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BASICS: CREATE A ZONE #Gold #Zones📈 How to Create a Zone for Trading This video will walk you step-by-step through creating a trading zone. The purpose of the zone is to help identify the current market trend for a breakout. ✅ Remember: Consider trading the trend for the best setups and opportunities. #TradingView #ForexTrading #DayTrading #TrendTrading #BreakoutStrategy #SmartMoney #TechnicalAnalysis #TradeTheTrend #PriceAction #MarketStructure #FuturesTrading #ForexCommunity
COMEX:GC1!
by BFST
3
BITCOIN TRADERS SHOULD ALLOW FED SET RATE ,RATHER THAN SPECULATING IT.THE CHANCES THEY WILL APPLY TYLOR RULE IS ON THE DESK. The Taylor Rule is a monetary policy guideline developed by economist John B. Taylor in 1992. It provides a formula to help central banks, like the Federal Reserve, determine the optimal short-term interest rate based on economic conditions. What is the Taylor Rule? It links the central bank's target interest rate (the federal funds rate in the U.S.) to two key economic factors: The difference between actual inflation and the central bank's target inflation rate (usually around 2%). The output gap—the difference between actual economic output (GDP) and the economy's potential output. The rule suggests that the central bank should raise interest rates when inflation is above target or when the economy is producing above its potential, to cool down inflation and avoid overheating. Conversely, it advises lowering interest rates when inflation is below target or the economy is underperforming, to stimulate growth. Why Does It Matter to the Fed in Rate Decisions? The Taylor Rule provides a systematic, rules-based framework for setting interest rates, enhancing policy predictability and transparency. It serves as a benchmark for policymakers to assess whether current rates are appropriate, balancing inflation control and economic growth. The Fed often considers the Taylor Rule when making decisions but does not follow it mechanically, as real-world factors like financial stability and global economic conditions also influence policy. During periods of deviation from the rule’s recommendation, the Fed may explain why it chose a different path, reflecting discretion and judgment. The Taylor Rule helps anchor market expectations by providing a reference point for where interest rates "should" be, reducing uncertainty in financial markets. AM WAITING ON SELL FROM THE ROOF . HUNTER WAY. #BTC #BITCOIN
Long
by Shavyfxhub
ETHEREUM TRADERS SHOULD ALLOW FED SET RATE ,RATHER THAN SPECULATING IT.THE CHANCES THEY WILL APPLY TYLOR RULE IS ON THE DESK. The Taylor Rule is a monetary policy guideline developed by economist John B. Taylor in 1992. It provides a formula to help central banks, like the Federal Reserve, determine the optimal short-term interest rate based on economic conditions. What is the Taylor Rule? It links the central bank's target interest rate (the federal funds rate in the U.S.) to two key economic factors: The difference between actual inflation and the central bank's target inflation rate (usually around 2%). The output gap—the difference between actual economic output (GDP) and the economy's potential output. The rule suggests that the central bank should raise interest rates when inflation is above target or when the economy is producing above its potential, to cool down inflation and avoid overheating. Conversely, it advises lowering interest rates when inflation is below target or the economy is underperforming, to stimulate growth. Why Does It Matter to the Fed in Rate Decisions? The Taylor Rule provides a systematic, rules-based framework for setting interest rates, enhancing policy predictability and transparency. It serves as a benchmark for policymakers to assess whether current rates are appropriate, balancing inflation control and economic growth. The Fed often considers the Taylor Rule when making decisions but does not follow it mechanically, as real-world factors like financial stability and global economic conditions also influence policy. During periods of deviation from the rule’s recommendation, the Fed may explain why it chose a different path, reflecting discretion and judgment. The Taylor Rule helps anchor market expectations by providing a reference point for where interest rates "should" be, reducing uncertainty in financial markets. AM WAITING ON SELL FROM THE ROOF . HUNTER WAY. #ETHEREUM
