We have updated our monthly publication - US Sectors Relative to S&P500. It is an overview of the major US sectors, and covers, amongst others, Consumer Discretionary, Consumer Staples, Energy, Healthcare, Technology and Financials. Within several ratings changes, we have Downgraded Financials to Underweight. On an absolute basis, the US Financials ETF XLF is...
24-25$ is a potential Sell Zone that includes: 1) Weekly Structure 2) Bearish Crab 3) The 78.6 Fib level (reversal level) A close below 23$ can provide the confirmation signal - In such case, XLF target will be 21$
Even though it has almost touched the top line but at the daily level, 5 wave is not done yet.
I will try to call a multi-year top on the XLF fund. Will short from 25, targeting... Probably, 12. But my main question is: was the whole movement from 2009 to now a wave 1 or it was a B and we still wil see a Wave C? If that was a B, then we can probably say: welcome to hell, banks! Hope you enjoy your stay here
With the enactment of deregulation on Dodd-Frank, large banks are gapping up to a higher level. Since Trump's election, JPM has jumped almost 30% and it's gonna retest 88 so as to open the new territory.
XLF sees strong momentum on Tuesday trading and there's support @22.85. Trump's policy will benefit the financial sector anyway and we are expecting to see a pullback+bounce back to previous highest level and break through into a new territory!! Wait for the pullback to build the portfolio.
$XLF At an Important area for the Banking sector, US and Global Economy. Both on a fundamental and technical basis. I don't want this post to be viewed as fear mongering or doom and gloom. On a fundamental point of view, loans dropping off can easily be explained by people waiting to see what happens next and thus postponed borrowing to a later date. On a...
BAC monthly chart analysis shows two things: 1) The post elections rally drove Bank of America above a major weekly structure zone (18$) that now should act as support (green box) 2) Next major structure zone is way up near 25$. Also where the price will meet the 200 months MA line and complete a bearish AB=CD pattern. We are talking about a 10% additional...
SPX vs Major Sectors. I added IBB to cover Biotech. Please comment. My understanding at this point is to stay in sectors which have good fundamentals and have been relative laggards. The 3 bottom ones at this point seem to be Financials, Technology and XLU / XLP. Since utilities is a risk-averse sector, so in a pro-growth environment I may want to go with the...
For your long swing account. You will have many opportunities to add more to the trade so still once reaching 1:1-or-more ratio remember to consider taking profits to remove your risk.
This is only a trading capability - no recommendation !!! Next wkk i`ll confirm or change my opinion about this SetUp :) Buying/Selling or even only watching is always your own responsibility ... Best regards Aaron
Clear wave pattern seen in the XLF -0.25% ETF . I'm expecting one final push up from 23.54 right now in the next few weeks with a target of 24.76 (76.4% retracement of 2008 highs). It would have been pretty good level to accumulate some long term puts up to a year. The anti-bank sentiment is far from over, and almost certainly not right now. Trump rally at...
negative divergence in XLF chart. will get FAZ calls
Pretty much following GS' lead and the current presidential hype train. This one is no different.
Yield curve is flattening with each rate hike as the short term floor is hiked higher. Not a stable environment for better loan growth. These are the leaders, do people really expect a hand off back to FANG?
Middle BB broken, momentum slowing down. Day trading idea only.
What a rollercoaster the financilas got - no doubt :) How ever, based on some strategic facts (point of views) i realized that the financial sector still got time and room to prices above 25 at least. Why ??? The Sentiment changed !!! And not only this - of course politics in the US too. And this is probably the most inflous - the most bullish factor !? CNBC Joe...