It needs air and to me this is it - correction time, eoy should be bullish.
Hello ladies and gentlemen, according to my chart analysis of Zn 10 Year T-Note Futures There Is a Strong Sell With High Probability 107.05 This is a next level in a Few Days.
Let's dispense with the Master O' Obvious stuff straight away. Pick an Adjective - it won't rhyme with Bullish. It may, however, be cringeworthy. NQ below 200 W SMA. What lay ahead remains up to 3588 for the ES Futures, *Note the 200SMA Weekly is just below this most important of level @ 3585.55. Powell - simple... NO...
Notes on this friday, I'm following my plan as of now and will continue to do so unless 3600 gets taken out. The Dollar looks like a blow off top is coming soon, VIX is .60 cents away from weekly BB. BOnds are getting a bid and are actually green today. Powell talks at 2pm, worth noting. Good luck!
Growth, Employment, Inflation - aka what's left of the Economy. 1. Employment - seeking roughly a reduction of 12 Million Jobs. 2. Growth - reduction of 50% for S&P 500 from Highs. 3. Inflation - Leads until Rate Lag breaks everything. _________________________________________________________________________________ Capital Stocks Powell - Bonds are...
TLT has been in downward channel since COVID 2020 highs. Currently it's hitting at a MEGA technical level which has conjunction of triple support trendlines as shown in the chart. TLT might go down till $104 before a short term technical bounce to $115-$116. However my medium to long term target for Treasury bonds is $95 and $85, with Fed increasing interest...
Hello traders and investors, today we will talk about US Yields and its relationship with GOLD from Elliott wave perspective. As you may already know, US Yields and gold are in negative correlation. And, as you can see, while US Yields are on the rise, gold is slowing down. However, US Yields can be now finishing a five-wave cycle from the lows, while gold is...
Bonds have slid further and there is no relief rally insight. The markets were hoping for a 'dovish hike' in the sense that the 75 bps hike would be followed by dovish rhetoric. In fact it was the opposite. Yields have maintained highs pressing prices further down. We are hugging 113'12 and expect support there. If not, we will use Fibonacci extension levels...
I forgot wheat - still looks fine for bulls. All in the video, expecting a pump up today and then further selling to 3700. Sentiment is extremely bearish and so with the technicals I'm watching I'm expecting a rally sooner rather than later. OIL looks good for a nice swing up, Gold as well, Bonds may have a breakout on TLT, but we need to see follow through -...
Jackson Hole, CPI, and FOMC are rearview. Are you a Dip Buyer - with Powell stating the FED is on the low side of the Target Range? That is a suicide, assured. See Chart - the obnoxious Bots are far more intelligent than us and gaining further ground exponentially. We closely observe their programs daily and make adjustments among our small group of live...
I will be buying bullish exposure to 7 and 10 year treasuries as a result of topping out inflation and the fed's aggressive actions to kerep it down.
If we can see tthis begin to come down from here we will see stock continue up and the dollar return down.
Alright so I've come up with a formula between different US Bond Yields resulting in an oscillator indicator - which successfully signals tops on the stock markets and the bear market after. Based on the area where that oscillator crosses the 0 value (down), we start topping until it comes back up. This period last in average around 1 year and is aligningt +/-...
US10Y has been crazy lately. It has broken an all time down-trend channel and was moving just like we would like BTC to move. But anyways... Why does this affect the market ? When confidence is high, 10-year bond prices fall and yields climb. This is because investors believe they can find higher-yielding investments elsewhere and do not believe they need to be...
EUR/USD ▶️ GBP/USD 🔼 AUD/USD ▶️ USD/CAD 🔽 XAU ▶️ WTI ▶️ As the US bond yield curve remains inverted, bond yields are fueled by the imminent interest rate decision from the Federal Reserve, the 10-year Treasury yield reached 3.514%, and the 2-year bond yield went higher to 3.934%. Although the stock market did slightly recover from yesterday’s losses, the forex...
An overview of the markets I often cover. Dollar should pull back lifting just about everything, Wheat may have to retest 800, Bonds ABC continues to 120's, Dax (germany index) looks interesting at support and may be hinting at a larger bounce in world markets. Good luck!
Bonds have continued their decline as the markets price in a potentially historic FOMC rate hike this week. Inflation data suggests that the Fed's rate hike trajectory is not really working and inflation is still soaring. On the other hand, multiple indicators suggest that we are in a recession, and the Fed will have to pivot their hawkish stance after this last...
With the 2022 recession ever coming closer, more hints that it’s nearing appear. One of those hints include this graph, which shows the 1 year bond surpassing the 4% mark, and it’s more than any other bond. For the first time in more than 15 years, the 1 year bond surpasses 4%. The yield curve has been inverted for more than 1 month, and it’s still inverted. At...