Chart Patterns
Dow Jones US30 Analysis: Bullish Trend, Trade Plan📊 The US30 (Dow Jones) remains in a strong bullish trend, showing a clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows on the 4-hour chart 📈. However, when viewed on the daily timeframe, price now appears somewhat overextended ⚠️.
🔎 Dropping down to the lower timeframes and applying the Anchored VWAP (AVWAP) indicator, it’s evident that price is trading well above VWAP, signaling a premium zone. The risk here is that traders may continue buying into strength without acknowledging that price could easily retrace back into VWAP.
💡 Remember — smart money buys at a discount, not at a premium. In bullish trends like this, patience is crucial.
📹 In the video, I outline my trade plan, which focuses on waiting for a healthy pullback and then looking for a bullish setup if the structure aligns in our favor. I’m not interested in chasing price when it’s this extended — instead, I prefer to wait for the retracement and enter at better value, reducing risk and improving trade quality 🎯.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always trade responsibly and manage risk carefully.
How To Adjust To 100 Day Moving AverageIn this video i show
you how to adjust your moving average.
Am a little exhausted
from taking a walk yesterday which i needed
to decompress from stress of
starting an online business
but despite that i thought i share
this idea with you.
Yes your moving average can be static
even though if that's the case.
Then you are trading trends.
We dive into :
OANDA:EURAUD
KUCOIN:BTCUSDT
NYSE:IBM
NASDAQ:AAPL
OANDA:EURGBP
Am going to show you how similar
the price patterns are.
Also we dive into how
the ADX shows you if its a middle market
or uptrend
market..
Watch this video to learn more.
Disclaimer:Trading is risky.Please use a
simulation trading account
before you trade with real money.
Also learn risk management and
profit taking strategies.
Gold Futures (MGC) – Pushing Into New HighsPrice continues to climb into all-new highs with very little pullback, showing clear bullish momentum. However, structure is getting thin, and momentum could begin to exhaust soon.
🔹 Current Bias: Bullish — until 4H structure breaks.
🔹 Key Levels:
‣ W-H: 3928
‣ D-H: 3916
‣ D-L: 3861
‣ Daily FVG: 3820–3720
💡 Notes:
Price has yet to rebalance the large Daily FVG below. If we sweep external liquidity above 3928–3935 and fail to close strong, that could set up a pullback or even a deeper correction into the Daily FVG zone.
Volume profile shows thin structure between 3860–3820 — if momentum fades, that area could act as a magnet for price.
For now, the bullish pressure remains intact — but I’m watching closely for exhaustion signs or a liquidity grab setup at the highs.
#GoldFutures #MGC #FuturesTrading #ICT #PriceAction #SmartMoney #DayTrading #NOFOMO
Bitcoin Makes New All Time Highs!Bitcoin dominance is being observed as its lifting the crypto market.
We just briefly saw BTC make new intra day all time highs, but its has yet to close on the daily chart above the previous all time high.
Short traders will be using the recent daily topping tail as a level to short against.
Long traders will be using the 7MA to buy the dip.
If we close above the daily topping tail it does suggest we are heading to 129k - 130k.
This would be one nasty double top of it turns out to be a liquidity sweep.
Crypto stocks tomorrow will likely gap up...watch for clues intra day. Will they hold their gains or see selling / reversals?
Biotech Mania: $PCVX Ripping!XBI has seen a monstrous move to the upside.
Biotech's have been running to the upside lately.
We've seen VKTX, PEPG , PCVX and other rally.
NASDAQ:PCVX could be on watch for another continuation move.
This is high speculative but we have seen smart money hedge fund accumulate over the last few quarters.
In Q2 2025: 183 funds increased their position / 77 Funds decreased their position.
BITCOIN THE ROOF connecting the two most current highs on 3hr close provided a perfect point of entry and the best rejection for the daily candle.the zone of 124,478-125k was rejected.
i dont know if its possible to return to 116-117k zone ,however should price comes to this zone we have a buy floor ,based on the break and retest rule.
break and close 124,478-125k will expose 135k-145k zone depending on the volatility +liquidity in the market.
dont forget that take profit is on the way for earlier investors, dont let them dump this coin on you.
