Get started

Chart Patterns

EURUSDEUR/USD Exchange Rate Current Rate: About 1.1525 Government Bond Yields U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield: 4.328% Eurozone 10-Year Government Bond Yield: Last reported at 2.686% Economic Data Reports for Today U.S. Data: 1:15pm USD ADP Non-Farm Employment Change 82K -33K 1:30pm USD Advance GDP q/q 2.4% -0.5% USD Advance GDP Price Index q/q 2.3% 3.8% 3:00pm USD Pending Home Sales m/m 0.3% 1.8% 3:30pm CAD BOC Press Conference USD Crude Oil Inventories -3.2M 7:00pm USD Federal Funds Rate 4.50% 4.50% USD FOMC Statement 7:30pm USD FOMC Press Conference Market Focus Today: The Federal Reserve announces its policy decision. Eurozone Data: GDP Growth (Q2): Eurostat reports second-quarter growth at 0.1% quarter-on-quarter (QoQ) and 1.4% year-on-year (YoY). Germany and Italy contracted by 0.1% QoQ, France rose 0.3%, and Spain outperformed at 0.7%. Outlook: The Eurozone economy faces headwinds from new U.S. tariffs and tepid industrial output, though Q2 was somewhat better than feared. Current Interest Rates Area Main Rate (July 2025) Policy Outlook U.S. 4.25% – 4.50% Fed expected to hold steady EU 2.15% (main refi rate) ECB in data-dependent pause 2.00% (deposit rate) U.S.: The Federal Reserve is widely expected to hold rates in the 4.25%–4.50% range at today's FOMC meeting, reflecting a cautious approach in light of current growth and inflation figures. Eurozone: The ECB last held its main refinancing rate at 2.15% and the deposit facility at 2.00% as of the July 24, 2025 meeting, emphasizing a meeting-by-meeting, data-driven stance. Key Takeaways EUR/USD is subdued just above 1.15 as the euro weakens on modest Eurozone growth and broad dollar strength ahead of the Fed. 10-year yields remain elevated in both regions, reflecting stable but cautious outlooks. Today’s U.S. and ECB meetings/data are critical: Markets are watching for central bank reactions to new economic data and the ongoing effects of tariffs and global uncertainty. This overview captures the most significant developments relevant to currency, rates, bonds, and economic trends for July 30, 2025. #EURUSD #DOLLAR #EURO
by Shavyfxhub
ETH - BTC ETF News: What It Means for the Market+ China Rumors 🚨 ETH - BTC ETF News: What It Means for the Market + China Rumors 💥🌐 July just ended with a crypto bombshell 💣 — and the market is barely reacting. Let’s break it down: 🧠 One part hard news. 🌀 One part geopolitical smoke. 🎯 All parts worth watching if you care about macro market shifts. 🏛️ SEC Approves Real BTC & ETH for ETF Flows (July 29) Say goodbye to the cash-only ETF model. The SEC now allows direct in-kind creation/redemption of Bitcoin and Ethereum in ETFs. That means providers like BlackRock, Fidelity, VanEck can now use actual BTC/ETH, not just synthetic tracking. ✅ Bullish Impact: 💰 Real Spot Demand: ETF inflows = real crypto buying 🔄 Efficient Arbitrage: No middle step via cash = faster flows 🧱 TradFi + Crypto Merge: ETFs now settle with crypto — not just track it 🎯 Better Price Accuracy: Spot ETFs reflect true market value more cleanly 📉 The market reaction? Mild. But don’t get it twisted — this is a structural reset, not a meme pump. ⚠️ But There’s a Bearish Angle: 🏦 Centralized Custody: Crypto now lives in Coinbase, Fireblocks vaults ⚠️ Network Risks: ETF performance now tied to ETH/BTC uptime 🧑‍⚖️ Regulatory Overreach: More hooks into validator networks, MEV relays 🌊 Volatility Risk: Panic redemptions = real BTC/ETH sold into open markets Still, this is good news for Ethereum in particular. Why? Because ETH isn’t just money — it’s infrastructure. And now Wall Street is finally using it, not just watching it. 🇨🇳 And Then There’s China… Rumor or Tumor? Crypto Twitter is swirling with unconfirmed whispers from July 29 that China may be prepping a major Bitcoin statement ahead of the BRICS summit. But let’s be clear: 🚨 It’s a rumor. Or a tumor. 🧠 And like many tumors in crypto — there’s a 40% chance it brings bad news. 🤕 Still, here’s what’s being floated: 🧠 Speculations Include: 🔓 BTC re-legalization in “special finance zones” (HK-style) 🏦 BTC in national reserves (!) 🤖 CBDC integration or smart contract interoperability ⚒️ Return of official state-backed Bitcoin mining 🧯 But no official sources. Just geopolitics + timing. China’s FUD/FOMO pattern is Bitcoin tradition — don’t get trapped by hopium. But if even half of it is true... buckle up. 