Inverted yield curve, portending recession(likely next year), is on track and before the big dump is a pre-recession pump for equities and cryptocurrencies.
The 10-year Treasury yield confirmed a breakout under a near-term rising trendline from March, opening the door to reversing the uptrend since then. Rising concerns about a recession in the United States, also amid a general slowdown in global growth expectations, are pressuring bond yields lower. Ahead, the 10-year rate is facing the May low at 2.705 where the...
Here's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history.. Don't forget to hit the like/follow button if you feel like this post deserves it ;) That's the best way to support me and help pushing this content to other users. Kindly, Phil
Fed reserve credibility not looking too good. They have made a serious policy booboo and are now stuck between a rock and a hard place.
Poof, up - down - all around... 2.76 dipped in @ 2.702, good to see. With the FEDs distro of USTs and MBS well underway ahead of June 15... gobbling up Yields aren't working out so well. No. Supply Limited thanks to the Fellen over @ the Treasury... is now a catalyst for increased chasing. Jerry can offload the Junk to Banks desperate for Yields as they are...
Here is a chart of the 2yr / 5yr /10yr / & 30yr yields The BLUE LINE represents the highest yields from 2018 The WHITE LINE represents the highest yields from 20202
I know everyone is screaming about Interest Rates, but thought this would bring some renewed perspective. Here is a chart of the 10 year Bond Yield dating back to the 1980s
Fundamentals are what economists use to forecast and predict the future and this is why most economists suffer from recency bias and tend to extrapolate into the future. Yet I keep reading the disclaimer that past performance is not indicative of future results. So why do we have a situation where people believe what the FED or the mainstream media have to...
10yr - Key area, you can even look at Bunds - Support lower HT = ST Movement.
What does this show? The Move Index, indicates the volts within the bond market, yield movement is an important factor that everyone should keep in mind, even if you don't trade the asset. Now, this is more of an advance level: Fixed-Income division: As we all know, volts has been up, it's been like 🥢 is what I call this market when it comes to US indices, I use...
Nothing to be concerned about here... if you're an ostrich. Inflation spiraling out of control, while bonds reflect the loosest monetary policy possible with a dovish Federal Reserve hand-wringing about tanking the markets. M1 has gone beyond parabolic, practically vertical. The Fed communicated this week that they will try and control future prices but they're...
Still no position as we don't see any breakout yet. However, the H&S-pattern suggest... with divergence, testing RSI 30 en more recently testing RSI 40, that after quite long time, yields could explode to upside. Target 3,20. So, still no position but be alerted on what could happen very soon from now on.
In this update we review the recent price action in the 10 Year T-Note futures contract and identify the next high probability trading opportunity and price objectives to target.
Monthly Elliot impulse wave of bonds. Yield up price down.
Stalling at recent highs Tech bulls want 10yr to sell off Value/cyclical bulls want 10yr to rally
While Higher Taxes for the Muddle Class are on the way. The Billionaires Boys Club sees the Stimmy as their Salvation. Higher Taxes? Only if I can get First Abuser Rights to 10X what I'll be required to pay for "Them".... The Bond Market believes the Stimulus - "Further Recovery, Infrastructure, Spending Bill" will get things on track once it's pared back to $1...
10Y & SPX. Should we or should we not give it a big of a thought . The chart says that it will only be a little hiccup along the way. Ryan's Data shows high interest are good for stocks historically !!!
This break, although outside of RTH, is indeed important. It signals a retracement potential, but more importantly it opens the Higher Price Objective @ 1.71 - 1.76. The Equity Complex is pretending the "what me worry trade" once again. We are concerned, as it represents a very large issue for the Equity Complex should the ROCs continue to build. All eyes...