Understanding the possibility and consequences of a recession by determine the strength of U.S Economy using key economic indicators GDP - In order to sustain the economy consumption must be increased meanwhile, Fed trying to tame inflation by implementing policies that will going to reduce the demand. Ergo, The GDP is expected to fall by 1.25 next...
Crude oil futures CL1! Is making an ABC zigzag correction & may reach 92 where A=C. 88 is the 0.618 Fib retracement while 85 is the Nov2021 Top. This strong support zone will enable crude oil to retest the blue upchannel base before resuming rally thru 2022. Crude oil is falling due to recesion fears & demand destruction. This should be temporary due to the supply...
The smallcaps Russell 2000 futures RTY1! (also the IWM etf), a leading market indicator like the transports, may complete an A=C correction ending in the volume profile zone near 1500. (IWM seems to be consolidating in tranches of 200…ex…230, 210, 190, now @ 170 & maybe 150 around 4Q2022.) This will complete the final wave 5 of C-wave. As you can see in this...
BTCUSD Daily neutral with a bullish bias. Recommended ratio: 58% BTC, 42% Cash. *USD hit a 20-year high, Oil, Treasuries and Gold are down, and cryptos and equities are up slightly as global recession fears continue to be exacerbated by higher inflation numbers. The Euro is crashing due in large part to the ECB failing to raise central bank interest rates to...
Consumer Sentiment is just one tool for investors to use when choosing whether to buy, sell, add, or trim stocks. But it can be a very useful tool, especially when markets are heavily skewed in one direction as they appear to be today. There have only been four (the three breaches during the 08 crisis I count as one) occurrences in the past when the U.S....
US fears the mount of recession and yet inflation had gone high and higher interest rates it just nearly 80% here in USA. Bitcoin had tried to back up but admit the US fears mount of rescission and inflation.. the bear market isn’t over.. again stop saying we are in the bottom we aren’t officially at the bottom yet. We are forward to see another big crash in...
A recession is incoming, the yield curve has turned negative and the euro is collapsing. Three good arguments for buying short-term treasury notes. And you still get 2,8 % return for a very safe investment. I think it is a strong buy.
The pair has been pivoting to reverse May - June gains. The pair has been printing lower highs forming a descending triangle. A confirmation of the break on the daily timeframe will warrant a short-sale. Fundamentally, the AUD is struggling in the face of a global economic slowdown. The currency, a bellwether for global risk sentiment, weakened after the RBA...
The Euro hit the lowest level since 2002 this morning on reports that a key Russian gas pipeline had stopped sending gas to Europe. This has sparked recessionary fears across European markets. Further downside could be in the works despite being oversold. The ECBs anti-fragmentation tool may keep the ECB monetary policy stance for longer
I have narrowed the likely future paths down to 3 theories. THEORY THREE: Current position is Primary wave 4 of Cycle A of Supercycle 2. Theory 3 is on a faster path while the wave structure is similar to Theory 2. The preliminary bear market bottom would be in somewhere between Election Day 2024 and March 2025. The path for the next month would see the market...
I have narrowed the likely future paths down to 3 theories. THEORY TWO: Current position is Intermediate wave 4 of Primary wave 1 of Cycle A of Supercycle 2. Theory 2 still has the bear market finding a final bottom 5-8 years from now. The path for the next month would see the market move up for a few more weeks as it attempts to finish Intermediate wave 4...
I have narrowed the likely future paths down to 3 theories. THEORY ONE: Current position is Minor wave 3 of Intermediate wave 5 of Primary wave 1 of Cycle A of Supercycle 2. Theory 1 has the bear market finding a final bottom 5-8 years from now. The path for the next month would see new lows below 3636.87 which was the recent low from June. IMPORTANT...
ETHUSD Daily neutral with a bullish bias. Recommended ratio: 53% ETH, 47% Cash. *MONDAY SCARIES. Cryptos are rallying today as US equity markets are closed for July 4th. It's still premature to call this a bottom so it's prudent to be wary of a potential Bull Trap.* Price is currently attempting to break out to the upside after testing $1k for eighteen...
Hi Folks, As you can see the chart says everyone,add more comments here would be unnecessary :) Actually,the only thing I would say is that fuel cost will not follow the dumping,as it was on March 2020. That's the greatest joke,once again. If you have any comments or ideas please share them down in the comments ! Thank you for reading,happy trading everyone :)
Hi Folks, As you can see the charts speaks for their own: on a long term view we can clearly see a weak Euro against US Dollar. The European currency is currently on a downtrend since last year,when it tried to break through resistance at 1.22,and since then keeps loosing dominance in the FX market, as well for his purchasing power which is decline since EUR...
NYMEX:RB1! While the U.S. stock market performed miserably lately, energy commodities have a banner year. According to the American Automobile Association (AAA), the national average gasoline price reached an all-time high of $5.016 a gallon on June 14th. Diesel logged its own record on June 19th, at $5.816 a gallon. Crude oil price hike is certainly a major...
BTCUSD Daily neutral with a bearish bias. Recommended ratio: 35% BTC, 65% Cash. *Bitcoin has been testing $20k (a critical psychological level) for nineteen consecutive sessions. As many cryptos have returned almost all of their gains after March 2020 (when Federal Reserve dropped rates to 0.25% and started aggressive QE and Congress began issuing stimulus...
We are living in arguably the most interesting time for all financial markets. Some economists, politicians, and business entities know the saying: “when America sneezes, the world catches a cold.” Now, no matter how you interpret this statement the U.S accounted for over 20% of the expansion in world RGDP during the past two decades. Moreover, U.S'...