GOODLUCK
#BTC #BITCOIN
Expanding triangle and silverSword is not far from its all-time high which was 50 and it looks like it is going to go towards the 50 maybe a little bit higher it'll be interesting to look at this later today around 6 PM and get a sense of what it might be doing at that time even though the market technically opens up after the weekend.
BRIEFING Week #40 : What could cause VIX>100Here's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
Don't forget to hit the like/follow button if you feel like this post deserves it ;)
That's the best way to support me and help pushing this content to other users.
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Phil
Wall Street Weekly Outlook - Week 41 2025Every week I release a Wall Street Weekly Outlook that highlights the key themes, market drivers, and risks that professional traders are watching.
This week promises to be particularly important, with important fundamental developments... 📊 Stay ahead of the curve—watch the video now and get prepared like a Wall Street insider.
Any questions? Drop a comment or reach out directly.
-Meikel
DXY nfp again breaking the support?Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
BTC Hits New ATH… But What Happens Next? (History Says This)Bitcoin has finally taken out its all-time high — exactly as predicted in my previous analysis.
Now the real question is… what happens next?
In this video, I break down what this breakout means for BTC, TOTAL, and ALTs, and why the weekly close will be critical.
Historically, every time Bitcoin takes out all-time highs, we see strong bearish pressure shortly after — and this time might be no different.
Here’s what I cover:
- Bitcoin hits a new all-time high: what’s next?
- Historical patterns after ATHs
- What to expect from the weekly close
- XRP short update (still running)
- My BTC targets and what I’m watching next
- Altcoin rally incoming?
Stay patient, stay disciplined, and remember — the market rewards those who can manage risk and read structure.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This video is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research before trading or investing in cryptocurrency.
#Crypto #Bitcoin #BTC #XRP #CryptoAnalysis #ICTTrading #Altcoins #CryptoMarketUpdate #BitcoinATH
AUDUSDAUDUSD IS LOOKING LONG AND THE FOLLOWING DATAS WE BACK MY CLAIMS.
The current Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is Michele Bullock,
AU10Y=4.34-4.389% CLOSE OF FRIDAY
RBA RATE =3.60%
AUDUSD MARKET CLOSE EXCHANGE RATE =0.66022
The current Chair of the Federal Reserve is Jerome Powell.
He has served as Chair since February 2018 and is expected to lead through at least mid-2026. Powell has been focused on balancing inflation control with economic growth amid evolving global conditions.
the US 10-year Treasury yield is approximately 4.121%.
This yield reflects market expectations for future inflation, economic growth, and Federal Reserve monetary policy.
Current Federal Funds Rate
The Federal Reserve’s target range for the federal funds rate as of September 2025
FFR= 4.00% - 4.25%.
The Fed cut rates by 25 basis points in September 2025, marking the first easing since late 2024, with markets expecting possible additional cuts before year-end.
The interest rate differential between Australia and the United States plays a significant role in the AUD/USD exchange rate and is closely related to the principles of Uncovered Interest Parity (UIP), which suggests that currencies with higher interest rates should depreciate over time relative to currencies with lower interest rates, aligning expectations with actual movements.
Current Interest Rate Differential
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) maintains a cash rate of approximately 3.6%
The Federal Reserve (Fed) has a target rate of about 4.0% to 4.25%
The interest rate differential is roughly -0.4% to -0.65%, indicating that the U.S. rates are slightly higher than Australia's.
UIP Context for AUD/USD
According to UIP, the Australian dollar (AUD) should depreciate against the USD over time due to the higher U.S. interest rates, assuming risk neutrality.
Despite this, the AUD has been relatively resilient, trading near 0.66020 close of market on The interest rate differential between Australia and the United States plays a significant role in the AUD/USD exchange rate and is closely related to the principles of Uncovered Interest Parity (UIP), which suggests that currencies with higher interest rates should depreciate over time relative to currencies with lower interest rates, aligning expectations with actual movements.
Market Dynamics
The interest rate differential influences carry trade strategies, where traders borrow in the lower-yielding currency (JPY, EUR) and invest in higher-yielding currencies (AUD, USD).
Global risk appetite, economic data, and central bank signals can suppress or amplify pure UIP effects, which often do not fully materialize in the short term.
the current economic outlook will give AUD a long advantage
the dxy is down and us10y underperforms .
