Edgy_

Oil: Monthly Equilibrium, Break Coming!

TVC:USOIL   CFDs on WTI Crude Oil
Hello dear energy sector fans & oil traders, hope you're doing well! ;) Welcome to this special analysis on the WTI Crude Oil.

On the monthly chart we're currently inside a nice Equilibrium/tightening range, which will see a breakout coming towards the end of this year. This Equilibrium is also perfectly visible on the Weekly chart:


=> A break of the range highs at $60 could lead to $65 and $75, giving 5-25% profit.

A break of the range lows at $52 could lead towards $45, giving around 17% profit for short sellers.

On the Daily chart we have successfully made a Morning Star reversal at $55 and are currently trying to make that zone to a higher Low compared to $52 of the Equilibrium range.



What about the fundamentals?

While we currently have the tanker issues still going on between Iran and Great Britain, it doesn't seem to have a huge impact on the price: The market is not expecting a costly war between those parties.

Moreover the market is fundamentally still dictated by weak industrial & manufacturing activity: Supply is still stronger than demand.

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