of the Impulse Move off said low. This is why I love doing Livestreams and having a trading community... idea crowdsourcing! I like these setups especially as the S&P 500 and many stocks within it are making new...
INDEX:ETHUSD has sold off from the recent high down to a critical support at 2406. This support is the 50% Retracement of the Year to Date bullish thrust and also matches with the Ichimoku Kijun Sen. The Support level is also held up by the prior highs of the December 2023 consolidation range. When analyzing this chart to make an opinion if the Support may...
I'm currently SHORT Bitcoin... but an honest assessment of price is that the trend is still bullish. How can I have cognitive dissonance? I'll explain...
Bitcoin was supposed to go UP on the ETF launch news... but it did the opposite! Why this was just another "sell the news" event.
Today at 4:11 PM EST (UTC-5) the @SECGov Twitter account posted confirmation that Bitcoin ETFs had been approved. Bitcoin price spiked immediately on this news but the following price action is most interesting. The hacker that made the Tweet, presuming the news would create a large, sustained bullish move, likely LOST MONEY on his illicit trade. Tradingview...
First stream of 2024! Let's talk about some possible themes and opportunities this year!
This morning I received a volatility alert on $NASDAQ:WBA. The stock had earnings today and the resulting price action was bearish down to a significant potential support level. The Trade The Weekly the Ichimoku 9-period (red line) shows that short term 50% level as it goes flat providing a Weekly entry point. The risk is that price makes another major low. ...
One of my primary technical analysis trading tools is that of False Breakouts or as I identify them; Spikes . I have found that when prices moves quickly in one direction only to return in the opposite direction within the same or following candle this indicates a potential reversal with a high probability. The corollary to this concept is that if price does...
Last Stream of 2023! Time to retire the old bull and look for the new!
The Bears have been talking "Market Crash" all year but here we are at potentially new All Time Highs? Why were they so wrong???
Is crypto trading back again with a new alt-season?
A derivative indicator I have used for many years to analyze Bitcoin is the BITFINEX:BTCUSDLONGS symbol on Tradingview which displays the number of Bitcoins held in Leveraged Long positions on the Bitfinex platform. This is an indicator of the aggregate long positions held on margin on the platform. It can be used to see what speculative position holders are...
What does the field of On-Chain Analysis say about the price (present and future) of Bitcoin right now?
Should we be buying Bitcoin or bonds right now?