Bitcoin below 200‑day: Buy the dip or more downside?Bitcoin slid with US risk assets, and a clean break below its 200‑day average puts the 100K support in play right now.
October’s Challenger report showed the biggest monthly job cuts in over two decades, souring sentiment and knocking cryptos alongside equities as traders reassessed near‑term Fed risks.
Weak risk tone plus key technical breaks drove a second wave of selling after the early‑October crypto drawdown, keeping focus on whether 100K holds for Bitcoin.
Key drivers:
Macro shock: October layoffs surged to a 20‑year high, fuelling risk‑off and trimming rate‑cut confidence into year‑end.
BTC technical break: price slipped under the 200‑day, and 50‑day momentum is fading; 100K is the first line of defence, then 92–94K if it fails.
Moving averages are lagging: watch daily closes around these levels rather than one intraday pierce; breadth below long MAs warns of weak trend strength.
Trade the levels, not the noise: defend 100K on BTC for bounce attempts. A daily close below turns focus to 92–94K on BTC before stronger supports.
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Chart Patterns
Liquidity, Efficiency, and Fair Value - THE SECRETS OF TRADINGIn this video I go through the BTCUSDT chart again to highlight the 3 core principles of how the market moves. It really is as simple as this. All the other gimmicks out there, all the news, it is all nonsense for the most part if you are doing anything less than long-term investing. At the very least, seeing the markets through this lens is going to allow you to see how those other tools are used to manipulate the masses for the most part. You may argue that your or your mentor's or this guy you say on social media is using a system with those tools, and that they work. Yes, if you find the right combination of factors, and good risk management, and a bit of luck, you can find a positive edge in the market. Whether it is one that lasts forever in any market or any timeframe, that is another question. But for me, I prefer to actually understand why it rains and when it will rain rather than to say "cloud grey... rain coming".
Enjoy!
R2F Trading
Day 64 — Trading Only S&P Futures | 6/7 Signal AccuracyRecap & Trades
Day 64 — a clean, structured trading day.
Started small with team trades from Bia’s setups, and when we hit the bottom of the day, I saw the double bottom support and multiple buy signals align.
That was the cue. I went long, set a 20-point trailing stop, and let the algo handle the rest.
Sometimes, the best play is not to overtrade — just trust your plan.
Lesson & Mindset
When you’re in sync with your system, execution becomes effortless.
The double bottom setup plus confluence from team signals made this a high-confidence day.
This is how professional consistency looks — smaller, cleaner, smarter.
News & Levels
Markets dipped after fresh layoff reports hit — Dow down 300, VIX spiked — but the bounce off key support shows resilience.
Tomorrow’s levels: Above 6835 bullish, below 6810 bearish.
Silver - The catastrophic rejection!🆘Silver ( TVC:SILVER ) is just collapsing:
🔎Analysis summary:
At this exact moment, Silver is retesting the previous all time highs, which were already rejected about 45 years ago. Considering the extremely bearish rejection on the smaller timeframes, Silver simply fails to break out. This will lead to a devastating reversal.
📝Levels to watch:
$50
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
The FX Professor Charting Process in Action The FX Professor Charting Process in Action 🧠📊
In this educational breakdown, I walk you through how I build levels and structure a chart from scratch — FXPROFESSOR style — using ZECUSD as a live example 📉📈
1. The process always starts with selecting the deepest chart history possible — the further back in time, the more reliable the zones. In this case, I favored Kraken's ZEC chart as it gave me data dating back to 2017 versus 2021. That’s a critical edge.
2. From there, we built 4 major levels based on clean support/resistance flips across time — using both daily and 12-hour zooms to confirm.
I emphasized that we:
Don’t chase pumps (this isn’t a trade setup, it’s a lesson)
Layer in levels from the oldest clean structure possible
Validate using Fibonacci wedge confirmations 🔍
As seen on the chart:
Breakouts came after respecting legacy zones
3, Fibonacci aligned near perfectly with my second level, confirming 0.618 golden zone projections and showing confluence into 687 as a potential upside target (should continuation happen)
Most traders slap fibs high to low — I use it differently. Structure first. Fibs second.
This chart is not a signal — it’s a masterclass in technical charting logic and how to anchor your analysis around real price memory and reaction zones.
4. Alerts. Thank God there is Tradingview.
5. Food for Thought 🍃
Most traders skip history and jump into price action with no memory. But a chart without memory is a trade without a thesis. Structure beats speed. Every. Single. Time. 📚
Disclaimer: I’m just sharing wisdom, not instructions. No licenses, no guarantees — just years of trading scars and precision chartwork. Be smart, protect your capital, and don’t copy blindly....Remember to PLAY the LEVELS
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
S&P500: Rebound S&P 500 futures managed to stage a modest rebound in yesterday’s session and are now showing renewed upward momentum. In our primary scenario, we expect magenta wave (5) to continue climbing and to ultimately mark a final high that completes the larger blue wave (III). Afterward, we anticipate a corrective phase via magenta wave (A), which should pull the index toward support at 6,371 points. However, if prices drop directly below the 6,371 points support, our alternative scenario will come into play. In that case, the alternative wave alt.(4) would likely extend further downward, finding its low within the magenta alternative Target Zone between 6,055 and 5,822 points.
