Ethereum: Slipped belowEthereum recently slipped back below support at $3,357 and is currently struggling to reclaim this level. In line with our primary scenario, we expect further downside below this threshold to complete magenta wave within the lower magenta Target Zone ($2,749 – $2,149). From there, a significant corrective rally is likely, targeting the high of magenta wave (B) in the upper magenta Target Zone ($5,805 – $7,326).
Chart Patterns
FULL REVIEW 8-11-25 BEARISH REVERSAL TREND IN THE STOCK MARKET?TOP BEARISH REVERSAL SIGNAL IN THE STOCK MARKET?
Stock market overview.
On all the larger timeframes, everything on my watchlist is in a BULLISH TREND. On Daily market in bearish reversal signal.
The RSI is overbought and has negative divergence, indicating a likely downside reversal.
My watchlist: #gold #dxy #qqq #spx #vix #dia #iwm #appl #tsla #nvda #msft #amzn #googl #meta
Thanks for the likes and comments!
Good luck to everyone!
US10Y UNITED STATES 10YEAR TREASURY BOND YIELD. WEEKLY TF US10Y=4.09% weekly close and i see a pull back into confluence where i expect the US10Y to keep rising possibly into 5.0% 2026
FUNDAMENTALS OF US10Y AND US10.
The US 10-Year Treasury note (US10Y) is a debt security issued by the U.S. Department of the Treasury with a maturity of 10 years. It is a key benchmark in global finance and plays a vital role in the U.S. economy and monetary policy changes .
The US10Y yield represents the return investors demand for lending money to the U.S. government for 10 years.
It reflects expectations about economic growth, inflation, and Federal Reserve monetary policy.
When investors expect stronger growth and inflation, yields rise to compensate for higher risk and eroding purchasing power.
Conversely, in economic uncertainty or deflationary scenarios, yields fall as investors seek safe assets.
How US10Y Affects the U.S. Economy
It serves as a baseline for interest rates on mortgages, corporate bonds, and other loans, influencing borrowing costs for consumers and businesses.
Higher US10Y yields can increase borrowing costs, slowing economic growth but controlling inflation.
Lower yields encourage borrowing and investment, boosting economic activity.
It signals market sentiment about future inflation and growth prospects.
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decisions and US10Y
The Fed’s policy rate influences short-term interest rates directly but also impacts long-term yields via expectations.
If the Fed signals tightening (rate hikes), long-term yields (like US10Y) tend to rise anticipating higher inflation and borrowing costs.
If the Fed signals easing or cuts rates, yields often decline as inflation and growth expectations moderate.
However, long-term yields can diverge if markets believe Fed policy will not control inflation or economic risks emerge.
Difference Between US10Y Yield and Bond Price
Yield is the effective interest rate earned by investors, inversely related to bond price.
When bond prices rise (due to demand), yields fall, and vice versa.
For example, if a 10-year bond’s fixed coupon is $20 annually, and its price drops from $1000 to $900, yield rises because new buyers pay less but still receive $20.
A bond coupon is the fixed annual interest payment that the bond issuer agrees to pay to the bondholder, usually expressed as a percentage of the bond's face (par) value. It represents the regular income investors receive from holding the bond, typically paid semi-annually or annually until the bond matures.
Key Points:
The coupon rate is the percentage of the bond’s face value paid annually as interest.
For example, a bond with a face value of $1,000 and a 6% coupon rate pays $60 per year, often split into two payments of $30 every six months.
The coupon rate is fixed at issuance and does not change, regardless of market price fluctuations of the bond.
This interest payment compensates investors for lending money to the issuer.
Origin of the Term:
Historically, bonds had physical coupons that investors would clip and redeem for interest payments, hence the name “coupon.”
Importance:
The coupon provides a predictable income stream for bondholders.
The coupon rate helps investors compare bonds, but the current yield (coupon payment divided by current bond price) changes as bond prices change in the market.
The inverse relationship between bond yield and bond price exists because a bond’s coupon payment is fixed, so price changes adjust the yield to reflect current market conditions.
Summary
Bond Coupon: Fixed interest payment from issuer to bondholder, based on face value.
Coupon Rate: Annual interest rate percentage fixed at issuance.
Investors rely on coupons for regular income until maturity.
The US10Y yield is a key economic indicator signaling growth and inflation expectations and influences borrowing costs across the U.S. economy.
The Fed’s interest rate decisions primarily affect short-term rates but also shape US10Y yields through policy signaling.
