tristan.rhodes

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Joined tristanbob
Markets Allocation
97 % stocks 3 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
SPY 46% | 14 AAPL 6% | 2 TEVA 3% | 1 ANF 3% | 1
tristan.rhodes tristan.rhodes SWN, D, Long ,
SWN: SWN breaking up from double bottom, target = $15
38 0 1
SWN, D Long
SWN breaking up from double bottom, target = $15

SWN has made a double bottom, and just today broken the neckline. Target is $15, stop loss is $9.

tristan.rhodes tristan.rhodes CMG, D, Long ,
CMG: Chipotle nearing double support @ $440
40 0 1
CMG, D Long
Chipotle nearing double support @ $440

CMG has support from 2012 highs around $440. The 0.618 retracement is also right at that same level. I will try a buy limit order at $440, with a stop loss at $420.

tristan.rhodes tristan.rhodes BABA, D, Long ,
BABA: BABA: Potential Inverse Head and Shoulders
151 0 0
BABA, D Long
BABA: Potential Inverse Head and Shoulders

This is a little early of an entry, but the BABA chart looks similar to ANF which is a little farther along (the neckline has already been broken). There is a good possibility that BABA will bounce down from the neckline, but it shouldn't go lower than the Right Shoulder. A more conservative entry would wait for the neckline to break before entering long.

tristan.rhodes tristan.rhodes ANF, D, Long ,
ANF: ANF repeating pattern of touching support and then gap across
63 1 0
ANF, D Long
ANF repeating pattern of touching support and then gap across

ANF has a recent history of bouncing off support and then jumping across to the other side with a big gap. In addition, this stock has formed an inverse Head and Shoulders pattern which has been confirmed by crossing the neckline. The normal target would be around $32, but with horizontal resistance and trend line resistance, I don't think it will make it up ...

tristan.rhodes tristan.rhodes IBB, D, Short ,
IBB: IBB: Expect a steep drop again in the next day or two
22 0 1
IBB, D Short
IBB: Expect a steep drop again in the next day or two

IBB has many interesting things going on that have me convinced it is about to drop quickly again. The previous IBB cycle involved a top at $400 with a steep drop to a bottom at $284. Soon after this bottom, the market gave 2 simultaneous BUY signals when RSI and Stoch RSI rose left oversold areas on the same day (see the purple circles with green vertical ...

tristan.rhodes tristan.rhodes TEVA, D, Long ,
TEVA: TEVA at bottom of ascending channel
16 0 0
TEVA, D Long
TEVA at bottom of ascending channel

This channel has been touched by TEVA many times! Will it hold for one more bounce? Go long, but use a tight stop at $60.41. Target exit is $75.86.

tristan.rhodes tristan.rhodes AAPL, 60, Short ,
AAPL: Will AAPL stay in this purple channel, or break out?
56 2 1
AAPL, 60 Short
Will AAPL stay in this purple channel, or break out?

I'll admit, I am having a hard time predicting the market with this high volatility. My current guess is that we are heading down, but perhaps not before bouncing off the top of a descending channel. For AAPL, I have drawn this with a dotted purple line. If AAPL breaks above the red line (and the dotted purple channel) I will change my position from short to ...

tristan.rhodes tristan.rhodes SPY, 60,
SPY: SPY: Gap filled, right at resistance.  What happens now?
25 0 0
SPY, 60
SPY: Gap filled, right at resistance. What happens now?

SPY has formed another isosceles triangle, which could break up or down. Notably, this close was right at the top of the triangle, and it also just completed closing the gap (which means it was not an island reversal). I expect the next move will be large, to the top ($204) or bottom ($183) of the triangle. Once the triangle breaks a line (green or red), use ...

tristan.rhodes tristan.rhodes SPY, 5, Short ,
SPY: SPY bearish flag breaking down
58 1 0
SPY, 5 Short
SPY bearish flag breaking down

Going down....

tristan.rhodes tristan.rhodes SPY, 5, Short ,
SPY: SPY = island reversal
48 2 2
SPY, 5 Short
SPY = island reversal