Long
by Shavyfxhub
ETHEREUM PLS ALLOW FED TO DECIDE ON THE NEW RATE ,THE PROBABILTY FOR HIKE IS IN THE picture and incoming economic report will be put into perspective. the fed will likely apply the Taylor Rule in its monetary policy decision. The Taylor Rule is a monetary policy guideline developed by economist John B. Taylor in 1992. It provides a formula to help central banks, like the Federal Reserve, determine the optimal short-term interest rate based on economic conditions. What is the Taylor Rule? It links the central bank's target interest rate (the federal funds rate in the U.S.) to two key economic factors: The difference between actual inflation and the central bank's target inflation rate (usually around 2%). The output gap—the difference between actual economic output (GDP) and the economy's potential output. The rule suggests that the central bank should raise interest rates when inflation is above target or when the economy is producing above its potential, to cool down inflation and avoid overheating. Conversely, it advises lowering interest rates when inflation is below target or the economy is underperforming, to stimulate growth. Why Does It Matter to the Fed in Rate Decisions? The Taylor Rule provides a systematic, rules-based framework for setting interest rates, enhancing policy predictability and transparency. It serves as a benchmark for policymakers to assess whether current rates are appropriate, balancing inflation control and economic growth. The Fed often considers the Taylor Rule when making decisions but does not follow it mechanically, as real-world factors like financial stability and global economic conditions also influence policy. During periods of deviation from the rule’s recommendation, the Fed may explain why it chose a different path, reflecting discretion and judgment. The Taylor Rule helps anchor market expectations by providing a reference point for where interest rates "should" be, reducing uncertainty in financial markets. Basic Taylor Rule Formula r=p+0.5y+0.5(p−p ∗ )+r ∗ r=nominal federal funds rate (target rate) p=actual inflation rate p*=target inflation rate (~2%) y=output gap (percent difference between actual and potential GDP) r*=equilibrium real federal funds rate (often assumed to be about 2%) In simple terms, the Fed should raise or lower rates in response to inflation deviations and output gaps to stabilize the economy. The Taylor Rule matters because it guides the Fed to pursue a balanced approach—tightening policy when inflation or growth is too high, and easing when the economy slows or inflation falls short—helping to achieve stable prices and sustainable growth. The Taylor rule also points to a hike Even when considering the prior data, the Taylor Rule also suggests that the Fed could hike the Federal Funds rate. The Taylor Rule is one of the most reliable tools that the Fed considers for monetary policy action. It's based on the neutral rate, inflation measure, and the resource gap measure. Since these are not easily measurable variables, the Taylor Rule allows for simulations with different measures. The most common measures are summarized in three scenarios. Currently, two scenarios put the Federal Funds rate at around 4.25%, which is the bottom range of the current level of the Federal Funds rate, and suggests no cuts or hikes are necessary. However, Scenario 3 is putting the Federal Funds rate at 5.45%, which suggests that the Fed should hike by around 1% from the current level. The fact is that the unemployment rate is very low at the full employment level, while inflation has been well above the 2% target for a long time now. trading is 100% probability. apply caution at all time think like a hunter. #ethereum
Long
by Shavyfxhub