#AUDUSD #AU10Y #US10Y #DXY
Gold XAUUSD: Double Top, Volume Profile, and VWAP Trade Plan📊 Gold (XAUUSD) has been trending higher overall, but recently formed a double top followed by a significant retracement ⚡. Despite that, price action is now beginning to show signs of a shift in structure back to the upside 📈.
🔎 In the video, we review both the VWAP and the anchored volume profile as part of the trade plan. For a potential long setup, I’ll be watching for price to break above the volume profile’s Point of Control (POC) 🎯.
❌ However, if price were to break below VWAP, that would invalidate the idea and I’d step aside until the next opportunity arises.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always manage risk appropriately.
How I Used The 45m Time Frame To Make Over 500%My main timeframes of choice with back tested data are 3m, 12m, 45m, and 3H (192m).
With just the 45m and 3H one can make have solid entries around similar preset times, allowing you to plan for trades around your daily life.
Not everyone can be on screens all day. Some have jobs, professions, families, etc...
Using the 45m candle open and 3m for executions, I entered a short on spx via 6700 puts which traded at a low of .50 - .60 around the time of entry and ran to a high of 8.10.
All of my cons were exited in the 4.6 - 5.0 Range.
The Entry 45m Candle Open: 9:30 PST
Exit Next 45m Candle at Preset Exit Price.
AMEX:SPY
OANDA:SPX500USD
OPRA:SPXW251003P6700.0
BTC FAKE HIGH?Total market cap has created a new all-time high... but Bitcoin hasn’t.
Could this be a fake high before a massive sweep and reversal?
In this pre-weekly outlook, I break down what I’m seeing across the market — including BTC, TOTAL, and XRP — and why I believe this move up might be the trap before the drop.
Here’s what I cover:
- TOTAL market cap breaks all-time high — what it means
- Why BTC might sweep its all-time high next
- Fake move scenario and why I’m still expecting downside
- Why this is NOT the start of alt season
- XRP short +80% update from my previous call
I’ll be waiting for the weekly close for confirmation, but the structure is clear — don’t get fooled by short-term pumps.
#Crypto #Bitcoin #BTC #XRP #CryptoAnalysis #ICTTrading #CryptoMarketUpdate #Altcoins
WEEKLY MARKET ANALYSIS-DXY, BTC,ETH, NAS100,SPX,XAU,XAGThis weekend's analysis will cover the Dollar Index, Bitcoin, Ethereum, NAS100, SPX500, Gold and Silver.
The DXY has found a strong support on both the monthly and daily charts. DXY has officially also broken it's weekly closing resistance level and I think a shift in momentum will propel DXY up higher in the next week towards a target zone of 99 to 99.600.
Bitcoin is still in a correction and currently paused on the weekly 21 EMA, I think it's consolidating sideways and will continue selling to the intended target of $102k in the coming week.
ETH nicely came to the previous resistance and seems to find some buyers there but there is no momentum or RSI strength to support an upward move, so I am bearish on ETH and think the price will fall some more into the target zone below $3,823.
NAS100 and SPX500 are also looking quite over stretch on it's Bollinger Bands and KC channels on the weekly charts, with weekly bearish candles suggesting a pullback in the equities is very likely in the next coming week.
Gold and Silver are in a strong uptrend and the uptrend will continue but I see profit taking on the charts. I expect some sideways consolidation and a minor pullback before the bullish continuation.
I thank you for listening to my publications and I wish you a great trading week. Cheers everybody!!
DXY - KEY LEVELS TO WATCH NEXT WEEK Last week the DXY tested the 97.500 level exactly as I forecasted over the week-end and on Thursday we saw a good breakout that pushed the price to the 98.150 area.
On Friday NFP was cancelled because of government shutdown so we didn't see a lot of volume however we had a re-test of the previous day breakout and the price closing above 97.700.
BULLISH VIEW:
Next week an important support to monitor wil be 97.513, a test of it could see the price going up to the 98.600 / 99.600 area.
BEARISH VIEW:
A break of the 97.513 with momentum could see the DXY re-testing 97.513 and the price lowering to 96.800 starting a long term selloff to the 95.000/92.000 long term support.
Please like / comment / share this idea - I will certainly follow up through the week.






















