*Position Update: On 05/05/2015 we liquidated both sides of this correlation trade with a profit of 73.1 Pips while taking advantage of the correlation spread narrowing after the interest rate decision in Australia. A nice correlation trade is setting up between AUD/JPY & CAD/JPY. The spread in the correlation is currently 200 Pips, over the past year the max...
I'm overall bullish on the USDCAD (and have been since the end of 2012), but I see downside risk on this pair during the second quarter. 1.28 is a major resistance level that has held since January, and without a monthly break above this level in April, we might just see a correction lower in the coming months. I've noted a negative divergence in the weekly RSI...
I messed up the original post for this so I am trying again. The Canadian Dollar has rebounded well against the British Pound leaving a bigger picture demand zone below @~0.5140. Price is now coming to an area where there might be a sharp decline away. This supply zone @~0.5360 is also the 50% pullback area of the original down move indicated by the red...
CAD/JPY has been in a dominant bearish trend since December 2014 as the breakdown in the Canadian Dollar, largely influenced by the crash of oil prices, has crippled the currency. January 2015 resulted in an absolutely massive bearish engulfing bar on CAD/JPY, February offered us a nice bullish pullback, and now we have the continuation pattern in play. We have...
Historical price action has been quite consistent and I see no reason otherwise for this to change at this time. Upside break of the weekly triangle should result in a re-test of resistance now turned support in which to initiate longs. I have longs at 0.8888 and at the aforementioned 0.9150 with a potential target of 0.9840. In both previous cases a nice 700 pip...
Entry = + CCI cross. SL= D point @ 93.93 TP1 = 100% fib @ 106.45
The GBPCAD cross looks like it's been consolidating with a flag-like movement since the start of 2014, and this may lead to an eventual bullish leg to fresh multi-annual highs in 2015. Fundamentally, I like being short the Loonie dollar as crude oil's plunge this year should lead to disinflationary pressures in Canada with a possibility of seeing the Bank of...
It would appear that this is the second time pair is bouncing up from below 1.76 which is now determined to be very strong support. As with the last price action it then moved up above 1.8. Looking at the MACD, we can see that there is consolidation and a cross over about to occur. I think within the next candle we should know if this is a buy opportunity....
Please also check the link to ideas, tagged below;
Look for Significant reversal bar at late Monday, early Tuesday, The price action then should takes off to upside. Test of the previous high would be the first target. There is a chance of short opportunity if the price does not break above and close above the previous High. as demonstrated here, Please see the comments below:
3 Drive Pattern and a potential double top formation should send the Loonie down.
I am bearish on the US dollar, and I expect the loonie to gain ground. The BoC is not engaging in reckless monetary policy, even though, at times, traders found them absent. Canadian CPI is stronger - just above two percent YoY - than in the US, which should favor CAD. The Fed wants a weaker dollar. The Fed said it; Yellen said it. Don't fight the Fed, right? The...
The chart shows a perfect example of retail traders being taken advantage of by banks and institutions. Traditional teaching is to enter short the H&S pattern on the open of the next candle after the breakout candle closes. The banks gladly took the other side of the thousands of traders who shorted the break of the neckline and reaped the benefits.
I am tempted to buy blindly in this area with a tight stop, however a more conservative approach will be to wait for price confirmation. This is a buyers area and also a .618 confluence.
Friends, PREDICTIVE/FORECASTING MODEL: A simple trade opportunity came up. Predictive/Forecasting model calls for a reversal at TG-Hi - 1.11972. Taking a step back and considering the entire system from a geometric stand-point, symmetries come to the mind's eyes here through AB = CD patterns. While the current AB = CD pattern remains under development, a...
The Loonie appears to have finished off the 'b' wave of an a-b-c expanded flat. The potential ensuing 'c' wave would likely take prices down into the 1.07 handle. If you zoom into a 15 minute chart and focus on the Sept 9-10 price high, you can see prices have established a 5-3 wave sequence lower which suggests a temporary top is in place. The larger trend on...
I'm seeing signs suggesting that the Canadian dollar, which has been strengthening over the past few weeks, is now getting ready to reverse and decline in value. For many CAD pairs like AUDCAD, GBPCAD, or USDCAD, this means a long opportunity is information. In the case of this particular chart, we are seeing hammers forming off a support level, at a 50%...
To start up there are 2 links to my previous USD/CAD ideas both still valid and both suggesting that 1.062 level from July might be an bottom for long time. Yesterday USD/CAD has fallen into 1,083 levels just above the green demand zone marked on my H4 chart, there's also 50% Fibo retracement of current Leg Up from 1,062 to 1,10 level present there just above...