📈 Ethereum Leads the Charge — But Watch These Alts: If ETFs go fully crypto-native, some sectors light up 🔥 🔹 1. Ethereum Layer 2s (ARB, OP, BASE) → ETF gas pressure = L2 scaling demand 🔹 2. DeFi Protocols (UNI, AAVE, LDO) → TradFi liquidity meets on-chain utility 🔹 3. ETH Staking Derivatives (LDO, RPL) → Institutions want yield = LSD narrative grows 🔹 4. Oracles (LINK) → ETFs need trusted on-chain data = Chainlink shines 🔹 5. BTC on ETH Bridges (ThorChain, tBTC) → If BTC flows into ETH-based ETFs, bridges light up 🚫 What I will Avoid: ❌ Memecoins – zero relevance to ETF flows ❌ GameFi – not part of TradFi’s roadmap ❌ Ghost Layer 1s – no users, no narrative, no pump 🧠 My Take: ETH is building momentum toward $4,092 — the third breakout attempt on your 1-2-3 model. 🔥 The fuse is lit. Target? $6,036 Timing? Unknown. But structure is in place. Meanwhile, Bitcoin Dominance is rising. ETH is shining. Solana — while powerful — continues paying the price for memecoin madness 💀 We’re entering a new phase — where ETFs settle with real crypto , China watches the stage, and macro money is warming up behind the curtain. So stack smart. Study the flows. Don’t let silence fool you — the biggest moves come after the news fades. One Love, The FX PROFESSOR 💙 Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
CRYPTO:ETHUSDEducation
by FX_Professor
3
GBP/USD Technical Breakdown – Bearish Reversal in PlayWe're closely watching the British pound vs the US dollar on the daily chart, and recent developments are signaling a notable shift in momentum: 🔹 Break of the 2025 uptrend 🔹 Completion of a Head & Shoulders top — a classic bearish reversal pattern 🔹 Neckline break confirms downside risk This formation implies a measured move target from ~1.34–1.38, projecting a decline of 400 pips to around 1.30, aligning neatly with the 200-day moving average at 1.2977. 🧭 Trading Strategy: While the initial breakdown is bearish, the RSI shows bullish divergence, suggesting a short-term bounce before resumption of downside. Key resistance levels to watch for re-entry opportunities: • 📌 1.3435 – previous highs (late 2024) • 📌 1.3485 – broken uptrend • 📌 1.3510 – 55-day moving average • 📌 1.3530 – short-term downtrend line 🎯 A rally into this zone would offer a strategic entry point for downside exposure. Let us know how you're trading this move — are you fading the rally or waiting for confirmation? Disclaimer: The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
Short
by The_STA
DOLLAR INDEX The federal funds rate is the interest rate at which U.S. banks and credit unions lend their excess reserve balances to other banks overnight, usually on an uncollateralized basis. This rate is set as a target range by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), which is the policymaking arm of the Federal Reserve. The current target range as of July 2025 is approximately 4.25% to 4.5%. The federal funds rate is a key benchmark that influences broader interest rates across the economy, including loans, credit cards, and mortgages. When the Fed changes this rate, it indirectly affects borrowing costs for consumers and businesses. For example, increasing the rate makes borrowing more expensive and tends to slow down economic activity to control inflation, while lowering the rate stimulates growth by making credit cheaper. The Fed adjusts this rate based on economic conditions aiming to maintain stable prices and maximum employment. It is a vital tool of U.S. monetary policy, impacting economic growth, inflation, and financial markets. In summary: It is the overnight lending rate between banks for reserve balances. It is set as a target range by the Federal Reserve's FOMC. It influences many other interest rates in the economy. Current range (July 2025) is about 4.25% to 4.5%. 1. ADP Non-Farm Employment Change (Forecast: +82K, Previous: -33K) Above Forecast: If ADP employment is much stronger than expected, the Fed would see this as a sign of ongoing labor market resilience. Robust job growth would support consumer spending, potentially keep wage pressures elevated, and could make the Fed less likely to ease policy soon. This reinforces the case for holding rates steady or staying data-dependent on further cuts. Below Forecast or Negative: If ADP jobs gain falls short or is negative again, the Fed may interpret it as a weakening labor market, raising recession risk and reducing inflationary wage pressures. This outcome could increase the chances of a future rate cut or prompt a more dovish tone, provided it aligns with other softening indicators. 