TradeFxTrends

SPX Pre FED Interest Rate Decision Analysis - 4 Hour Chart

Short
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SP:SPX   S&P 500 Index
Good Evening Traders,

I hope everybody is doing good.

In this analysis, we will have a look at the SPX. We can see that the SPX is currently in a range of 2555.86 and 2684.14. However, I am expecting a break lower this week. I am expecting a hawkish FED on Wednesday in it' FOMC Statement which can be a catalyst for a move lower.

With that said, I think a break of the rising trendline from 04-02-2018 to the downside will occur this week for a retest of the 2-year rising trendline. This range play can us take for at least a few days/weeks. Having a look at the second chart which is the volatility index (VIX). You can see that the instrument is trapped in a bullish triangle pattern. As long as it stays above 14.58 it should extend higher, which will put pressure on the SPX as they are negatively correlated to each other.

I am expecting a retest of the 2593.82 trendline in the ideal case.

This view will be invalid once SPX breaks 2684.14 resistance.

I hope you enjoyed this view.

Disclaimer: Trading is about going with the highest probability, nobody is 100% right and we need to protect ourself in case we are wrong. That is why we need to always use a stop-loss when trading. Trade with care. This my current view, and any view presented is not any trading recommendation, just personal view.
Comment:
Good evening Traders,

After the FOMC statement here is an update on the SPX. Doing pretty well. Let's see whether we get follow through with the NFPs on Friday.

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