The bond price and yield move inversely; falling prices raise yields and vice versa, reflecting changing investor demand and market conditions.
This relationship underpins financial markets and monetary policy transmission globally.
#us10y #us10 #bond
I Made $911 Trading S&P Futures | Day 65 Market BreakdownI made $911 today trading S&P Futures.
It didn’t come easy — I barely slept last night, and my overnight orders failed around 3 AM.
So I reset, stepped back, and waited for the one setup I’ve been tracking all week — the 6666 support bounce.
Here’s how it played out, and what the VX Algo system showed me before the move.
Pre-market sentiment was mixed. We had lingering shutdown headlines and low liquidity early in the session.
But structurally, the market was leaning bullish on higher timeframes — meaning any deep dip would likely get bought.
I had my eye on 6666 since last Friday as a key level.
That’s where gamma support, 5-min MOB, and prior structure all aligned — a textbook reversal zone.
When we got the VXAlgo ES X1 and NQ X3 buy signals near that level, I went long.
Used smaller sizing at first, added into strength, and locked profits using a trailing stop.
The bounce hit perfectly, and I was able to walk away green.
Even though I made money, I caught myself getting a bit greedy lately.
It’s a reminder — consistency comes from execution, not expectation.
The market will give you what it gives — your job is to wait for alignment and trade clean.
3 out of 4 signals worked today for at least 5 points each.
Tomorrow’s levels: Above 6822 bullish, below 6782 bearish.
DOLLAR INDEX 3HR CHART DOLLAR index from TVC broker already attained 100.354 before correction and i see the buying pace to return into 100$ and above despite rate cut .the close of the newyork session came back to my demand floor and reacted on long position based on the rule of break and retest.
FUNDAMENTAL OF DOLLAR INDEX .
The U.S. Dollar Index (USDX or DXY) is a measure of the value of the U.S. dollar relative to a basket of six major foreign currencies: the euro (EUR), Japanese yen (JPY), British pound (GBP), Canadian dollar (CAD), Swedish krona (SEK), and Swiss franc (CHF). It was created by the U.S. Federal Reserve in 1973 shortly after the Bretton Woods Agreement dissolved. The index is maintained and published by the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE).
How the Dollar Index Works
The index is a weighted geometric mean of the dollar’s value relative to the six currencies, with the euro having the largest weight (57.6%).
A rise in the index indicates dollar strengthening against these currencies, while a decline indicates dollar weakness.
Impact on Gold Price
Gold is priced in U.S. dollars globally, so its price has an inverse relationship with the dollar index.
When the dollar strengthens (index rises), gold becomes more expensive in other currencies, reducing demand and often causing gold prices to fall.
Conversely, when the dollar weakens (index falls), gold becomes cheaper internationally, increasing demand and driving prices up.
Additionally, gold is viewed as a safe-haven asset, so macroeconomic factors influencing the dollar also indirectly affect gold's price dynamics.
The relationship between the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) and the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield (US10Y) is closely interconnected, reflecting how currency strength and bond yields interact in financial markets.
Key Points of Dollar Index and US10Y Relationship:
Positive Correlation:
Generally, the Dollar Index and the US 10-year Treasury yield move together. When the 10-year yield rises, it often signals expectations of stronger U.S. economic growth and potential inflation, which tends to boost demand for the U.S. dollar, pushing the Dollar Index higher.
Yield Attraction:
Higher U.S. Treasury yields make U.S. assets more attractive to global investors, increasing the demand for dollars to buy Treasury securities. This capital inflow strengthens the dollar against other currencies, reflected in a rising Dollar Index.
Monetary Policy Expectations:
The 10-year yield is influenced by Federal Reserve monetary policy and market expectations. When the Fed signals tightening (rate hikes), yields rise, supporting dollar strength. Conversely, easing tends to lower yields and weigh on the dollar.
Safe-Haven Dynamics:
During economic uncertainty or risk-off events, both U.S. Treasuries and the dollar may see increased demand. This can sometimes cause a decoupling if yields fall (due to bond buying) while the dollar strengthens as a safe haven.
Reasons for Dollar Index Rising Despite Rate Cuts:
Safe-Haven Demand:
Even with rate cuts, in times of global uncertainty or geopolitical tensions, the U.S. dollar remains a preferred safe-haven currency. Investors flock to the dollar for safety, pushing the index higher.