BITCOIN BTCUSDTThe Taylor Rule is a monetary policy guideline developed by economist John B. Taylor in 1992. It provides a formula to help central banks, like the Federal Reserve, determine the optimal short-term interest rate based on economic conditions. What is the Taylor Rule? It links the central bank's target interest rate (the federal funds rate in the U.S.) to two key economic factors: The difference between actual inflation and the central bank's target inflation rate (usually around 2%). The output gap—the difference between actual economic output (GDP) and the economy's potential output. The rule suggests that the central bank should raise interest rates when inflation is above target or when the economy is producing above its potential, to cool down inflation and avoid overheating. Conversely, it advises lowering interest rates when inflation is below target or the economy is underperforming, to stimulate growth. Why Does It Matter to the Fed in Rate Decisions? The Taylor Rule provides a systematic, rules-based framework for setting interest rates, enhancing policy predictability and transparency. It serves as a benchmark for policymakers to assess whether current rates are appropriate, balancing inflation control and economic growth. The Fed often considers the Taylor Rule when making decisions but does not follow it mechanically, as real-world factors like financial stability and global economic conditions also influence policy. During periods of deviation from the rule’s recommendation, the Fed may explain why it chose a different path, reflecting discretion and judgment. The Taylor Rule helps anchor market expectations by providing a reference point for where interest rates "should" be, reducing uncertainty in financial markets. Basic Taylor Rule Formula r=p+0.5y+0.5(p−p ∗ )+r ∗ r=nominal federal funds rate (target rate) p=actual inflation rate p*=target inflation rate (~2%) y=output gap (percent difference between actual and potential GDP) r*=equilibrium real federal funds rate (often assumed to be about 2%) In simple terms, the Fed should raise or lower rates in response to inflation deviations and output gaps to stabilize the economy. The Taylor Rule matters because it guides the Fed to pursue a balanced approach—tightening policy when inflation or growth is too high, and easing when the economy slows or inflation falls short—helping to achieve stable prices and sustainable growth. The Taylor rule also points to a hike Even when considering the prior data, the Taylor Rule also suggests that the Fed could hike the Federal Funds rate. The Taylor Rule is one of the most reliable tools that the Fed considers for monetary policy action. It's based on the neutral rate, inflation measure, and the resource gap measure. Since these are not easily measurable variables, the Taylor Rule allows for simulations with different measures. The most common measures are summarized in three scenarios. Currently, two scenarios put the Federal Funds rate at around 4.25%, which is the bottom range of the current level of the Federal Funds rate, and suggests no cuts or hikes are necessary. However, Scenario 3 is putting the Federal Funds rate at 5.45%, which suggests that the Fed should hike by around 1% from the current level. The fact is that the unemployment rate is very low at the full employment level, while inflation has been well above the 2% target for a long time now. trading is 100% probability ,EURUSD buy gains today could become bearish tomorrow. trade carefully WE NEED BUY/ SELL CONFIRMATION FOR NOW, ALLOW THE MARKET TO COOLOFF FROM JACKSON HOLE SPEECH OF SIR JEROME POWELL TWISTED DOVISH COMMENT ON FRIDAY. THINK LIKE A HUNTER #BTCUSDT
Long
by Shavyfxhub
FOMC mins could be rates catalyst if Powell is neutral at JHSTraders are laser-focused on the release of the FOMC meeting minutes, which could prove to be the most significant market-moving event ahead of the Jackson Hole Symposium if Powell offers no insights. With markets already pricing in an 85% chance of a rate cut at the September meeting, the tone and details within the minutes will be crucial. The last FOMC meeting saw a strong division among members, with the decision to hold rates steady hinging on strong jobs data—a data point that was later revised downward, fueling speculation about a potential shift in the Fed’s outlook. The upcoming minutes offer the Fed an opportunity to clarify its stance, especially in light of the softer jobs numbers and mixed inflation signals. Traders will be watching closely for any signs that the Fed is becoming more dovish, which could reinforce expectations for a September cut, or for hints of caution that might temper those hopes. Ultimately, while Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole will set the broader policy tone, the FOMC minutes tonight may provide the first real clues about how the Fed is weighing recent economic developments and what that means for rate policy in the months ahead. The market is more dovish than the Fed’s own