2 months of volume dry up during this multi-month wedge basing pattern. Seasonal strength in play. You don't need to know what's going to happen next to make money ~Mark Douglas Lose like a pro and keep trading, or lose like a novice and quit ~Mark Ritchie
The Andrews Pitchfork takes three (consecutive) swings: ABC, and forms a median line by bisecting BC from A 80% of the time price will return to the median line from the C pivot Of that 80%: price will reverse at the median line around 30% of the time IF price reverses at the median line it will reach the upper 1 SD parallel 80% of the time C U...
Trading Seasonal Market Patterns Hey traders today I wanted to do a recap of all the Seasonal Market Patterns covered in the series. Also putting it all together for yearly trading opportunities. These Seasonal Market Patterns can be very rewarding l to all of us in our trading if we know when to look for them. Enjoy! Trade Well, Clifford
This week has brought about news on the projected corn yields dropping marginally, which in turn, is pushing this beast into higher territory. As we check out the chart we can see we have a significant golden pocket that will act as the Berlin Wall for corn. Prices below the golden pocket will act as East Berlin, controlled by the soviets during the Cold War....
This is my plan for corn. It is being orientated mainly on seasonality. That means: I expect the price to drop a bit further or to go sideways during this summer. According to seasonality, the low should occur around September. Then the corn price should rise again according to typical seasonal patterns. IF the FED keeps increasing the interest rates, the...
Nice short can be seen on Wheat. If you look at the daily timeframe we are in strong downtrend and keep squeezing to the level. Ukraine started exporting its grain again and first ship already sailed out of the port. One ship won't change much for the world, but fundamentally it's very important news for the market. That's why we can expect more fall in the...
Similar to our previous idea , we think grains are primed for a move. With soybean meal futures jumping over 10% from last week, some technical set-ups have come into play. Firstly, the September soybean meal contract shows a 7-month head-and-shoulder pattern which failed. A broken right shoulder suggests bullish strength. Secondly, the December soybean...
Has the wheat market been forgotten? With wheat prices almost back to early February levels, right before the start of the Russian-Ukraine conflict, markets seemed to have erased all fears of a tightening wheat supply due to the conflict. The recent selloff in wheat partially stemmed from the market belief that the situation in Ukraine is improving and that...
Double top Volume profile showing a lot of supply Seasonal data favors downside until mid September Plan your trades before executing the trade. How much are you willing to bet? Where will you get out? How will you lock in profits? Risk: 60 bps Profit Protection: 3-Day Trailing Stop Rule (Peter Brandt) You don't need to know what's going to happen next to make...
Wheat (July) Technicals: Wheat futures are on the verge of a bigger technical breakdown if they cannot get back into positive territory today. The next support level below here doesn’t come in until 925-930, with the more significant pocket not coming in until 897-902. Bias: Neutral/Bearish Previous Session Bias: Neutral/Bearish Resistance: 1027 ¼-1034 ¼****,...
Yeah, yeah, it can consolidate. Knee-High by July. Seems output is dropping, significantly. Tortillas? Corn Chips? Fritos? Yeah, all heading higher.
Peak Corn Flakes? No. Peak Rice Puffs? No. Peak SoyMilk? No. Time is not on our side. Harvests will decline in 2022 maerkedly.
Corn Seasonal Trends in Play: Short September corn from 6/13-7/27. This has been profitable for 13 of the last 15 years with the average gain being roughly 33 cents, or $1,650 per one 5,000-bushel contract. Fundamentals: This morning’s weekly export sales report showed net sales of 140,900 MT for 2021/2022--a marketing-year low--were down 50 percent from the...
Wheat Technicals: Wheat futures came within a stone's throw of 4-star support overnight, we've had that labeled as 1027 1/4-1034 1/4, the low was 1036 1/2. If you're Bullish (we aren't) that is a good spot to consider buying as the risk is fairly well defined. A break and close below that pocket could open the door for a break back below $10.00 and below, with...
Corn Seasonal Trends in Play: Short September corn from 6/13-7/27. This has been profitable for 13 of the last 15 years with the average gain being roughly 33 cents, or $1,650 per one 5,000-bushel contract. Technicals: Corn futures were able to defend the previous day's low during yesterday's session but didn't do much to change the technical outlook. Our pivot...
Corn Fundamentals: Yesterday’s weekly Crop Progress report showed corn is 97% planted, 88% emerged, and Good/Excellent conditions at 72%. All within the range of expectations. Yesterday’s weekly export inspections came in at 1,199,976. This was also within the range of expectations. Dr. Cordonnier increased Brazilian corn production by 3mmt to 110mmt. The USDA is...
Wheat Technicals (July): More of the same for wheat, as we continue to trade in a range, albeit a wide range. Wheat futures continue to chop around from about 1030 on the low end and 1100 on the high end. A breakout or breakdown from these levels could pop or drop the market 50 cents relatively quickly. Our bias is Neutral at the moment, but we would be looking to...
WHEAT ZW 26 May 2022 The current volatility is expected with close to 90% chance to be below 4.17% In this case, our channel for today is going to be TOP 1180 BOT 1085 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- CORN ZC 26 May 2022 The current volatility is expected with close to 90%...