SPX, End of half of century bull run? Lets hope not !
Today, I finally decided to publish what I have in mind for several weeks ! End of half of century bull run? Lets follow !
I really did not want to publish this idea since it is really terrifying but, as it is a possible scenario right now I decided to warn readers to just keep this in mind . This will help us to be cautious when opening long positions, to set our stop loss carefully, to not consider every new low as a ((buy the dip chance )) and to try to manage the risks.
As shown on the chart , Elliott wave count on monthly time frame suggests a possible scenario which is not a good one at all !. This scenario shows that a bull cycle started on 1974 may have been completed and we are just at the beginning of the huge correction down to the territory of shown wave IV. This is one of the Elliott waves guidelines which suggests the end of larger degree wave 4 correction in the territory of smaller degree wave 4.
There is one more pessimistic scenario which gives a chance to completion of a 90 years bull run which if true, may GOD bless the market!.
Lest hope this sell of to be just the correction of bull run started after pandemic low. In this case we will see a new ATH after end of correction but we have to keep it in mind that even in this optimistic scenario we are in final leg up of this long term bull cycle shown on the chart and the collapse of the market is inevitable soon or later.
We have FED Meeting in next two days , decision the will make and the path that they will show probably will direct the market in upcoming months.
There is no way to be successful in trading except being realistic and following facts and figures not hopes and wishes !
I really did not want to publish this idea since it is really terrifying but, as it is a possible scenario right now I decided to warn readers to just keep this in mind . This will help us to be cautious when opening long positions, to set our stop loss carefully, to not consider every new low as a ((buy the dip chance )) and to try to manage the risks.
As shown on the chart , Elliott wave count on monthly time frame suggests a possible scenario which is not a good one at all !. This scenario shows that a bull cycle started on 1974 may have been completed and we are just at the beginning of the huge correction down to the territory of shown wave IV. This is one of the Elliott waves guidelines which suggests the end of larger degree wave 4 correction in the territory of smaller degree wave 4.
There is one more pessimistic scenario which gives a chance to completion of a 90 years bull run which if true, may GOD bless the market!.
Lest hope this sell of to be just the correction of bull run started after pandemic low. In this case we will see a new ATH after end of correction but we have to keep it in mind that even in this optimistic scenario we are in final leg up of this long term bull cycle shown on the chart and the collapse of the market is inevitable soon or later.
We have FED Meeting in next two days , decision the will make and the path that they will show probably will direct the market in upcoming months.
There is no way to be successful in trading except being realistic and following facts and figures not hopes and wishes !
Comment:
Now, I am sure many of readers have started thinking about what we predicted several weeks ago ! End of half of century bull run ???
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