projections, so any hawkish signals could prompt a repricing. Gold is inversely correlated with the dollar and Fed policy. If Powell is less dovish, gold could see downside, with key support at $3,270 and potential for a move down to $2,934 if the triangle pattern breaks lower. Upside targets, if the pattern breaks higher, are $3,773–$3,785, with a 66% statistical chance of reaching the measured move. The current price action suggests a symmetrical triangle, which is a neutral pattern but slightly favours continuation of the prevailing trend (bullish in this case). Watch for a break of $3,270 for downside or a move above the triangle for upside momentum. RSI divergence and an ending wedge pattern hint at a possible reversal, so traders should stay alert for shifts following the FOMC minutes and Powell’s speech. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by ThinkMarkets
2
EURUSD Breakdown or Double Bottom? Catalysts at Jackson Hole!EURUSD has broken below the key 1.16 support ahead of the Jackson Hole Symposium, raising the stakes for both bulls and bears as markets become more aware of the likelihood of a hawkish stance. But will it be the case? Let's see what the possible scenarios are at play. Bearish Catalysts : Hawkish Fed Signals: Recent FOMC minutes and a potential hawkish tone from Chair Powell could push EURUSD lower. Rate cut odds for December have dropped sharply, and further Fed focus on inflation may accelerate downside. Technical Breakdown: The loss of 1.16 opens the door to 1.1530, 1.1460, and possibly 1.14. No clear bullish divergence on RSI suggests more downside risk. Geopolitical Risks: Uncertainty around the Ukraine ceasefire could weigh further on the euro. Bullish Catalysts : Oversold Conditions: EURUSD is approaching oversold territory, with a potential double bottom forming near 1.1530/1.1460. Dovish Surprise: If Powell signals concerns over the labour market or hints at a pause, a short-covering rally could target 1.16 and above. ECB Commentary: Any unexpected hawkishness from ECB President Lagarde could support the euro. Key Levels to Watch : Support: 1.1530, 1.1460, 1.1400 Resistance: 1.1600, 1.1660 Trading Plan : Volatility is likely post-symposium. Bears may look for breakdowns and rallies to resistance for entries, while bulls might watch for reversal signals at key supports if the Fed surprises dovishly. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
Short
by ThinkMarkets
3
AUDJPY; Heikin Ashi Trade Idea📈 Hey Traders! Here’s a fresh outlook from my trading desk. If you’ve been following me for a while, you already know my approach: 🧩 I trade Supply & Demand zones using Heikin Ashi chart on the 4H timeframe. 🧠 I keep it mechanical and clean — no messy charts, no guessing games. ❌ No trendlines, no fixed sessions, no patterns, no indicator overload. ❌ No overanalyzing market structure or imbalances. ❌ No scalping, and no need to be glued to the screen. ✅ I trade exclusively with limit orders, so it’s more of a set-and-forget style. ✅ This means more freedom, less screen time, and a focus on quality setups. ✅ Just a simplified, structured plan and a calm mindset. 💬 Let’s Talk: 💡Do you trade supply & demand too ? 💡What’s your go-to timeframe ? 💡Ever tried Heikin Ashi ? 📩 Got questions about my strategy or setup? Drop them below — ask me anything, I’m here to share. Let’s grow together and keep it simple. 👊
Long
by Matej_trader
1
EURUSDThe Taylor Rule is a monetary policy guideline developed by economist John B. Taylor in 1992. It provides a formula to help central banks, like the Federal Reserve, determine the optimal short-term interest rate based on economic conditions. What is the Taylor Rule? It links the central bank's target interest rate (the federal funds rate in the U.S.) to two key economic factors: The difference between actual inflation and the central bank's target inflation rate (usually around 2%). The output gap—the difference between actual economic output (GDP) and the economy's potential output. The rule suggests that the central bank should raise interest rates when inflation is above target or when the economy is producing above its potential, to cool down inflation and avoid overheating. Conversely, it advises lowering interest rates when inflation is below target or the economy is underperforming, to stimulate growth. Why Does It Matter to the Fed in Rate Decisions? The Taylor Rule provides