Good afternoon and good evening traders, for today on CRUDE OIL it went sideways and on the other 2 markets we traded and it's okay since this is how trading works, today's not our day so we stopped at the morning after losing 1.5K and we'll recover it in the following days. I don't only share my wins, losses also must be shared so beginners know that trading...
5% of on a 1-year US Government Bond Yield? I never thought that I would see the day. Many of us have grown up in a low rate world. Today, you buy a US Treasury bond, hold it for a year, and get 5%. That's more than most stocks yield in dividends, probably nearly double or triple the average. However, it's said that the S&P 500 averages 7% a year or so....
The chart above is a yearly chart of the ratio of the 10-year Treasury yield (US10Y) to the 2-year Treasury yield (US02Y). The chart is meant to highlight how extreme the yield curve inversion is getting. Typically a yield curve inversion is indicative of an impending recession. Usually, the 10-year treasury should have a higher yield than the 2-year treasury...
A bonus trade for you, Currently I'm in a short trade on TREASURY BONDS, we got in after breking through the support we have in 125'02, now since we just added another contract and the price has already moved I said why not to share it with you to touch some profits. I don't share trades at the same moment I get in it since I have customers I give signals to...
Good morning and good afternoon for european traders, as you can see on the Treasury Bonds chart the price broke the resistance and pulled back on it to give us a confirmation to buy it. I don't use SL and TP, set yours at your own risk
Traders, There are two cautionary indicators that I want you to be aware of and to watch closely this week. One of them has to do with U.S. treasuries which lead our dollar strength/weakness. The other has to do with the 200 week moving average on the Bitcoin chart. Let's dive in and take a look at these two very important lead indicators. Stew
The 10-year Treasury yield has been rising since the end of January in the aftermath of a Bullish Morning Star candlestick pattern. Now, prices are approaching the December high at 3.905 after confirming a breakout above a falling trendline from October. Meanwhile, a bullish Golden Cross is set to form between the 20- and 50-day Simple Moving Averages, further...
I'm sharing with you the other trade I'm getting in this morning on ZB, you can notice on the chart again that we have a breakout of the channel with a high volume candle followed by another high volumed one which is a confirmation on the trading system I follow. Set SL and TP on your own
Bonds are seriously underperforming stocks and TLT has been on a downtrend since the onset of Covid lockdowns when global governments printed massive amounts of money to prop up the equity markets. In Oct 2022, TLT broke below the 2014 low and then recovered nicely. I believe allocating like 10% in treasuries will be beneficial with the outlook of 2-4 years as we...
Fed claiming to continue rate increases. 2-year treasuries calling, "Bluff"! One of them is lying.
In this video I cover the divergence between the 2 and 10 year treasuries and the recent FOMC press conference language. Jerome Powell is promising one thing (continued rate increases), while the bond market seems to be claiming otherwise (Fed pause incoming). Who's right? Let's take a closer look.
2Yr #Yield is close to support @ 4 Look at that weekly performance! However, monthly shows RSI readings above mid 70 has signified TOPS ALSO Depending on how Dec closes $TNX also looking weak Look @ RSI What is this telling you? "Someone" buying loads of #bonds, who & why?
10x.....from a low 0.31% in March to 3.48% currently. With Fed speak not being understood by the market....the technicals might. The 10 year yield s are all set to usher the new year at higher levels.
looking at short term bonds over the next 3-4yrs and take the monthly dividend. From the 4th Elliott wave to the 5th, then I'll likely convert over to the 20yr treasury in 2years to try to buy the D leg of the cypher pattern on the 20yr. see charts. In this chart, notice how the price action retrace back to the 3rd wave, this movement was a very big bearish cypher...
Bonds have soared after yields collapsed due to CPI coming in slightly better than expected. This follows months of consistently high readings fueling a hawkish Fed. With this reading, the markets will likely start to anticipate a pivot to a less hawkish stance. ZN broke through our target of 110'27, and moved a full handle above that to 111'26. It is...
oil and gold are trying to go higher but the consumer is tapped out. #deflation
The US 10-year Treasury yield left behind a Bullish Engulfing candlestick pattern on the daily chart this Friday. This is as the bond tested a rising range of support from August. A turn higher from here could open the door to revisiting the October high of 4.33. Otherwise, breaking lower exposes the 50-day Simple Moving Average, which could reinstate the...
Months ago, when 10 year bond futures were still 175, this weekly head and shoulders pattern jumped out at me. It looked so big and so bad I almost didn't want to believe it could play out. Now, as we approach 135, this massive, fully triggered pattern may be the best indication of where bonds are headed: 125. Sure, they could bounce a few times as they have...