Sentiment Is Suddenly Very Bearish on Equities, SPX, NDX, RUT It's been a volatile few weeks of trading as the S&P 500 pulled back a bit (and the Nasdaq pulled back a bit more). Bearish sentiment has grown as the price dipped. The $CPCE equity put/call ratio rose sharply this week to levels last seen in March 2020, near the beginning of the pandemic. The...
Massive shorts in bond market. Given the current condition I think TLT is ready for 80% move to the upside and stock market to about to go through very rough liquidation imo. DXY is likely to hit all time high as well I think.
Since I'm not a professional analyst, I've sunk many hours of research in the past week to understand the recent move in the market on a deeper level. Here are my findings. I hope you find this informative. I've been hearing different analysts' opinions about the recent move in the stock market. I heard the money is moving from tech stocks to banks, or from...
Replay of 2008 crisis. One last opportunity is coming and a damn good one too imo.
The charts are clearly telling you we are heading for major deflationary event despite what the media keeps pumping and yelling inflation is coming. They don't want you to hold cash when the biggest opportunity comes. They want you to stay broke through the opportunity. DXY and bonds are going to do very well. So I will be converting them back to stocks when...
This chart is a projection of what how the US Treasury Bond yield may retrace back down following the recent upward spike. The chart uses Fibonacci retracement and a Fibonacci time scale that seems to have aligned with many of the major movements in Bond Yield over time.
Please refer to our post about "HEAD & SHOULDERS IN RATES" below on bond yields. US5Y was around 0.5% now it sits at 0.8%. NEXT week, there will be around $100 Billion Treasury auctions. More supply! Next week we expect a turmoil in bond market. This will have effect on EVERY INSTRUMENT! STOCKS, CRYPTOS, GOLD... Protect yourself.
in this range, there will be only some small ups and downs until tomorrow morning which is 7:30 GMT+1. I like to keep it clean and simple.
The sudden and continued rise in bond yields have created a problem for Stocks. The S&P has retraced from the upper bound of our pseudo-megaphone pattern. Although we do have support at 3791, we appear to be forming a bear flag, and may break lower. There is a vacuum zone down to 3758, which it appears that the S&P seems to be gearing up to cross. The level...
Things could get interesting for the $US10Y if we repeat last week's pattern, with the yield stabilizing above 1.5
Here's an Other Signal of Buying the USD/JPY. it will Resist and test the highest point then it will go down. so until midnight you are safe to BUY. i like to keep it clean and simple so anyone can understand.
Here's an other SELL signal of ZN1. You can trust it for at least 4hours from now. i like to keep it clean and simple so anyone can understand.
I've set out what I see as the major topic of conversation / concern thats in financial markets currently as we approach the key resistance level of 1.5% in US 10Y Yields.
While the bond market blood bath may scare some, I believe it is an opportunity to catch a fly with chopsticks Mr. Miagi style. The narrative that bonds are selling off because of inflation fears is oversold hype and Guggenheim's CIO Scott Minerd and PIMCO's head of short-term management Jerome Schnieder...
Bonds were in the downtrend since March 2020. A larger H&S pattern is in play. Its right shoulder is being developed. The most recent retest of the 61.8% level provided a decent reaction. It means buyers are closely watching the price movement and took a shot to stop the bleeding. This could be an opportunity to enter the market on the long side and hold for a...
One of the hot topics in the market recently has been the rising bond yields. The US Government Bond 10 year yield traded this week inside a Zone that has formerly been (from 2011 to 2019) a long-term Support level as clearly illustrated on the chart. With the RSI on the 1W time-frame also entering its Resistance Zone (holding since 1996) and the MACD approaching...
Same formation as before. Would be nuts if this continues and definitely says something if it indeed continues. This is happening world wide not just in US. Let's see if someone steps in on these narrowing trends. That's all folks
The 10 Year Treasury yields have bounced aggressively from all time lows. However, we are not at the August/September 2020 lows which coincides magically (lookup the gold number found everywhere in the Cosmos) with the 38.2% fibo retracement from the highs to the lows. If rates go sideways or correct from here, we're likely going to see a bounce in the Nasdaq...