iamajeya

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About me A programmer and mathematician for 20 years. Now trying to understand the mystical world of finance.
Joined Canada alphaJ0hnny
Up and Down and Up and Down ... all the way around !!!
Markets Allocation
32 % stocks 11 % forex 3 % commodities 54 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
FX:USOIL 33% | 13 USDCAD 7% | 3 SPX 5% | 2 TVC:USOIL 5% | 2
iamajeya iamajeya SPX, W, Education
SPX: SPY / SPX for next few months / years
82 0 5
SPX, W Education
SPY / SPX for next few months / years

Summer doldrums are here. We seem to be getting into Wave 5 of Wave 5 of Wave 5 (Primary, Intermediate, Minor). My guess is that 5 of 5 of 5 are usually truncated, market stalls for a while till EMA 13 crosses under 34 and then races to either wave 4 bottom of same degree (last year bottom) or in case of previous extended impulse wave (which we had), it can dive ...

iamajeya iamajeya GDXJ, D, Long ,
GDXJ: GDXJ price target
164 0 5
GDXJ, D Long
GDXJ price target

Everything is on the chart

iamajeya iamajeya XAUUSD, 240, Short ,
XAUUSD: Triangle wave with targets
45 0 1
XAUUSD, 240 Short
Triangle wave with targets

We seem to be in a triangle wave, so we are looking at gold 0.83% touching support line (Purple line) and then bouncing to the top resistance (Red line). There is always a possibility that Gold 0.83% gets Trumped and heads upto resistance line, however that looks unlikely technically since we have a double top at 1220. Trade 1 -> Entry: 1204, TP: 1146, SL: 1222 ...

iamajeya iamajeya SPX500, W, Long ,
SPX500: SPX500 Long to 2450
127 7 3
SPX500, W Long
SPX500 Long to 2450

My previous target was 2388 (in between 0.5 and 0.618 extension of wave 3-4). I now believe the market will show bullish moves unto 2450 before setting in for a reversal in the second half of 2017. The extreme target for this bullish move can extend to 2567 which is measured move of wave 1 and also 2.414 extension of previous cycle. Historically SPX has failed ...

iamajeya iamajeya SPX, M,
SPX: Long Term Sector Rotation
62 5 1
SPX, M
Long Term Sector Rotation

SPX vs Major Sectors. I added IBB to cover Biotech. Please comment. My understanding at this point is to stay in sectors which have good fundamentals and have been relative laggards. The 3 bottom ones at this point seem to be Financials, Technology and XLU / XLP. Since utilities is a risk-averse sector, so in a pro-growth environment I may want to go with the ...

iamajeya iamajeya IBB, D, Short ,
IBB: Biotech (IBB) - trade of the year
61 0 2
IBB, D Short
Biotech (IBB) - trade of the year

IBB is at multi-year cross roads. Ideal for straddles / strangles. A dropping RSI points to a weekly downtrend. Both trade ideas are plotted. From a fundamental perspective, I believe @realdonaldtrump is right, biotech is getting away with murder. I get one of my meds from overseas because it's 1/182 the cost. Yes, you read it right. It costs me $1 there ...

iamajeya iamajeya USOIL, W, Short ,
USOIL: Oil trend medium term (8-10 weeks)
54 0 1
USOIL, W Short
Oil trend medium term (8-10 weeks)

Oil Traditionally goes up in February due to expectations of refinery buying. Because of the untimely rise it took in November, it's rise maybe delayed / stalled a bit as there seems to be a lot of selling pressure. Magic words to any producer is to hedge output at 55 for this year. There's going to be a lot of uncertainty due to a new government and that can ...

iamajeya iamajeya GDX, W,
GDX: H&S on GDX
66 0 3
GDX, W
H&S on GDX

On the chart

iamajeya iamajeya USOIL, 180, Short ,
USOIL: USOIL 60 or 40 ?
39 0 2
USOIL, 180 Short
USOIL 60 or 40 ?

Trade plan on sheet

iamajeya iamajeya AMZN, D, Short ,
AMZN: AMZN ready to move
64 0 2
AMZN, D Short
AMZN ready to move

ADX is crossing it's EMA, this is usually a sign that it's ready to move. Historically AMZN has always gone down at the start of the year. I will put a stop above 793. And possibly wait for a Divergence on 240 to make this trade. PPO divergence is showing a Buy signal, but Williams Vix fix is not agreeing with it.

iamajeya iamajeya WMT, 240, Long ,
WMT: WMT, a small upside
11 0 2
WMT, 240 Long
WMT, a small upside

WMT, haggle around at this level till 19th January (20th option expiration). Then up to 70.87 by Feb 6th, and then possibly a strong bear move lasting till end March.

iamajeya iamajeya FB, 240, Long ,
FB: FB - retracement off Triangle bottom
37 0 5
FB, 240 Long
FB - retracement off Triangle bottom

FB should may a minor retracement off the triangle bottom. RSI at that point may dictate the next move.

iamajeya iamajeya SPX500, W, Short ,
SPX500: Hard Landing or Soft Landing ?
137 2 3
SPX500, W Short
Hard Landing or Soft Landing ?

A crash is imminent as per what one can see in this chart. Also it may be BRUTAL based on ACC/DIST. As you can see, it's gone up STEEPLY which the market has been in the same place - i.e. Fed has been buying at a steep pace. Why fed? Because BlackRock and quite a few other bankers say that 60% or more of their client portfolios are in CASH. We know that JPN ...

iamajeya iamajeya USDCAD, M, Long ,
USDCAD: USDCAD till 2018
77 0 2
USDCAD, M Long
USDCAD till 2018

Given US Fed is starting to raise rates, and the Canadian economy is at a point that it's looking at lower for longer. I believe we will see wave 3 and wave 5. However since wave 1 was an extended wave, I believe we will see 1.64 on the top within the next 2 years till finally Oil completely bottoms out and cracks in US Bonds start showing up.

iamajeya iamajeya QQQ, W, Short ,
QQQ: QQQ possible wolfe wave reversal (strong)
41 0 1
QQQ, W Short
QQQ possible wolfe wave reversal (strong)

A strong reversal is possible for QQQ. As we all know these companies enjoy very high PEs and in some cases they are just loss producing entities. The reason they are alive and thriving is the "bigger fool theory". But even a mild recession can start a domino effect. I believe what we have here are classic makings of a wolfe wave reversal pattern. Since (4) ...

iamajeya iamajeya USOIL, 180, Short ,
USOIL: Next Target for USOil ?
162 0 5
USOIL, 180 Short
Next Target for USOil ?

MACD is really high up, the only way seems to be down. Vix fix has done 3 towers, very rarely it does 4.

iamajeya iamajeya TSLA, W, Short ,
TSLA: Bear Targets for TSLA
119 0 5
TSLA, W Short
Bear Targets for TSLA

I like the product of this company. However, the charts don't lie and history repeats itself. Comments on chart.

iamajeya iamajeya EURUSD, 480, Short ,
EURUSD: Volume Drying up on EURUSD
43 0 3
EURUSD, 480 Short
Volume Drying up on EURUSD

Fundamentally this pair should go higher till US elections, and then fall to multi-year lows. For right now, the volume (as noted in Volume Profile is drying up for this range. Whcih means a reversal to mean is imminent. Target 1.0643

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