BTCUSD update: Price has established a bearish pin bar after fluctuating around the 6431 to 6614 resistance zone. Like I wrote previously, this is a tricky area to enter new longs, especially with the 7120 reversal zone boundary coupled with a holiday trading environment. 6431 to 6614 is the .618 minor resistance relative to the recent bearish structure measured...
ETHUSD update: Price is hesitating just under the 494 to 518 minor resistance zone after taking out the bearish trend line. This is a tricky situation because at first glance, this market appears to be forming a lower high and following the recent "trend". What is not visible is the probability of the location of BTC which we have been reiterating is bullish and...
BTCUSD update: Price has taken out the previous spinning top low which is a bearish sign. Even though this is the case, the 6K and 5956 reversal zone supports are still in play. If this move fails to make a new low, this market will still be in position for a sharp squeeze. 5755 is the low that needs to be taken out in order to prove bearish momentum is still in...
BTCUSD update: Small retrace back into the 6K psychological support. The 6350 area is now a lower high, but if this market was going to sell hard, the bearish candle should have been larger. Instead, price stops at the major support which hints at a higher low. What I find most interesting is how the negative sentiment is at an extreme (judging by all the bearish...
ETHUSD update: Price has reached the bearish trend line and is now hesitating. This is not unusual and was expected, that is why we placed our swing trade target at 540. The question is: what is price more likely to do from here? Lower low? Higher low? Or continuation higher? In case you have not been following our swing trade on S.C., it reached its 55 point...
BTCUSD update: Bearish pin bar low taken out by current candle, a sell signal, only for it to bounce right back. This is a bullish sign which makes sense in light of the general area price has been trading. Keep in mind, there is a great deal of conflict in this area with short term bearish structures going against a broader bullish location. People are going to...
LTCUSD update: A strong outside bar has appeared in this market which can be the beginning of the next retest of the bearish trend line. The current hesitation though can be cause for concern, depending on how the candle closes. Keep in mind, this market is following BTC which means even in the face of bearish structure, the greater potential remains bullish. The...
ETHUSD update: When the day to day momentum dries up as is the case with these coins, it is always helpful to zoom out. This is where Elliott Wave offers a lot of value because it shows us where we are on the bigger picture map, and most likely where this market is going. People give Elliott Wave a hard time because they expect precision and that is not what it...
BTCUSD update: Symmetrical triangle has appeared after a series of inside bars. This continuation pattern implies lower prices, but the bigger picture location makes for a very conflicted technical situation. The break of this triangle points increases the possibility of a retest of the 5956 reversal zone boundary. Or just above that at the 6005 historical...
ETHUSD update: Lack of follow through makes this coin a tough one to hold for a swing trade long, but it is still in a good position to rally. While short term structure remains bearish, do not lose sight of the broad higher low formation that appears to be in progress. The structures that prompted us at S.C. to call for a swing trade long are still in place. The...
BTCUSD update: The bullish momentum has slowed once again, but that does not mean the bears are back in control. Yet. The 6565 area support is still in play along with a newly established inside bar. In this report I will evaluate both sides in an attempt to offer some perspective in terms of reasonable expectations. On the bear side, the trend line is still...
BTCUSD update: Bearish momentum is confirmed as price is now testing an important support level. At this time there are no signs or structures that say this market wants to retrace. That does not mean it won't, but the probability is low. Unless a bullish reversal candle appears, I am anticipating a test of the low 6Ks. I wrote about 6565 area in my previous BTC...
ETHUSD update: As the BTC market retraces, the alts follow as usual. This market and Litecoin are now both in very interesting areas for possible swing trade and inventory ideas. The key is to wait for a sign of stability which is absent at the moment. It seems like BTC is in free fall. From 7600 to the mid 6K's in one day can feel a little dramatic. As long as...
BTCUSD update: Finally some movement. Looks like the the bears rejected the minor resistance area that I wrote about in my previous report. Even though it may look concerning, this move is welcome because it brings the opportunity of a swing trade long idea that much closer. The 7330 to 7212 support zone is relative to the .618 area of the recent bullish...
LTCUSD update: Tight consolidation as this market waits for BTC to choose a direction. There is a lot of structural conflict in this area and the best thing to do is let these markets figure themselves out. There are no worthwhile signals to capitalize on anyway. As you can see on the chart, price rejected the 128 reversal zone boundary. It has also found support...
Hello again! Did you sell your coin in the zone of my previous analysis ? :) ONT hit our higher high zone a little, but it's ok for me. Been laddering my sell on 11,4k satoshi, and now i am ready to fill my bag again. I started to sell it because i saw the bearish divergence on 4 hour, thats how i play. My scenario is wait the coin stabilize at the lower high...
If you are long this is the only chart you need. BTC has been in the same Equilibrium Pattern for the last few months. We have had a series of Higher Lows and Lower Highs. The pattern is really beginning to tighten as we get closer and closer to a bullish breakout. Volume from the bears is waning as the pattern tightens. I fully expect a breakout in early to mid...
ETHUSD update: Lower high scenario is unfolding as anticipated. The 625 resistance, although slightly broken, basically held and now the bears are in control. The next support area to watch for any bullish reversals is 544. I have been writing about this retrace. My BTC report on S.C. yesterday talked about the slow grind into the bear zone. It is not that I knew...