After some negative news about bribery in the government the Brazil's ETF (EWZ) got killed at the open with a 18% down move. With the Implied volatility rank of the stock at the high's of the last 52 weeks(100%) it means that buying options is going to be expensive, in other words we are going to be selling overpriced options. Betting that this is an over...
On Friday, June 16, we successfully closed our previous short-put trade on WPM (see previous post below). Today WPM is showing continued signs of weakness, in an otherwise strong market. It is currently trading towards the lows of its trading range. It could continue to show weakness if the broader market continues its journey upwards. However, in the context of...
I am a big believer in the crypto-currencies. I am a big believer that these currencies are going to go higher in a big way. Much higher. I am also a very realistic person in that during the journey higher for BTC and ETH, the currencies will not be heading higher in a straight line. Instead, there will be moments the currency goes up and down, but over a...
Breakout confirmed over 154.26 in good volume, as expensive technology stocks continue to correct downward and the market continues to chase better value. IBM can now be purchased with a stop-loss at 150 and targets of 158/162/168/180. Blended reward-to-risk of 1.5x to 2.5x depending on where the momentum on the stock takes us. In the best case scenario of IBM...
Looks like the call spread will be an easy ride until beginning of July. Looking to add some premium on pullbak into resistance. Happy time for my prive client Options Mirror Trader! Great year so far, congrats!
IWM got rejected out of a resitance zone that is form by: Last downswing 26.04 - 18.05 - Fib inverse 1.113 extention Wave 3 - 1.272 Fib extention Wave 4 - 1.618 Fib inverse extention I wish the premium would be higher, with a VIX that low selling premium is just not worth it. So lets look at some put spreads
The current dividend yield on Royal Dutch Shell is 7.22% - Some of the highest yields out there. Combining this with a similar yield on the 7% OTM put, and topping it off with additional income from selling an OTM call, brings in an exceptional annualized yield in excess of 15%. The risk is to be long an oil asset in an uncertain oil environment. However, this is...
CALL AUDNZD Expiration NYork 23:00
Entry when price rebounded at Support. Sold at $0.78 Planned RR = 1.6 By moving up the SL with the uptrend, profits were protected, hence risk became 0 Exit - Bought 0.08 Gain $0.70 ROC =16% per month
Looking at some multiple argument resitance ahead of MU price. 25/26 Bull Put Spread from earlier this week plays out nicely. Didn´t get filled on the second wing of the proposed Iron Condor so now waiting for price to rally into this resitance area and they open a Bear Put Spread
Earnins were 14% bettern than expected. Last time earnings were better than expected LULU made 20% profit in less than a year! Here, price bounces out of support area. Implied volatility rasies, almost 30%. If the Gap partially closes next week I expect IV to grow even further and potentially provide some noce premium to collect on selling calls below the support are
looking at implied volatility in a percent format that will help you find implied volatility crush situations after earnings releases. you would sell an ATM straddle, strangle, butterfly, or condor in hopes that the next trading day after the release the IV would have a huge drop off. credits Sky View Trading Option Alpha
After the runaway Gap price developped an harmonic ABCD movement. Not only are we at D point right now but we can gather together multiple Fib ressitance levels in this area. Looking closely on the daily and 240M chart this week. Nice erea for a countertrend trend trade. IV% is far below 20% so no way to collect premium this time but Debit Put Spread may do just...
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With volatility this low I am looking for trades with IV percentile in the last 6months of above 25. XLP have an IV Rank of 14.5 which is low, but IV percentile of 33.5 in the last 6 months (which would meet with my criteria). I am placing an skewed Iron Condor, betting that it will stay within the expected move with a little skewed to the downside thinking...
$XME is a weird one, ill be honest. on the Weeklies, the trend is up, but on the dailies its starting to look very top heavy. MACD is signalling a sell, The one bright thing here is that we are near some major support, last attempt bounced this baby for 12 days. A break below this lever will open up a clear move to the 27 handle... The idea here is to Sell a Call...
SPY was up .70% and I expect a pull back to the 200 EMA eventually. In the meantime I wanted to make a neutral to bearish trade using a ratio iron condor or what is recently called by the tastytrade guys a "Double double". I am selling the -240/+243 -230/+223 Iron condor for $2.60. Using the SPY skew of the calls and puts I can sell twice as many of the credit...
I didn't have any positions on EFA and With IV Rank at 47, I wanted to sell some premium. We are out of the ideal 45 days expiration window and since my portfolio theta is pretty low right now I decided to do laddered straddles. Selling the 62 Straddle with 32 days to expiration and another one with 60 days to expiration. This will give us an avg date of...