it is very strange if you look what is ripple doing from august when everyone and everything had hard times and there are lot of bullish news on XRP make your own due diligence and trade on it
Dear friends The difference between the returns of 10-year and 2-year bonds and the lower the value of these two charts, the slope of the reduction curve (Flat) and vice versa, the more we grow in these two charts, the slope of the curve has increased (Steep). I compared the behavior of this chart to Bitcoin. American financial and economic data.
US10Y-US02Y interesting connection of RVGI indicator and Bitcoin Except at one false signal June 2018 every cross in the extreme area of this indicator marked quite good Entry or Exit points for BTC Seems the next cross for a possible Entry point is ahead dear Crypto Nation *not financial advice do your own research before investing
US10Y treasury yield minus US02Y treasury yield is an accurate predictor of impending economic recession. Here we compare the 10 Aug 2022 yield curve inversion low point to the low points in 2007 and 2000 that pre-dated the Great Recession and Dot Com stock market crashes. While a small inversion (below 0) does not always pre-date a recession, inversions as low as...
hi there, dear fellow. we've recently stumbled upon this chart, in the quest for a leading gauge for the dxy. this chart depicts a paradox. in white, US10Y-USIRYY; in orange, US10Y-US02Y. if you remember our previous idea, namely on the DXY and the yield curve spread (US10Y-US02Y), we've pointed out back then that a steepening of the yield curve would be bearish...
we've plotted US10Y-US02Y against DXY. we've noticed a near perfect fitting between them. as yield curve continues to invert, it drives higher DXY and that is bearish for risk assets, and vice versa. best regards.
Hello everybody! I wanted to make a quick update on where I think the 10y and 30y bonds will be headed in the next few months, as in the past, I've been talking quite a bit about deflation and a recession being close. We have seen TLT rise significantly, yet I think there is more upside. In the short term, I can see a further pullback, but in my honest opinion,...
Ahead of incredibly important CPI data to be released tomorrow, we are seeing yields steepen in a very dramatic fashion. In comparison to each of the last 3 inversions, this one is not even close to the past. It is important to understand that when yields steepen , it systematically leads to downside in the SPX/NASDAQ. It has been the indicator of almost...
I am nicknaming the 2-10 year yield "Icarus". Pushing back towards to the sun with haste it would seem . Kind of interesting how this is off the media radar today . Oh my wings! See my two wings! How I love to fly! -The final words between: Icarus, and his father~
Everyone is talking about yields inverting and the recession that follows it. Here I am going to do a quick rundown on how to actually use this information to your advantage. It is not the yields INVERTING that is cause for concern. This is only the first step of a potentially long process. It is when yields start STEEPENING that there is real cause for concern....
Chart showing lead time between the curve inversion and the start of the stock market crashes along the time. Longest lead time was around 760 days (+2 years) Shortest lead time was 4-5 months. Consider a 6 months as a rule for your readiness: - Build up cash reserves. - Partial sells of variable income equities (stocks, crypto, etc). - From 4-6 months forward,...
It took less than a year for relative yields to do what took 5 years in the previous cycle. Last time it was gentle and made us fall asleep at the wheel. This time, it's forcefed down our throat and the economy will be dragged down by these companies who have made harmful malinvestiments for years with no recourse. Look at half the companies on the Russell with no...
The bond market often has an inverse relationship with the stock market since it is considered a 'risk off' asset. Bonds generally yield more interest for longer maturities. For example, a bond investor in a healthy economy would expect a greater yield for a 10 year treasury compared to a shorter duration. However, the yield curve can 'invert' (shorter term bond...
Idea for MOVE: - Bond markets seeing volatility after the Quad Witching and FOMC double whammy. - US02Y 2x ATR spike: - Expecting turbulence the rest of the month. GLHF - DPT
Flattening for the close. Getting a couple of questions re; flattening after the hints in previous idea, for those following 10s30s you will notice the test of 55/54bps is underway. ↳ The latest breakdown is implying we are at the minimum here in an ABC expectation leg towards support ↳ Inflation readings will be key to drive this one, this is signalling a...
A timely update to the US10Y Yields chart as we approach key areas. The 1.35% pivot level in the very short term is our line in the sand and will define which battlefield we will play Q3 on. ↳ The waterfall lows from 2020 started the next five wave impulsive sequence to the topside, it will take years for the moves to unfold but critical to understand our long...