Saturday Review This is Saturday the 22nd and I reviewed three markets that would have had winning long trades with very small stops. You will hear a lot of well known traders tell you should not scalp the markets and you'll find even more traders tell you not to short the market especially into to go lower indications that the market. Personally I believe you should be very careful about the stock market and personally I believe it's going to go a lot lower but that doesn't mean that you can't scalp the market when it is appropriate and where the market tells you where the small stop is. In difficult markets like this you need to be more patient as long as you know that the nature of the market isn't as easy as it is at other times these reversal setups happened yesterday when the markets were making their last move lower before the buyers came in. If you are starting trading and you are facing markets that we've had in the past couple of weeks you have to trade less and look for what is needed to trade successfully but you can't do it when you're impulsively trading or you're trading a style that you're not really connected with because you need more time and evidence.
Chart Patterns
The week aheadWe possibly bottomed, but there are some SPX charts telling me one more low is a possibility into next week. Sunday night into Monday will be very telling. BTC is just floating around here - but can go lower to test it's low. Gold, probably lower at this point but still very choppy. Oil, maybe forming another low next week. Natural Gas looks like a good shorting opportunity for next week.
Barchart says SPY had a nice bounce on the 100MA... uhhhh..So yeah, Barchart posted on FB with a screenshot of a "nice bounce" on the S&P500.
Firstly, that wasn't much of a bounce at all with the weekly closing not far from the point of impact on the 100-day moving average.
Secondly, this is just retail thinking and not considering the entire context of where the market wants to go in terms of liquidity, efficiency, and fair value.
Let's dive a bit deeper into how price REALLY moves.
- R2F Trading
BTC Wyckoff (pt. III), Pi Cycle Top, 350 SMA, and SPY Is A SELL!Trading Fam,
Was this the top? Where is Bitcoin going? Where are stocks going? Will the selling continue? How long? Can we find some targets? Where should we look to start DCA'ing back in? These are hard questions. Let's take a look at what my charts are showing us.
✌️Stew
Tesla - Withstanding all weakness!🏹Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) can still break out:
🔎Analysis summary:
Since Tesla was listed on the Nasdaq back in 2013, we witnessed a lot of triangle breakouts. And starting all the way back in 2020, Tesla once again created a bullish triangle. Last month we saw the breakout and this month we have to see the confirmation
📝Levels to watch:
$400
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
$2 BILLION Liquidated in 24 Hours - Whats happening!?We have just seen 2 BILLION liquidated over the last 24 hours and that’s 1 BILLION on BTC alone.
Headlines scream bear market, retail panics, and social media is flooded with fear… but this is exactly the type of environment we want to see.I been saying it over and over again, you guys must be getting sick of it now but I haven’t been more bullish. We have been waiting for these types of moves.
In this video I go over:
- Why this drop is creating maximum fear and confusion and why that’s bullish for us
- Are we ready to reverse?
- Why this panic could set the stage for a major reversal
- Where is the downside LQ?
⚠️ Disclaimer:
I am not a financial advisor. The content shared on this channel is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
Trading and investing in cryptocurrency involve high risk — you could lose some, or all, of your money. Always do your own research and make sure you understand the risks before making any financial decisions.
SPY in consolidationNothing to report as yet. Looks like a correction, nothing telling me it's a bottom. We could have some drop and pop type moves, so be careful. Gold looks like it will go higher so far. Oil probably goes lower to test it's lows. BTC hit 82k target but could easily fall to 73k. MJ stocks look interesting around here, so I'm wondering if there will be news to legalize soon.
S&P500 H4 | Bearish Reaction off Key ResistanceMomentum: Bearish
Price is currently below the ichimoku cloud.
Sell entry: 6,706.19
- Strong pullback resistance
- 61.8% Fib retracement
- 100% Fib projection
Stop Loss: 6,790.06
- Swing high resistance
Take Profit: 6,602.91
- Swing low support
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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US30 H4 | Bearish Reaction off Key ResistanceMomentum: Bearish
Price is currently below the ichimoku cloud, and has broken past the ascending trendline.
Sell entry: 46,971.5
- Strong pullback resistance
- 38.2% Fib retracement
- Fair value gap
Stop Loss: 47,450.69
- Overlap resistance
Take Profit: 46,041.13
- Multi-swing low support
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
GBPUSD H4 | Bearish Reaction off Key ResistanceMomentum: Bearish
Price is currently below the ichimoku cloud, and has broken the ascending trendline.
Sell entry: 1.31316
- Strong pullback resistance
- 50% Fib retracement
- 61.8% Fib Projection
Stop Loss: 1.31938
- Swing high resistance
Take Profit: 1.30405
- Swing low support
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
NZDUSD H4 | Bearish Reaction off Key ResistanceMomentum: Bearish
Price is currently below the ichimoku cloud, and the ascending trendline has been broken.
Sell entry: 0.5650
- Pullback resistance
- 61.8% Fib retracement
- 61.8% Fib projection
Stop Loss: 0.56879
- Overlap resistance
Take Profit: 0.55929
- Swing low support
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
USDCAD H4 | Bearish Reaction off Key ResistanceMomentum: Bearish
Price is currently within the bearish ichimoku cloud.
Sell entry: 1.4095
- Pullback resistance
- 127.2% Fib extension
Stop Loss: 1.4142
- Multi Swing high resistance
Take Profit: 1.4054
- Pullback support
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
SUI TA (Y25.P4.Video1). Complete technical approachHi Traders,
Besides being an educational piece on how I approach the charts, we will dive into what is likely to play out from an Elliott Wave perpective and using support and resistance methods to find confluence with our fibonacci approach for levels to short and long.
I promise you newbies or intermediates, master this and you will have much more success in your trading. Experience obviously takes time.
All the best,
S.SAri
S&P500 crashes! Due relief rally or further pain?Nvidia delivered impressive earnings, but the stock reversed and closed nearly 3% lower, triggering heavy selling across tech and risk assets as odds for a December rate cut have collapsed to just 34%, with policy uncertainty amplified by the cancelled October NFP report. Despite a strong market and rising unemployment in September's NFP report, traders remained defensive and fuelled the declines.
Key drivers:
Nvidia beat earnings, but post-report selling intensified sector losses.
The Fed’s odds for a December rate cut have dropped to 34%, amplifying caution.
The abrupt cancellation of the October NFP means the market lacks fresh labour data, fuelling defensive positioning.
S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Bitcoin broke major supports, confirming risk-off conditions.
Right now, the S&P 500 has broken below channel support near 6,600 and failed to climb back in. If prices stay below this threshold, expect another sharp move lower targeting 6,500 and possibly 6,350. There’s potential for upside, given momentum divergence on the RSI 4-hour chart. If we see a short-term bounce and a return to the channel, a move toward 6,682 is possible, which sets up a tactical short opportunity.
Trade idea:
Entry: Midpoint of 23.6/38.2 Fibonacci (6,655–6,682 area)
Stop-loss: Above 61.8% Fib (6,775)
Take Profits: TP1 6,500 (recent low/support), TP2 6,440 (major support), TP3 trail stop to 6,170 (long-term support)
Risk-off drivers are in control. Earnings reversals, Fed uncertainty, and cancelled NFP data are fuelling this price action. Technically, it comes down to whether we see a return inside the channel for a relief bounce or a sharp continuation downward.
Watch your levels, remain nimble, and let fundamentals and technicals, not emotions, guide your trade.
Let me know your setups in the comments, and follow for more high-action technical and macro trade ideas.
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