We had a large gap up (onto the island) then a few days on the island, and this morning we just jumped (gap) back into the ocean. So far, this looks like a classic island reversal, unless the bulls can close the gap on the right side of the island. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Island_reversal

tristan.rhodes tristan.rhodes SPY, M, Short ,
SPY: September Update for TATS1: Tristan's Algorithmic Trading System
50 0 0
SPY, M Short
September Update for TATS1: Tristan's Algorithmic Trading System

The month of August brought some of the largest drops and largest gains that we have seen since the last crash in 2007. This very high volatility should be a warning sign that people are being nervous about the direction of the market. This bull market has risen quickly for several years, but momentum has stalled for several months, and most importantly, the ...

tristan.rhodes tristan.rhodes AAPL, 5,
AAPL: AAPL running out of room: "X" marks the spot
41 3 2
AAPL, 5
AAPL running out of room: "X" marks the spot

Apple has been respecting a multi-week falling resistance line (red). After the huge drop on August 24th, AAPL has been honoring a multi-day rising support line (green). These two lines are about to meet, forcing AAPL to breakout of the triangle (up or down) during Monday's trading session. Because of AAPL's huge market cap and trading volume, this will likely ...

tristan.rhodes tristan.rhodes BTU, D, Long ,
BTU: Experiment: How far do falling knives and dead cats bounce?
19 4 0
BTU, D Long
Experiment: How far do falling knives and dead cats bounce?

This is an experiment to see if we can make money on a stock with horrible fundamentals (BTU just got downgraded), and the stock had fallen 98% over several years. This stock has been accelerating it's decline since 2011. I gave each declining tops line a different color. You can see the slope of lines has gotten steeper with time (blue, yellow orange, red, ...

tristan.rhodes tristan.rhodes SPY, 15,
SPY: A story of 3 triangles (3 OF 3)
19 3 0
SPY, 15
A story of 3 triangles (3 OF 3)

Look at the three triangles in the linked charts to understand how triangle patterns can resolve. The first triangle held for 2 days before the breakout. The second triangle held for 3 days before the breakout. The third triangle is still undetermined, but it will likely breakout before 7 days.

tristan.rhodes tristan.rhodes SPY, 15,
SPY: A story of 3 triangles (2 OF 3)
11 0 0
SPY, 15
A story of 3 triangles (2 OF 3)

Look at the three triangles in the linked charts to understand how triangle patterns can resolve. The first triangle held for 2 days before the breakout. The second triangle held for 3 days before the breakout. The third triangle is still undetermined, but it will likely breakout before 7 days.

tristan.rhodes tristan.rhodes SPY, 15,
SPY: A story of 3 triangles (1 of 3)
22 0 0
SPY, 15
A story of 3 triangles (1 of 3)

Look at the three triangles in the linked charts to understand how triangle patterns can resolve. The first triangle held for 2 days before the breakout. The second triangle held for 3 days before the breakout. The third triangle is still undetermined, but it will likely breakout before 7 days.

tristan.rhodes tristan.rhodes SPY, 15,
SPY: Which triangle is SPY inside?  Watch for a breakout
37 2 0
SPY, 15
Which triangle is SPY inside? Watch for a breakout

SPY has support at the rising green line, and the horizontal brown line. The green line is the bottom of a triangle. If this green line is broken, go short. SPY has resistance at the red and blue line. Watch these resistance lines to determine the shape of the triangle that SPY is trading inside. If SPY breaks above both the blue and the red lines, then go ...

tristan.rhodes tristan.rhodes SPY, 3, Short ,
SPY: Breaking down from Bearish pennant?
38 2 1
SPY, 3 Short
Breaking down from Bearish pennant?

This is my first attempt at a 1-minute idea. Step 1: Publish the chart to record current condition. Step 2: Enter text within the 15 minute editing time-frame! The market has coiled up nicely, consolidating from the big drop. It appears to be a breaking down, but keep a stop above yesterdays highs (196.07). Good luck!

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