$XME is a weird one, ill be honest. on the Weeklies, the trend is up, but on the dailies its starting to look very top heavy. MACD is signalling a sell, The one bright thing here is that we are near some major support, last attempt bounced this baby for 12 days. A break below this lever will open up a clear move to the 27 handle... The idea here is to Sell a Call...
SPY was up .70% and I expect a pull back to the 200 EMA eventually. In the meantime I wanted to make a neutral to bearish trade using a ratio iron condor or what is recently called by the tastytrade guys a "Double double". I am selling the -240/+243 -230/+223 Iron condor for $2.60. Using the SPY skew of the calls and puts I can sell twice as many of the credit...
I didn't have any positions on EFA and With IV Rank at 47, I wanted to sell some premium. We are out of the ideal 45 days expiration window and since my portfolio theta is pretty low right now I decided to do laddered straddles. Selling the 62 Straddle with 32 days to expiration and another one with 60 days to expiration. This will give us an avg date of...
also a option-strategy sell Mar17 16put buy Mar17 18call or buy shares@17
With a 6.5% move up in the last 27 days and also increase in volatility. I made a Call Ratio spread in addition to the other trades I already have in GLD, including a double diagonal and a strangle. Doing this trade alone is as high probability trade with a 83% chance to make money. Max win per contract is $250 Bought one 123 Call for every two 125 for a .50...
Sold the 155/145 Strangle for $2.50 on the weekly (May 5) cycle. Since Facebook has been on a big rally as of yet, I skewed the strangle a little to the downside (The Calls are closer to the money than the Puts). Lets see if we can continue our flawless earnings trade.
KRE is a regional bank ETF, after a strong impulsive bull run, it looks like KRE is starting a correction. With a IV rank of 34 is at least decent volatility to try a neutral trade. I sold the 50/56 Strangle (25 delta) and collected $1.33 per contract. With 64% probability of profit at expiration we need the price to stay between $57.34 and $48.67 which is a...
I haven't traded this particular instrument before. For obvious reasons, now seems like a perfect time. The first of the two trades is a short strangle, with the shorts set up at the ~30 delta strike: JUNE 16TH 60/65 SHORT STRANGLE POP%: 59% Max Profit: $140/contract Max Loss: Undefined Break Evens: 58.60/65.82 Theta: 3.01 Delta: .78 The second's a defined...
It looks like Sellers are starting to come in, and I don't think buyers will give up that easily, so I expect some 2 way action in the next 30 days. With a decent IV Rank of 39 I want to sell some premium to add to my theta numbers. The trade: Sold the 32/37 Strangle for $1.83 per contract 61% probability of profit Will look to close it at 50% of the premium...
We have the French election coming up and other than my trades on FXE I didn't have much on play for that. The IV Rank on FEZ is pretty high at 77 and I am selling the strangle with 30 days to go. After the first part of the election we might get a decent volatility. I am betting that Euro companies won't be impacted as much and I can get paid on the...
With VIX in another ebb and a paucity of high quality premium selling earnings plays in the making for next week with both high implied volatility rank and high implied volatility, I'm looking at exchange traded funds instead for potential plays. For instance, EWY, the South Korea exchange traded fund, makes sense in the current geopolitical environment, and its...
When trading future options, you dont have built in implied volatility. You need to calculate the IV by calculating (volaCloseToday - volaLowest-52weeks)/(volaHighest-52weeks - volaLowest-52weeks). If the IVR is above 40%, then you should think about checking options premium, since premium is currently higher as in former days. In order to see, whether the...
Looking for a neutral play on XLE (I think we are starting to have 2 way action). IVR is not that high at 26, so doing less contracts (I don't have any other position right now on XLE). I sold the 69 Straddle for $2.78. Our break evens are just above the expected move, and this is close to a 54% probability trade.
With the IV percentile over 90% we can sell premium to get a nice credit. I sold a Straddle @ 49 (sold 1 put, and 1 call with a 49 strike price) with 45 days to go to expiration.
After a a little upside on the VIX we got another fast contraction in volatility. Got the idea from the guys at tastytrade and I liked the trade. This is a neutral bet on the VIX and we make money if it stays between 15.50 and 11.50. Sold the 13.5 Straddle and bought the 17 Call and 10 Put wings to make an Iron fly for a $2 credit per contract and reducing our...
AA (implied volatility rank 73/implied volatility 48) announces earnings on Monday after market close, so look to put on a play before the end of the session to take advantage of the post-announcement volatility crush. Metrics: Max Profit: $210/contract Max Loss/Buying Power Effect: $190/contract Break Evens: 29.90/34.10 Theta: 4.96 Delta: 3.51 Notes: This is a...
Last week I closed my IWM trades for a nice profit, and since IWM is part of my always on trades, and we got a nice move this week with a spike in volatility I am reloading on this one. IWM Strangle @30 delta IV Rank of 29.6 May 19 129 Put May 19 138 Call $3.68 credit Break evens 141.68 and 125.32 57% probability of profit we will look to close it earlier at...