a systematic, rules-based framework for setting interest rates, enhancing policy predictability and transparency. It serves as a benchmark for policymakers to assess whether current rates are appropriate, balancing inflation control and economic growth. The Fed often considers the Taylor Rule when making decisions but does not follow it mechanically, as real-world factors like financial stability and global economic conditions also influence policy. During periods of deviation from the rule’s recommendation, the Fed may explain why it chose a different path, reflecting discretion and judgment. The Taylor Rule helps anchor market expectations by providing a reference point for where interest rates "should" be, reducing uncertainty in financial markets. Basic Taylor Rule Formula r=p+0.5y+0.5(p−p ∗ )+r ∗ r=nominal federal funds rate (target rate) p=actual inflation rate p*=target inflation rate (~2%) y=output gap (percent difference between actual and potential GDP) r*=equilibrium real federal funds rate (often assumed to be about 2%) In simple terms, the Fed should raise or lower rates in response to inflation deviations and output gaps to stabilize the economy. The Taylor Rule matters because it guides the Fed to pursue a balanced approach—tightening policy when inflation or growth is too high, and easing when the economy slows or inflation falls short—helping to achieve stable prices and sustainable growth. The Taylor rule also points to a hike Even when considering the prior data, the Taylor Rule also suggests that the Fed could hike the Federal Funds rate. The Taylor Rule is one of the most reliable tools that the Fed considers for monetary policy action. It's based on the neutral rate, inflation measure, and the resource gap measure. Since these are not easily measurable variables, the Taylor Rule allows for simulations with different measures. The most common measures are summarized in three scenarios. Currently, two scenarios put the Federal Funds rate at around 4.25%, which is the bottom range of the current level of the Federal Funds rate, and suggests no cuts or hikes are necessary. However, Scenario 3 is putting the Federal Funds rate at 5.45%, which suggests that the Fed should hike by around 1% from the current level. The fact is that the unemployment rate is very low at the full employment level, while inflation has been well above the 2% target for a long time now. trading is 100% probability ,EURUSD buy gains today could become bearish tomorrow. trade carefully #eurusd
Long
by Shavyfxhub
How Institutions Trade with Smart Money ConceptMost traders lose because they don’t understand how the big players (banks & institutions) actually move the markets. Institutions don’t rely on RSI, MACD, or retail indicators — they move billions with Smart Money Concept (SMC), targeting retail stop losses and fueling big moves. In this video, I break down: ✅ Market Structure – how institutions decide direction ✅ Liquidity Grabs – stop hunts that trap retail traders ✅ Order Blocks & Fair Value Gaps – where banks enter positions ✅ Step-by-step Institutional Playbook you can follow 💡 Key Idea: Institutions create the moves retail traders chase. By following market structure, liquidity pools, and order blocks, you can trade WITH the smart money — not against it. 📊 Example Inside the Video: Real chart breakdown (XAUUSD & EURUSD) Spotting liquidity pools (equal highs/lows) Entry after market structure shift Risk-to-reward setup like institutions If you want to stop trading like retail and start trading like the banks, this is for you. 📌 Hashtags (for reach): #SmartMoneyConcept #ForexTrading #FrankFx #LiquidityGrab #OrderBlock #SMCStrategy #TradingView
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by FrankFx14
Liquidity Grab Strategy | Smart Money ConceptHave you ever had your stop loss hunted before price moved in your direction? That’s called a Liquidity Grab — one of the most powerful setups in Smart Money Concept (SMC). In this video, I break down: What Liquidity Grab really means 📊 How institutions use stop hunts to fuel big moves 🏦 Step-by-step guide to trade liquidity grabs profitably Real chart example on XAUUSD with 1:5 Risk-Reward setup 💰 📌 Why Watch This Video? Stop chasing false breakouts 🚫 Learn to spot liquidity pools (double tops/bottoms) ✅ Understand confirmation entries after the grab 🎯 Trade with Smart Money, not against it ⚡ 🔗 Watch Full Video Here: Liquidity Grab Strategy | Smart Money Concept 📈 Chart Highlight (From Video) Equal highs formed → liquidity pool created Price spiked above → retail stops hunted Market reversed with momentum → clean entry after structure shift This is exactly how institutions move the market. Knowing this gives you the edge most retail traders miss. ⚡ Key Takeaway Liquidity Grabs are not manipulation against you — they’re opportunities. Flip the script: enter with institutions, not against them. 📌 Tags #SmartMoneyConcept #LiquidityGrab #ForexTrading #XAUUSD #SMC #SupplyAndDemand
