Really, really remarkable to see this. Remember the Greek/eurozone debt crisis? That's what the big spike is. Now, here we are. Greek bonds are nearing their lowest levels ever. The only explanation is that people are seeking the safest form of assets in government bonds and Central Banks are becoming more helpful managing debt and supporting their countries. I...
Blue line is the 10 yr, they should start to diverge as yields rise and VIX falls. (in the perfect bull world)
GB10Y seems to have finished minor wave 1 and should enter in a correction with a potential target at 0.52. If yield crosses down 0.07, this analysis should be reviewed. FOLLOW SKYLINEPRO TO GET UPDATES.
German 10-year yield is tracing wave C up that should complete intermediate wave 2. The most probable targets are -0.05 and 0.15. If yield crosses below -0.60 this analysis should be reviewed. FOLLOW SKYLINEPRO TO GET UPDATES.
Looks like the expanding ending diagonal in the Wave II correction ended around April 21st. An expanding ending diagonal indicates strength in the move ahead. I am expecting this to move up from here. A break above 1.28 should confirm a bottom is in place. Please LIKE and FOLLOW to get notification of updates and future posts.
The US 10 Year and really, yields around the world, have plummeted to levels no one thought was possible. However, the unthinkable has become thinkable. I believe the US 10 year is likely only a week or so from 0.500 and if the Fed cuts rates again this month (as is likely), we could see 0 by the end of the month. The real question though is will the 10 Year stop...
Over 150 today! Coming into a major decade long TL near 152-153. Nice trade if took the setup
The short end of the bond market and very long end are safest bets. But inflation pressure and slowing economy will cause the 10 year yields to rise and prices to fall.
Safety in the bond market is at the very short end (as short rates rise, can reinvest at higher rates) and the very long end (rates should decline as economic news deteriorates due to stalled Chinese economy). Most risk is in the 10 year range.
1) Potential double top forming on daily chart, near 6.00 round-number 2) US/TR 2-year yield differentials forming slight divergence 3) RSI forms a bearish divergence 4) Positioning and data support a stronger USD - possible headwind for the setup 5) Break above 6.00 invalidates the idea
Looking at 30 year UST yields key levels are at 2.2% and 2.4% on the weekly chart. Break and close above 2.4% could indicate we have bottomed, but close below 2.2% and we're probably heading lower, meaning the rally in yields (sell-off in bonds) was a retracement of the heavy buying buying before the rally in treasuries continues.
I am not a virologist, but I understand sentiment and a large part of my trading is looking at where people are overly fearful and where they are too complacent (at a basic level)... It's why I use Twitter so much. It's a great sentiment resource. If you were to do a search for Corona Virus on Twitter, 90% of people are bricking it. But step away from that and...
Equities keep climbing higher on the back of renewed trade and Brexit optimism and also on the back of monetary policy decisions! Interest rates are on hold, but the Fed did cut three times in 2019! Will the surge continue into 2020? And if yes, when can we expect the massive sell-off everyone’s been talking about to take place? ake a pick as we near the end of...
JGB yields brushed off USMCA headlines yesterday and took a positive turn above the zero mark! JGB's haven't been positive since March 2019! Is this hinting that investors turn optimistic on global economies? Or just a shot-lived surge own to auction? Supported by impeachment uncertainty and poor US data yen rose against the greenback yesterday, however, the...
As global financial markets continue to grind higher and reach new highs, it appears that yields on the US 10-Year Treasury are doing the same. Yields broke through their previous yearly high of 1.899% (Green Resistance Line), settling at 1.943% (as of Nov 10th), and are trying to make a move higher. On a technical basis, yields seem to be forming an "Ascending...
WEEKLY TREND!! INSIDE THE YELLOW! SMALLER TIMEFRAMES BELOW!!