S&P500: Rebound S&P 500 futures managed to stage a modest rebound in yesterday’s session and are now showing renewed upward momentum. In our primary scenario, we expect magenta wave (5) to continue climbing and to ultimately mark a final high that completes the larger blue wave (III). Afterward, we anticipate a corrective phase via magenta wave (A), which should pull the index toward support at 6,371 points. However, if prices drop directly below the 6,371 points support, our alternative scenario will come into play. In that case, the alternative wave alt.(4) would likely extend further downward, finding its low within the magenta alternative Target Zone between 6,055 and 5,822 points.
Chart Patterns
Nov 6 - a move down is likely, but not certainOn SPX we're at double resistance. If we sell off here, we could have another C down, in which case, another bear trap may form (see chart at end of video). The market is very choppy and probably will continue to be for some time. Gold looks like it will test it's lows. BTC looks like it may test it's lows. Oil is still holding the 18ma, but it's running out of time to do something else.
NAS100 H4 | Bearish Reaction off FVGNAS100 is now rising towards our sell entry at 25,883, which aligns with the H4 Fair Value Gap and 71% Fibonacci retracement. We shall see how price reacts to this area after it breaks through the previous 2 swing high resistance levels.
The stop loss is at 26,167, which is a swing high resistance level, while the take profit is at 25,313, which is a swing low support level.
Once price reacts bearishly, do take note of the above swing low support level at 25,581 as well.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
XAGUSD H1 | Bullish Bounce off Key SupportThere is a temporary bullish confirmation on the H1 chart as we had 2 consecutive break of structures. Hence, our buy entry is at 48.02, which aligns with the H1 Fair Value Gap and 71% Fibonacci retracement.
The stop loss is at 47.61, which is a swing low support level, while the take profit is at 48.68, which is a swing high resistance level.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
EURUSD H4 | Bearish Reaction off Key ResistanceEURUSD is rising towards our sell entry at 1.1547, which is a pullback resistance, aligning with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
The stop loss is an overlap resistance at 1.1578 and slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement. While the take profit is at 1.1493, which is a pullback support, aligning with the H4 FVG.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
USDCAD H4 | Bullish Bounce off Key SupportUSDCAD is falling towards our buy entry at 1.407, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
The stop loss is at 1.404, which is a minor overlap support level, while the take profit is at 1.4135, which is a swing high resistance level.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Short EURJPY for a pullbackThis is my daily routing on how I analyze charts in this video I dive deep into explaining how to read trends, pullbacks and set entry positions. Always make your analysis simple as possible so that you don't have too much traffic in terms of indicators and strategies in your screen. And making things simple as possible makes it easier for you to follow your trading plan.
Nasdaq NAS100 Bulls Regain Control: What I’m Watching Next📈 On the 4-hour NASDAQ chart, we can clearly see a break in structure to the upside, signaling strong bullish momentum entering the market. 🟩 The buyers are showing strength, and I’ll be looking to capitalize on this momentum — but only if we see a confirmed break of the current swing high, followed by a retracement into the retest zone. 🔁
However, patience is key. ⏳ I’ll only look to engage if today’s New York session data release aligns with and supports the bullish bias. Fundamentals and technicals must work together before I take a position.
As mentioned in the video, if the anticipated price action fails to materialize, we’ll simply abandon this setup and move on — staying disciplined is crucial. 🚫
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
A Tutorial on LIQUIDITY and EFFICIENCYLike I've mentioned in the past, these are the 2 core concepts of how the market moves. When you begin to understand them, you start to understand where price HAS to go. That may sound arrogant, but I am last the person to say anything about the market with certainty unless I am actually certain. It is akin to understanding why and how the sun comes up in the morning and goes down at night. Because you understand the science behind it, you are able to say with certainty where and when it will happen. (Unless you believe some flat earther stuff like the sun is a hot air balloon ride away...
So, I hope you find this video educational. Remember, successful trading is about consistency, discipline, and hard work. It is about making profit and minimizing risk. It isn't about winning or losing, or being right or wrong.
