Technical analysis update: WTI oil (4th January 2022)
Today WTI oil reached our short-term price target of 77 USD per barrel. Furthermore, USOIL broke above the short-term support for a short period of time. Fundamentals remain bullish as OPEC agreed to proceed with a planned production boost of 400 000 bpd in February 2022. This signals OPEC's confidence in the oil market. Additionally, our bullish view is supported by a combination of bullish technical factors. Because of that we would like to raise our short-term price target for USOIL to 78 USD per barrel. We would also like to set a medium-term price target for USOIL to 80 USD per barrel.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI is bullish. We will observe it in the following days and we'll watch out for a crossover above 0 points. We expect such an occurrence to further bolster the bullish case for oil. Stochastic is also bullish. Recently, MACD performed a bullish crossover above 0 points which is very bullish. DM+ and DM- show mixed conditions. ADX signals that the prevailing trend is relatively weak.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
Weekly time frame remains unchanged from our latest update on USOIL. RSI points to the upside which is bullish. Stochastic is bullish too and MACD started to flatten (still in the bullish zone). We will observe MACD in the following weeks and we will watch out whether it manages to stay within the bullish zone and reverse back to the upside. DM+ and DM- show bearish conditions while ADX continues to decline. Though, ADX's value is a little bit higher than the value of ADX on a daily time frame.
Illustration 1.01
Picture above shows the weekly chart of USOIL. It also shows setup for head and shoulders being formed. We will observe whether this pattern will continue to develop further. However, at the moment, we believe this pattern will get distorted and price will continue higher.
Support and resistance
Following support and resistance levels are derived from the peaks and troughs in price of USOIL. Short-term support sits at 73.30 USD and short-term resistance lies at 77.41 USD. Next closest resistance appears at 79.20 USD and then at 81.78 USD. Major resistance lies at 85.39 USD. Major support level can be found at 61.76 USD.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering trade.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI is bullish. We will observe it in the following days and we'll watch out for a crossover above 0 points. We expect such an occurrence to further bolster the bullish case for oil. Stochastic is also bullish. Recently, MACD performed a bullish crossover above 0 points which is very bullish. DM+ and DM- show mixed conditions. ADX signals that the prevailing trend is relatively weak.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
Weekly time frame remains unchanged from our latest update on USOIL. RSI points to the upside which is bullish. Stochastic is bullish too and MACD started to flatten (still in the bullish zone). We will observe MACD in the following weeks and we will watch out whether it manages to stay within the bullish zone and reverse back to the upside. DM+ and DM- show bearish conditions while ADX continues to decline. Though, ADX's value is a little bit higher than the value of ADX on a daily time frame.
Illustration 1.01
Support and resistance
Following support and resistance levels are derived from the peaks and troughs in price of USOIL. Short-term support sits at 73.30 USD and short-term resistance lies at 77.41 USD. Next closest resistance appears at 79.20 USD and then at 81.78 USD. Major resistance lies at 85.39 USD. Major support level can be found at 61.76 USD.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering trade.
Trade closed: target reached:
USOIL reached our short-term price target of 78 USD per barrel. We change medium-term price target of 80 USD per barrel to short-term price target.
Trade active:
USOIL continues to march higher. Today it broke above 79 USD.
Trade active:
USOIL reached high of 79.91 USD per barrel, shy just 9 cents of our new short-term price target
Trade closed: target reached:
Our short-term price target of 80 USD per barrel was reached today.