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by FrankFx14
NZDUSD NZDUSD Exchange Rate The New Zealand Dollar to US Dollar (NZD/USD) is trading around 0.5866.7 The NZD has been weakening slightly recently, influenced by global uncertainty and interest rate movements. 10-Year Bond Yields New Zealand 10-Year Government Bond Yield: 4.415% US 10-Year Treasury Yield: Approximately 4.256% Interest Rate Decisions Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ): Recently cut Official Cash Rate by 25 basis points to 3.00% in August 2025, signaling a weakening economy and indications of possible further rate cuts in early 2026. US Federal Reserve: Maintained the federal funds target rate at 4.25%-4.50% as of the last meeting. The Fed is in a wait-and-see mode, with the next decision scheduled for late September 2025. These rates and bond yields reflect the accommodative monetary stance by the RBNZ to support growth amid headwinds, while the US Fed maintains a tight policy stance amidst lingering inflation concerns. Jerome Powell's speech at the 2025 Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium had a significant market impact, particularly on NZD/USD: Powell signaled a clear shift in the Federal Reserve's stance, indicating that the "balance of risks appears to be shifting" toward a need for interest rate cuts as early as the September Fed meeting. He acknowledged slowing job growth and unusual labor market dynamics, warning of increasing employment risks that might necessitate policy easing. While he did not explicitly commit to a rate cut, his dovish tone raised market expectations for a 25 basis point cut in September from around 70% to over 90%. This caused US Treasury yields to fall, weakening the US Dollar and boosting higher-yielding currencies like the New Zealand Dollar. The outlook of impending Fed easing combined with recent RBNZ rate cuts improved risk sentiment, lifting NZD/USD from its four-month low Powell's speech effectively helped traders position for a softer Fed in the near term, providing a bullish catalyst for NZDUSD. In summary, Powell’s remarks opened the door to Fed rate cuts, easing USD strength. #NZDUSD
Long
by Shavyfxhub
Day 15 — Trading Only S&P Futures | +$121 Rate Cut RallyWelcome to Day 15 of Trading Only S&P Futures! Running on only 3 hours of sleep, I knew today wasn’t the day to overtrade. With two major events at 10am and 12pm, I kept it simple — placed my basket orders, let the setups work, and went 2-for-2 green. Locked in +121.69 and wrapped it up by noon. Sometimes the best edge is knowing when not to force trades. 📰 News Highlights STOCKS SURGE TO END THE WEEK, VIX PLUNGES AFTER POWELL OPENS DOOR TO RATE CUT IN JACKSON HOLE 🔑 Key Levels for Tomorrow Above 6415 = Remain Bullish Below 6405 = Flip Bearish
CME_MINI:ES1!
by DiYWALLST
1
Microsoft - This chart is too obvious!💡Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) perfectly respects structure: 🔎Analysis summary: Back in April of 2025, Microsoft created a textbook all time high bullish break and retest. After this move, Microsoft started a rally of +50%, perfectly in conformity with the rising channel pattern. The trend remains bullish for now, but a shorter term correction will follow quite soon. 📝Levels to watch: $650 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by SwingTraderPhilTV
14
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update For 8-22 : Is This The Top?This is a follow-up to my recent video to help answer questions and to share my analysis of the SPY/QQQ, Gold/Silver, and Bitcoin for all viewers. This video also addresses the tools I use to stay on top of the swings in price movement and highlights why I believe the markets may continue to unwind from these lofty highs. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
4