Chart Patterns
Into the HolidaySPX likely pulls back today with a few stocks outperforming to the downside - AAPL and NVDA. VIX is at it's 18ma so it should at least bounce if not make another higher high. Gold up, but it looks corrective here. Oil and BTC probably more downside. Natural Gas looks like a short as well.
Gold breakout incoming? Triangle in focus as Fed cut bets rise!Gold has snapped back above the $4.1k handle and is coiling in a triangle just under resistance as markets go almost all‑in on a December Fed rate cut.
In this video, we look at how dovish shifts from Fed officials and surging rate‑cut odds are lifting gold while price action compresses between the 4k support and the 4,240–4,245 resistance band. We then map out both bullish and bearish scenarios using the 4,100 handle as the key line in the sand.
Key drivers
Markets now price roughly 80% odds of a December Fed cut after comments from Christopher Waller and Mary Daly backing a move on the basis of a weakening labour market.
Lower expected policy rates and a softer dollar reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, helping XAUUSD hold above 4,100 even as risk appetite improves elsewhere.
On the 1‑hour chart, gold is locked in a contracting triangle/pennant with higher lows and lower highs, overbought RSI cooling off, and 4,100 acting as potential support.
A sustained break above roughly 4,175–4,200 opens the door towards 4,240–4,275, while a failure and loss of 4,100 puts 4,000 back in play and risks a deeper extension towards the 3,750 zone.
If you’re trading gold, share your triangle scenarios in the comments. Are you buying a 4,100 hold or fading a failed breakout? Make sure to follow for more macro‑plus‑technicals trade setups.
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Attitude adjustmentThe S&P 500 daily chart reflects an attitude adjustment in the S&P 500. Two days ago it was concerned that the Fed would not lower interest rates but there were signs of this attitude changing as buyer started to return to the market on Friday and follow through on Monday. The big issue is can these buyers maintain this upward pressure. Tuesday can provide us with information about the rest of the week.
USDJPY H4 | Bullish Bounce Off Key SupportMomentum: Bullish
Price is currently above the ichimoku cloud.
Buy entry: 155.293
- Overlap support
- 61.8% Fib retracement
Stop Loss: 154.365
- Overlap support
- 78.6% Fib retracement
Take Profit: 157.131
- Pullback resistance
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AUDUSD H1 | Bearish Reaction Off Key ResistanceMomentum: Bearish
Price is currently within the bearish ichimoku cloud.
Sell entry: 0.64842
- Strong Pullback resistance
- 78.6% Fib retracement
- 161.8% Fib extension
- Fair Value Gap
Stop Loss: 0.65060
- Swing high resistance
Take Profit: 0.64514
- Overlap support
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
GBPJPY H1 | Bearish Reaction Off Key ResistanceMomentum: Bearish
Price is currently below the ichimoku cloud, and has broken past the previous ascending trendline.
Sell entry: 205.697
- Pullback resistance
- 50% Fib retracement
- 78.6% Fib projection
Stop Loss: 206.683
- Swing high resistance
Take Profit: 204.576
- Swing low support
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
S&P500 H1 | Bearish Reaction Off Key ResistanceMomentum: Bearish
Price is currently below the ichimoku cloud.
Sell entry: 6,711.35
- Strong pullback resistance
- 78.6% Fib retracement
- 100% Fib projection
Stop Loss: 6,785.20
- Overlap resistance
Take Profit: 6,641.93
- Overlap support
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
UP 25 PIPSThis long engulfing candle with a wick from Demand means smart money have grabbed liquidity and the bulls are in control at the moment. If price stays in my favor and moving averages(9,20ema) are respected...I'll be targeting the ADR(average daily range)...Thats the green dotted line at my TP.
Day 75 — 3/3 Win Rate on 4 Hours of SleepEnded the day +$234.68 trading S&P Futures. Running on just 4 hours of sleep, I knew I wasn’t operating at 100% this morning. The market open was showing mixed signals, and given how wild the action has been lately, I decided the smartest move was to sit on my hands. I waited until later in the session when things slowed down, found my spots, and sniped a few setups. I ended up going 3/3 on my trades and decided to walk away green before the fatigue set in and the market took it back.
🔑 Key Levels for Tomorrow
Above 6720 = Bullish Below 6705 = Bearish
📰 News Highlights
*FED’S WALLER SUPPORTS DECEMBER RATE CUT, FED CHAIR TALKS
Upcoming GOLD is most likely going upThe upcoming outlook for gold is bullish.
The external structure remains bullish, and the internal structure has now shifted bullish as well after breaking the internal lower high. Price completed a clean retracement into the 78% Fibonacci level and has since begun pushing upward.
Gold is currently bouncing from the FVG and is heading toward the upside Unicorn Zone. Before revisiting the all-time high, price is expected to pull back into the major support area and then continue higher toward the double-top all-time-high region.
S&P500: Poised for Further Pullback The S&P 500 futures are currently trading just above support at 6,540 points, but are expected to see a temporary pullback within magenta wave (4). In our primary scenario, we anticipate the sell-off will extend into the green Long Target Zone between 6,163 and 5,912 points. From this area, we expect the start of wave (5), which would complete the magenta five-wave sequence and push the index higher—ideally above resistance at 6,952 points. This move would also mark the final high of the broader blue wave (III). However, if selling pressure intensifies and the Long Target Zone is breached, our alternative scenario will come into play (probability: 31%). In this case, blue wave alt.(III) would already be complete, and the index would enter a significantly deeper correction phase.
BITCOIN CME GAP FILLED!In this video I dive into the two biggest narratives happening right now in crypto:
1. Bitcoin just filled its major CME gap around ~85K — this isn’t random. It’s a key structural event.
2. Ethereum is showing strong signs of rotation and leadership: stronger structure, ETF flows, and liquidity shifting.
While everyone screams “bear market,” the charts are whispering something different: rotation, breakout, and altcoin season on the horizon.
I cover:
-Why the BTC CME gap fill matters more than you think
-The exact levels for BTC, ETH & TOTAL market cap I’m watching
-Why ETH is positioned to lead the next leg up
#trading #cryptocurrency #forex #btc #bitcoinbtc
⚠️ Disclaimer:
I am not a financial advisor. The content shared on this channel is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
Trading and investing in cryptocurrency involve high risk — you could lose some, or all, of your money. Always do your own research and make sure you understand the risks before making any financial decisions.






