Take care,
- R2F Trading
EURGBP - GBPUSD - AUDUSD - EURUSD - DXY FULL MARKET BREAKDOWN 📅 Q4 | W45 | D6| Y25 |
📊 EURGBP - GBPUSD - AUDUSD - EURUSD - DXY FULL MARKET BREAKDOWN FRGNT Daily Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
Day 63 — Trading Only S&P Futures +$149.80Recap & Trades
Day 63 — a quiet, disciplined day.
I started late, didn’t see any A+ setups, so I mostly stayed out of the market.
The only positions came from overnight team orders that Bia and Ray placed — and they hit perfectly.
It’s a reminder that sometimes, letting the plan work without forcing it can be the best trade of all.
Lesson & Mindset
Not every day needs to be high action.
The best traders know when to trade — and when to protect their mental and financial capital.
If the market structure doesn’t align, patience is a position.
News & Levels
Futures pushed higher on headlines that Schumer and Jeffries are seeking a deal to end the government shutdown.
It’s keeping sentiment slightly bullish into the next session.
Tomorrow’s levels: Above 6870 bullish, below 6860 bearish.
XAUUSDPrice is currently in a clean consolidation zone between 3875.000 and 4050.000 on both the Daily and H4 timeframes.
This range represents a phase of accumulation and liquidity building after the recent bearish movement.
No clear trend can continue until the market chooses a direction.
📌 Key levels to watch:
4050.000 → bullish breakout zone
A daily/h4 close above this level may open the door toward higher retracement levels.
3875.000 → bearish continuation zone
A clean break and close below this support would confirm continuation of the bearish structure and allow price to create a new lower low on the Daily timeframe.
Until one of these levels breaks, we stay inside consolidation and patience is required.
Part two emphasis on goldI was supposed to do some work on Trading View to set up my tools but I failed to do that and this turned into an analysis of price action as it pertained to gold...
Probably tomorrow there will be another video but it will be focused on fixing the tools to make my life a lot easier and as I said if I get that result from my friend we will make it available to other people at no cost.
Markets Looking SOFT at highs - Correction Underway (Key Levels)October 10th candle is a very important low for all US Markets
-S&P
-Nasdaq
-Dow
-Russell
The rally from that Oct 10 candle low (Friday) was met with aggressive
support but was only showing rallies in Mag 7 and AI related plays
Earnings for the most part are coming in meeting or exceeding expectations, but
price action is certainly looking soft with the market making lower highs and lower
lows for now
We have plenty of technical support, but given the longest US Government Shutdown
in history with dot.com like valuations (there is bubble and non-bubble evidence),
sentiment and elevated volatility are taking their toll and dragging the markets lower
I've closed a lot of open positions and de-risked the portfolio pretty severely this week
with the intention of finding ways to participate in a cautiously bullish environment. As I mention in the video, markets tend to V bottom, but round out the tops so the longer we
stall at these highs and the more "rounded" look we have near these highs, the more
fragile and support can be if we eventually see a break lower - TBD
Day to day, we continue to do good work carving out short-term winners and properly
position for what is next - good or bad
Thanks for watching. See you in the live markets
-Chris
BITCOIN: Hits the W50emaBtc has hit the W50ema after failing to stay above the W21EMA.
This is its third retest of the W50ema after finding support at it in Aug-Sept 2024 and in April 2025.
Will it Hold this time?
If it Holds, what is the next resistance?
if it does not Hold, where is the next major Support?
Update at 4pmAlthough the trade did not go my way today, I still expect a further move down. I'm incorrect if they get over the high from today. Gold also looks ready to test it's lows. Oil still consolidating above it's 18ma. BTC looks like a pullback is also coming, a further low is expected still.
Nvidia: Acceleration Toward New Highs Nvidia gained strong upward momentum shortly after our last update, surging past the $196.45 mark, which had previously served as resistance. As a result, our prior short-term alternative scenario was triggered, and we have now adjusted the chart accordingly (with minor modifications). We now view the green wave as complete and believe that the joint top of green wave and beige wave III, as well as the low of wave IV, have already been established. The Target Zone we had initially set for the wave- low has therefore been removed. In our updated short-term alternative scenario, we still see a 30% probability of a new low for beige wave alt.IV below the $176.21 support level. In this case, however, price would likely rebound above the lower $145.50 level.






















