On this daily chart of the ratio of TBT ( Treasury Bills Bearish ) to TLT ( the inverse Bullish) over time. This serves to accentuate shifts in prices from factors affecting them both but with opposite effects. Federal actions or even reports of economic data are some of those factors. This chart shows that about November 1st, TBT ad topped out and fell....
Here's a closer look at a highly reliable cyclical bear market indicator. Over the past two decades, it has consistently proven itself as a trusted signal, often aligning with yield curve inversions. In contrast to employing trendlines and breakouts for precision, this chart relies on moving averages. These moving averages function in a similar manner to channels,...
On this 4H Chart TMF has rallied in the past week about 9% as the reports of the impetus of inflation has diminished. On the zero-lag MACD, the lines are staying above the histogram which has not converted from negative to positive. The dual time frame RSI showing low 1 hour TF in blue and daily TF in black has the lower crossing over the higher both at...
In this video we look at the impending $800b T-bill issuance from the US Treasury to rebuild its cash levels at the TGA – will this lead to higher volatility in financial markets as reserves are taken out of the system? Will concerns on bank credit kick back up, or will this prove to be a non-event? We look at the indicators you need can use in TradingView to...
On the daily chart- I have plotted the TLT (Long Bond Leveraged) ETF vs the TBT (Short Inverse) as a ratio. The ratio is running on a cycle between high and low. On the chart for reference is a Hull Moving Average of 20 days. A more frequency cyling could be achieved with a paid Tradingview subscription and a charting time frame of 2 or 4 hours. For...
Top chart shows the RRP yield and US01MY. Bottom view shows the RRP. The theory is that, if the RRP yield is attractive, money will flow into the RRP from bills. When RRP increases, Net Liquidity decreases. (Dowwward pressure in the market.)
Based on the TLT pattern shown here, bonds may have much further below to go. They've continued to steadily sell off as rates have continued climbing, and show no signs of a long-term bounce. Target 1 has been breached, leaving target 2 in the crosshairs: $86-87.
Months ago, when 10 year bond futures were still 175, this weekly head and shoulders pattern jumped out at me. It looked so big and so bad I almost didn't want to believe it could play out. Now, as we approach 135, this massive, fully triggered pattern may be the best indication of where bonds are headed: 125. Sure, they could bounce a few times as they have...
So we have not had that moment I like to call OMG PUKE please make it stop . But I think the 5 handle would do it
THETA 3 day chart has dropped tremendously... Im shocked at the value of this token at this price. This THETA eco-system is definitely one of the most impressive. With TFUEL, TBILL, TDROP and with expansion of broadband internet, and the NFT marketplace ranking in the top 5. We will see much higher numbers in the near future.
75% chance of a 75bps hike for June. The FED has no intention of chasing Inflation. They don't need to. Bonds will simply reprice, create chaos and complete the needed destruction @ 3.5%. ______________________________________________ Do not take the bait. Avoid the Hook.
Whenever this chart crosses 0 it means the yield curve for the 2 and 10 year bond yields has inverted. Historically a significant economic downturn followed. It's not perfect but nonetheless I wanted to put this out there for feedback. Thanks
THETA TOKEN: HIDDEN BULLISH DIVERGENCE IN THIS WEEKLY CHART. Theta has been super bullish for nearly 600 days, yes we did see a long consolidation period, but its coming to a decision time on the weekly chart. looking at the RSI, its about to break resistance and remain bullish for a large move up. If history would repeat itself, look at the projected numbers...
The strong rebound that occurred Friday, confirmed the lower level of the Pitchfork. Friday's strong selling volumes suggest we marked a low.
Let's see if crypto can be the escape for stock traders or if they'll all just head to gold and T-bonds.
Credit risk, volatility and lots of liquidity fireworks in 2018