2. Advance GDP q/q (Forecast: +2.4%, Previous: -0.5%) Above Forecast: A GDP print above 2.4% signals surprisingly strong economic growth and likely sustains the Fed’s view that the U.S. economy is avoiding recession. The Fed may delay rate cuts or take a more cautious approach, as stronger growth can support higher inflation or at least reduce the urgency for support. Below Forecast or Negative: Weak GDP—especially if close to zero or negative—would signal that the economy remains at risk of stagnation or recession. The Fed may then pivot to a more dovish stance, become more willing to cut rates, or accelerate discussions on easing to avoid a downturn. 3. Advance GDP Price Index q/q (Forecast: 2.3%, Previous: 3.8%) Above Forecast: A significantly higher-than-expected GDP Price Index (an inflation measure) points to persistent or resurgent inflationary pressures in the economy. The Fed might see this as a reason to delay cuts or maintain restrictive rates for longer. Below Forecast: If the Price Index prints well below 2.3%, it suggests that inflation is cooling faster than anticipated. This outcome could allow the Fed to move toward easing policy if other conditions warrant, as price stability is more clearly in hand. Bottom Line Table: Data Surprises and Likely Fed Reaction Data Surprise Fed Outlook/Action All above forecast Hawkish bias, rate cuts delayed or on hold All below forecast Dovish bias, higher chances of rate cut Mixed Data-dependent, further confirmation needed Summary: The Fed’s interpretation hinges on how these figures compare to forecasts and to each other. Stronger growth, jobs, and inflation = less rush to cut; weaker numbers = lower rates sooner. If growth or jobs are especially weak or inflation falls sharply, expect more dovish Fed commentary and a greater likelihood of future easing. Conversely, if the data all surprise to the upside, hawkish (rate-hold) messaging is likely to persist. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is a financial benchmark that measures the value of the United States dollar relative to a basket of six major foreign currencies. It provides a weighted average reflecting the dollar's strength or weakness against these currencies. The DXY is widely used by traders, investors, and economists to gauge the overall performance and health of the U.S. dollar on the global stage. Key Features of the DXY: Currencies included and their weights: Euro (EUR) – 57.6% Japanese Yen (JPY) – 13.6% British Pound (GBP) – 11.9% Canadian Dollar (CAD) – 9.1% Swedish Krona (SEK) – 4.2% Swiss Franc (CHF) – 3.6% It was established in 1973 after the collapse of the Bretton Woods system to serve as a dynamic measure of the dollar's value. The index reflects changes in the exchange rates of theses versus the U.S. dollar, with a higher DXY indicating a stronger dollar. The DXY influences global trade dynamics, commodity prices (like oil and gold)
ICEUS:DXYLong
by Shavyfxhub
Oil surges on Russia sanction threats but long-term risks remainOil prices have climbed around 6% this week, driven by two key developments: a trade deal between the EU and the US, and Donald Trump’s warning that the US may impose sanctions on Russian oil buyers within 10 days unless progress is made toward ending the Russia-Ukraine war. Russia accounts for about 10.5% of global oil production. Major buyers like China and India, which take 47% and 38% of Russia’s crude exports respectively, are still negotiating their trade deals with the US. That gives Washington leverage to pressure them into cutting back without fully banning imports, which would risk triggering a much sharper price surge. If China, India, the EU, and Turkey shift away from Russian oil, demand would rise elsewhere, supporting prices. Still, while the short-term technical picture remains bullish above 67.28, prices face resistance between 75.43 and 77.80. This range marks the upper bound of a multi-year downward channel. OPEC+ also meets this weekend. The group has been increasing production to align with Trump’s promise to lower oil prices, a move that weighs on the long-term outlook. Add to that the impact of new tariffs—15% on EU and Japan exports, 10% on UK goods, and likely more to come for China and India—and global GDP growth could slow, further capping oil’s upside. Unless prices break convincingly above 77.80, the broader trend remains bearish. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