Relative Central Bank Policies:
The dollar’s strength is relative. If other major central banks (ECB, BOJ, BOE,RBA,RBNZ,BOC ) maintain lower rates or ease monetary policy more aggressively, the dollar can strengthen even if the Fed cuts rates.
Market Expectations and Rate Cut Timing:
Rate cuts may have been widely anticipated and priced in ahead of time. The dollar may have declined earlier, and once the cut occurs without negative surprises, it can stabilize or rebound.
Economic Outlook and Inflation:
If the rate cut is seen as precautionary with a still strong U.S. economy or persistent inflation, dollar strength may persist since the Fed is not signaling prolonged easing.
Yield Curve and Bond Flows:
Even with short-term cuts, longer-dated Treasury yields may remain elevated due to inflation or growth expectations, attracting foreign capital and supporting the dollar.
Technical and Positioning Factors:
Trading dynamics, market positioning, and technical support levels can sustain or boost the dollar temporarily irrespective of fundamentals ,such as the break and retest of the daily supply roof and traders took long position on the retest of a broken supply as a new demand floor to close the week touching 100.354 before correction
#US10Y #DXY #dollar
Did You Buy The Dip? Heres What we bought!Today the SPX had an incredible morning selloff - met with and even more incredible rally.
The markets were in turmoil today up until the bulls stepped in and made a red to green reversal.
Days like today often create the biggest portfolio gains when you can buy stock at depressed levels.
We accumulated 6 position longs today.
Massive technicals were tested and defended today.
Nasdaq - The most important structure!💰Nasdaq ( TVC:NDQ ) perfectly respects structure:
🔎Analysis summary:
Over the course of the past couple of months, the Nasdaq has been rallying an expected +50%. Still, until the Nasdaq will retest the upper channel resistance trendline, this rally won't be over. Therefore, we can still see a rally of another +10% in the very near future.
📝Levels to watch:
$25,000 and $30,000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
AUDUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast Full Chart Analysis -Q4 | W45 | D7| 📅 Q4 | W45 | D7| Y25 |
📊 AUDUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast Full Chart Analysis
FRGNT FUN COUPON FRIDAY
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
DXY ANALYSIS: TRADING WEEK 3 - 7 NOVEMBER 2025On this video i higlight the importance of the 101.800 area of resistance, a multi year resistance that on my view will be reached soon
I have two possible scenarios for the DXY next week:
- Test of the 101.800 during the first 2/3 trading days and pullback to the 97,700 area of support where the DXY would cover a gap left open 3 weeks ago and where the DXY will start rallying up again
- Test of the 101.300 - 101.500 level of resistance during the first 2/3 trading days and pullback to the 98.500 - 98.400 area of support where the DXY will start rallying up again
Data released through the week and the strength of the Index will ultimately confirm one of the two scenario
I will update and follow up on this trading analysis - setup; please like, comment and share if you like this Trading Idea
BITCOIN SIGNAL: PUMP INCOMING???? (trap alert) Yello Paradisers! Enjoy the video!
And Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
@bitcoin Buy@low Sell@HighOn the weekend, let's see how #bitcoin moves. In the last few posts in our #btc Buy@low Sell@High strategy, we almost hit all our targets.
#BTC #forex #supportortandresistance #tradinging #swingtradingstrategies #buy #sellll #EURUSD #goldd #niftyy #s&p #etf #qqq #iwm #future #options #longterm
Nov 7th bull trap to 18ma is possibleI think another ABC is going to appen with the C starting after open. A rally for most of the day is what I'm thinking. if it just falls, I'm obviously wrong. A test of the 18ma would be the goal, but at that point I think it would be a short entry. Gold still bear flagging. Oil, back above the 18ma again - looks like accumulation. BTC perhaps lower, but it should also rally with the SPX if I'm correct.
NAS100 H1 | Bullish Bounce off Key SupportNAS100 is falling towards our buy entry at 24,841, which is a swing low support level that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension level.
The stop loss is at 24,664, which is a swing low support level, while the take profit is at 25,102, which is a pullback resistance level.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
NZDUSD H4 | Bearish Reaction off Key ResistanceNZDUSD is rising towards our sell entry, at 0.5641, which is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and 100% Fibonacci projection. Not to mention, that there is also a H4 Fair Value Gap present.
The stop loss is at 0.5673, which is a swing high resistance level, while the take profit is at 0.5613, which is a swing low support level.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.






