Nov 6 - a move down is likely, but not certainOn SPX we're at double resistance. If we sell off here, we could have another C down, in which case, another bear trap may form (see chart at end of video). The market is very choppy and probably will continue to be for some time. Gold looks like it will test it's lows. BTC looks like it may test it's lows. Oil is still holding the 18ma, but it's running out of time to do something else.
NAS100 H4 | Bearish Reaction off FVGNAS100 is now rising towards our sell entry at 25,883, which aligns with the H4 Fair Value Gap and 71% Fibonacci retracement. We shall see how price reacts to this area after it breaks through the previous 2 swing high resistance levels.
The stop loss is at 26,167, which is a swing high resistance level, while the take profit is at 25,313, which is a swing low support level.
Once price reacts bearishly, do take note of the above swing low support level at 25,581 as well.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
XAGUSD H1 | Bullish Bounce off Key SupportThere is a temporary bullish confirmation on the H1 chart as we had 2 consecutive break of structures. Hence, our buy entry is at 48.02, which aligns with the H1 Fair Value Gap and 71% Fibonacci retracement.
The stop loss is at 47.61, which is a swing low support level, while the take profit is at 48.68, which is a swing high resistance level.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
EURUSD H4 | Bearish Reaction off Key ResistanceEURUSD is rising towards our sell entry at 1.1547, which is a pullback resistance, aligning with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
The stop loss is an overlap resistance at 1.1578 and slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement. While the take profit is at 1.1493, which is a pullback support, aligning with the H4 FVG.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
USDCAD H4 | Bullish Bounce off Key SupportUSDCAD is falling towards our buy entry at 1.407, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
The stop loss is at 1.404, which is a minor overlap support level, while the take profit is at 1.4135, which is a swing high resistance level.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Short EURJPY for a pullbackThis is my daily routing on how I analyze charts in this video I dive deep into explaining how to read trends, pullbacks and set entry positions. Always make your analysis simple as possible so that you don't have too much traffic in terms of indicators and strategies in your screen. And making things simple as possible makes it easier for you to follow your trading plan.
Nasdaq NAS100 Bulls Regain Control: What I’m Watching Next📈 On the 4-hour NASDAQ chart, we can clearly see a break in structure to the upside, signaling strong bullish momentum entering the market. 🟩 The buyers are showing strength, and I’ll be looking to capitalize on this momentum — but only if we see a confirmed break of the current swing high, followed by a retracement into the retest zone. 🔁
However, patience is key. ⏳ I’ll only look to engage if today’s New York session data release aligns with and supports the bullish bias. Fundamentals and technicals must work together before I take a position.
As mentioned in the video, if the anticipated price action fails to materialize, we’ll simply abandon this setup and move on — staying disciplined is crucial. 🚫
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
A Tutorial on LIQUIDITY and EFFICIENCYLike I've mentioned in the past, these are the 2 core concepts of how the market moves. When you begin to understand them, you start to understand where price HAS to go. That may sound arrogant, but I am last the person to say anything about the market with certainty unless I am actually certain. It is akin to understanding why and how the sun comes up in the morning and goes down at night. Because you understand the science behind it, you are able to say with certainty where and when it will happen. (Unless you believe some flat earther stuff like the sun is a hot air balloon ride away...
So, I hope you find this video educational. Remember, successful trading is about consistency, discipline, and hard work. It is about making profit and minimizing risk. It isn't about winning or losing, or being right or wrong.
Take care,
- R2F Trading
EURGBP - GBPUSD - AUDUSD - EURUSD - DXY FULL MARKET BREAKDOWN 📅 Q4 | W45 | D6| Y25 |
📊 EURGBP - GBPUSD - AUDUSD - EURUSD - DXY FULL MARKET BREAKDOWN FRGNT Daily Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
Day 63 — Trading Only S&P Futures +$149.80Recap & Trades
Day 63 — a quiet, disciplined day.
I started late, didn’t see any A+ setups, so I mostly stayed out of the market.
The only positions came from overnight team orders that Bia and Ray placed — and they hit perfectly.
It’s a reminder that sometimes, letting the plan work without forcing it can be the best trade of all.
Lesson & Mindset
Not every day needs to be high action.
The best traders know when to trade — and when to protect their mental and financial capital.
If the market structure doesn’t align, patience is a position.
News & Levels
Futures pushed higher on headlines that Schumer and Jeffries are seeking a deal to end the government shutdown.
It’s keeping sentiment slightly bullish into the next session.
Tomorrow’s levels: Above 6870 bullish, below 6860 bearish.






















