aibek

Brent Crude: Watch Recovery For Another Sell

Short
aibek Updated   
TVC:UKOIL   CFDs on Brent Crude Oil
We got the first leg down (A) of the second drop ((W)) to complete the big consolidation (((4))).
I expect the retracement (B) to emerge soon to reach between 41.60 and 42.20
I highlighted the historical pullback with green ellipse for sample.
Another drop down (C) could undershoot at 37.51, ((Y))=((W)) or overlap beyond the terminal point of wave ((W)) below 36.99.
Comment:
Price reached preset sell area = 50% Fibonacci retracement
This is how I see what's going on inside on 15 minutes.
Comment:
Update - detailed map for the minor consolidation and last drop
price target was adjusted to 37.45-36.28
Comment:
Update - no follow through selling after gap down and hitting $40 area, then it could be second leg of correction in wave C.
Comment:
The wave (C) is in progress with last wave 5 up underway.
It hit the minimum target of the former top of wave (A).
Soon should be a reversal
Comment:
USOIL (WTI, CL1!) is the leading indicator as we saw before.
So this benchmark almost reached (C) = (A) = 39.75, only 5 cents undershoot.
Then the reversal is around the corner
Comment:
Update - it looks like we got a very complex triple three WXYXZ in wave ((B)).
The last leg up of wave C in (Z) in ((B)) could be in progress. It should tag the former top in wave (Y) at 42.60 before we will see reversal.
Comment:
Update - triple three WXYXZ played out as planned.
The wave (B) retraced more than 78.6% and reversed.
The break below 41.70 is needed to confirm the drop
Comment:
Updated labeling
Watch 42.30 and RSI below 50 for confirmation
Comment:
Zoom in 15min chart
Price didn't make a new high and didn't break the previous support.
Let's see what will happen next
Comment:
Update - we got very complex but yet readable wave X of (Y)
OPEC+ going to increase production tapering cuts
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