THINKMARKETS:BRENTShort
by ThinkMarkets
DOLLAR INDEX The federal funds rate is the interest rate at which U.S. banks and credit unions lend their excess reserve balances to other banks overnight, usually on an uncollateralized basis. This rate is set as a target range by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), which is the policymaking arm of the Federal Reserve. The current target range as of July 2025 is approximately 4.25% to 4.5%. The federal funds rate is a key benchmark that influences broader interest rates across the economy, including loans, credit cards, and mortgages. When the Fed changes this rate, it indirectly affects borrowing costs for consumers and businesses. For example, increasing the rate makes borrowing more expensive and tends to slow down economic activity to control inflation, while lowering the rate stimulates growth by making credit cheaper. The Fed adjusts this rate based on economic conditions aiming to maintain stable prices and maximum employment. It is a vital tool of U.S. monetary policy, impacting economic growth, inflation, and financial markets. In summary: It is the overnight lending rate between banks for reserve balances. It is set as a target range by the Federal Reserve's FOMC. It influences many other interest rates in the economy. Current range (July 2025) is about 4.25% to 4.5%. 1. ADP Non-Farm Employment Change (Forecast: +82K, Previous: -33K) Above Forecast: If ADP employment is much stronger than expected, the Fed would see this as a sign of ongoing labor market resilience. Robust job growth would support consumer spending, potentially keep wage pressures elevated, and could make the Fed less likely to ease policy soon. This reinforces the case for holding rates steady or staying data-dependent on further cuts. Below Forecast or Negative: If ADP jobs gain falls short or is negative again, the Fed may interpret it as a weakening labor market, raising recession risk and reducing inflationary wage pressures. This outcome could increase the chances of a future rate cut or prompt a more dovish tone, provided it aligns with other softening indicators. 2. Advance GDP q/q (Forecast: +2.4%, Previous: -0.5%) Above Forecast: A GDP print above 2.4% signals surprisingly strong economic growth and likely sustains the Fed’s view that the U.S. economy is avoiding recession. The Fed may delay rate cuts or take a more cautious approach, as stronger growth can support higher inflation or at least reduce the urgency for support. Below Forecast or Negative: Weak GDP—especially if close to zero or negative—would signal that the economy remains at risk of stagnation or recession. The Fed may then pivot to a more dovish stance, become more willing to cut rates, or accelerate discussions on easing to avoid a downturn. 3. Advance GDP Price Index q/q (Forecast: 2.3%, Previous: 3.8%) Above Forecast: A significantly higher-than-expected GDP Price Index (an inflation measure) points to persistent or resurgent inflationary pressures in the economy. The Fed might see this as a reason to delay cuts or maintain restrictive rates for longer. Below Forecast: If the Price Index prints well below 2.3%, it suggests that inflation is cooling faster than anticipated. This outcome could allow the Fed to move toward easing policy if other conditions warrant, as price stability is more clearly in hand. Bottom Line Table: Data Surprises and Likely Fed Reaction Data Surprise Fed Outlook/Action All above forecast Hawkish bias, rate cuts delayed or on hold All below forecast Dovish bias, higher chances of rate cut Mixed Data-dependent, further confirmation needed Summary: The Fed’s interpretation hinges on how these figures compare to forecasts and to each other. Stronger growth, jobs, and inflation = less rush to cut; weaker numbers = lower rates sooner. If growth or jobs are especially weak or inflation falls sharply, expect more dovish Fed commentary and a greater likelihood of future easing. Conversely, if the data all surprise to the upside, hawkish (rate-hold) messaging is likely to persist. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is a financial benchmark that measures the value of the United States dollar relative to a basket of six major foreign currencies. It provides a weighted average reflecting the dollar's strength or weakness against these currencies. The DXY is widely used by traders, investors, and economists to gauge the overall performance and health of the U.S. dollar on the global stage. Key Features of the DXY: Currencies included and their weights: Euro (EUR) – 57.6% Japanese Yen (JPY) – 13.6% British Pound (GBP) – 11.9% Canadian Dollar (CAD) – 9.1% Swedish Krona (SEK) – 4.2% Swiss Franc (CHF) – 3.6% It was established in 1973 after the collapse of the Bretton Woods system to serve as a dynamic measure of the dollar's value. The index reflects changes in the exchange rates of these currencies versus the U.S. dollar, with a higher DXY indicating a stronger dollar. The DXY influences global trade dynamics, commodity prices (like oil and gold), and financial markets. It is calculated as a geometric mean of the exchange rates weighted by each currency's significance in U.S. trade. #DXY In essence, the DXY is a crucial tool to assess how the U.S. dollar is performing against its major trade partners’ currencies, helping market participants make informed decisions in foreign exchange and broader financial markets.
TVC:DXYLong
by Shavyfxhub
EUR/USD: The Last Bear Standing...As indicated on my previous EUR/USD idea ( that's still currently open ), I remain short EUR/USD given the technical aspect of things are still valid. Divergences are still in play along with a rising broadening pattern and the fact that we're trading at the yearly R3 level ( which is rare ). I suspect we will have some volatility with the ECB press conference tomorrow, so that should get things moving hopefully in the bearish direction. If we begin trading aggressively above 1.1800+, that will invalidate the short idea overall. If we roll over, I'm still looking for 1.13000 - 1.12000 as the target range for Q3 going into Q4. We'll see how this all develops. As always, Good Luck & Trade Safe!
Short
by InternalTraderNYC
8
Bitcoin - The cycle is just starting!⚔️Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) just created new highs: 🔎Analysis summary: Bitcoin is currently - especially with the new all time high breakout - just perfectly following previous cycle behavior. Since there is no real resistance above current price, apart from psychological levels, I do expect a substantial rally back to the upper channel resistance trendline. 📝Levels to watch: $300.000 🙏🏻#LONGTERMVISION Philip - Swing Trader
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by SwingTraderPhilTV
27
07/29/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis EOD accountability report: +734 Sleep: 5 hours Overall health: Been struggling with sleep due to heat waves VX Algo System Signals from (9:30am to 2pm) — 8:00 AM Market Structure flipped bearish✅ — 9:30 AM VXAlgo NQ X3 Buy Signal✅ — 9:36 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! ❌ — 11:49 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Buy signal✅ — 11:59 AM VXAlgo NQ X1 Buy Signal❌ What’s are some news or takeaway from today? and What major news or event impacted the market today? Today was one of the few short the resistance day and refreshing to see after we been grinding ATH (all time highs) News — 1:30 PM 🇺🇸🇨🇳 *CHINA SAYS IT AGREES WITH US TO EXTEND TARIFF TRUCE What are the critical support levels to watch? --> Above 6395= Bullish, Under 6374= Bearish
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by DiYWALLST
3
Crude Oil Spikes - Russia / Ukraine / USA sanction? Concerns about the possibility of tighter global oil supplies are supporting crude prices after President Trump warned of "secondary sanctions" if Russia fails to reach a ceasefire in Ukraine within 10 to 12 days. These sanctions have absolutely burned the shorts in oil and can cause a 3 bar surge on the daily chart if crude breaks this channel. Keep you eye on the daily 200 MA...if it holds above we should push higher on crude. FOMC RATE DECISION TOMORROW - Tune into our live stream.
TVC:US10Y
by Trading-Capital