Cardano (ADA): Still Bullish | Price Above Moving AverageCardano (ADA) has been repeating the same pattern for years now — strong accumulation, reclaim of EMAs, and then explosive upside moves.
If history continues to rhyme, the recent reclaim near $0.80 might be setting up the next big leg up. Previous recoveries from similar zones have given us +160% to +240% gains, and if this momentum continues, we could be looking at another 200%+ run from here.
More in-depth info is in the video—enjoy!
Swallow Academy
Chart Patterns
SPX500 & NAS100 AT RESISTANCE CROSSROADS, GOLD GAINING STEAMIn this weekend's analysis on the SPX500 and NAS100 indices, I see a potential bullish trend continuation but also at a key resistance level with hidden bears ready to attach bulls. This is one of the setups that patience is more rewarding than taking a bet.
Gold is gaining strength to the upper range and still in the sideways channel. Here too patience for a clear breakout will be more rewarding. I think based on the length of the sideways, once there is a clear breakout, Gold will really rally to it's next targets. Please watch the entire video to understand my analysis and thoughts. Cheers and have a great trading week.
BITCOIN PREDICTION: CRASH WILL STOP HERE!!!? (nobody watching) Yello Paradisers! In this video, I'm sharing with you the ultra-line time frame perspective. We are analyzing the channel and the Elliott Wave Theory on a high time frame chart. I'm sharing with you how the ABC correction is finished. We are going through the Bitcoin CME futures gap or medium time frame. I'm sharing with you the Fibonacci time zone, the Elliott Wave count, and the confirmations we are waiting for to start in your positions.
Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
EURJPY SELL PRICE HITTING RESISTANCE AT 172.2The Pair is moving in Ascending Triangle with the current price consolidating at 171.76 We wait for a breakout for a major move if we see the price above 171.98 for a bullish move to 172.78 and If the price break below 171.21 we can see a dive down to 170.21
XAUUSD and DXY Possible move ahead!Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
BITCOIN DAILY BREAK AND RETEST ENFORCED.THE break of daily support structure calls for retest and yesterday 4hr candle close attempted ,but daily candle close hold a stronger bias than 4hr,weekly holds a stronger bias than daily, monthly holds stronger bias than weekly.
higher time frame analysis chart gives clear directional bias.
trading is 100% probability
dont take it personal
manage your risk
GOODLUCK.
All eyes on the PCE todayWatching the US dollar reaction carefully today.
TVC:DXY
MARKETSCOM:DOLLARINDEX
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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Gold: Bull Run Fading: Is 3335–3350 Barrier the Turning Point?Gold: Bull Run Fading: Is 3335–3350 Barrier the Turning Point?
Gold may be nearing the end of its bullish run. There’s a strong resistance zone between 3335 and 3350, and price action is already showing signs of weakness—even though it still looks slightly bullish on the surface.
Momentum is fading, and based on the chart, there’s a good chance Gold could start pulling back from the current levels, especially around the 3335 zone.
You may watch the analysis for further details!
Thank you!
USDJPYUSDJPY recent strength is largely driven by the significant interest rate differential and divergent monetary policies between the US Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan. The carry trade remains a vital market driver, and future movements will closely track shifts in Fed/BoJ policy signals and economic data.
THE USDJPY trade directional bias wont be complete without the understanding of the US10Y AND JB10Y,the central banks interest rate and the differentials on both the bond yield and interest rate.
Federal fund rate is 4.25-4.5%
united state government 10 year bondyield is 4.213%
BANK OF JAPAN (BOJ RATE 0.5%
JP10Y 1.601%
INTEREST RATE DIFFERENTAL WILL BE 4.25%-0.5%= 3.75%
BOND YIELD 4.213%-1.601%= 2.612%
UNITED STATES ECONOMIC DATA REPORT TODAY AND DIRECTIONAL BIAS.
Fed Interpretation of Economic Data (Greater vs. Lower Than Forecast)
Core PCE Price Index (inflation measure):Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) is an economic measure of the total value of goods and services purchased by or for U.S. consumers, including households and nonprofit institutions serving households. It covers spending on durable goods (like vehicles and appliances), nondurable goods (like food and clothing), and services (like healthcare and transportation).
The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), a department within the U.S. Commerce Department, is responsible for collecting, compiling, and reporting PCE data. They release the data monthly in their Personal Income and Outlays report, providing detailed information on consumer spending and income trends.
Why PCE Matters to the Federal Reserve (Fed):
PCE is critical because it represents about two-thirds of the U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP), making it a primary driver of economic activity and growth.
The Fed closely monitors the PCE Price Index (PCEPI) or PCE inflation gauge, which tracks changes in consumer prices. The core PCE (excluding volatile food and energy prices) is the Fed's preferred inflation measure.
By assessing PCE data, the Fed gauges inflationary pressures and consumer spending behavior, which are vital for setting appropriate monetary policy such as adjusting interest rates.
Accurate PCE data helps the Fed balance its dual mandate to promote maximum employment and maintain stable prices, thereby influencing decisions that affect the U.S. economy's health and financial markets.
Greater than forecast: Signals stronger inflationary pressures, increasing the likelihood the Fed will maintain or raise interest rates to contain inflation.
Lower than forecast: Implies inflation is easing, which could encourage the Fed to pause rate hikes or consider rate cuts to support growth.
Goods Trade Balance (deficit):
Worse (larger deficit) than forecast: May indicate weaker domestic production and demand, potentially signaling slower economic growth.
Better (smaller deficit) than forecast: Suggests stronger domestic manufacturing and trade balance, which can support rate stability or tightening.
Personal Income & Spending:
Higher than forecast: Reflects robust consumer demand and income growth, supporting economic expansion and upward pressure on inflation — possibly endorsing higher rates.
Lower than forecast: Suggests softer consumer demand that may reduce inflation risks, supporting a more cautious or dovish Fed stance.
Prelim Wholesale Inventories:
Reflects business stock levels; significant deviations can signal changing demand expectations. Higher inventories might suggest slowing demand.
Chicago PMI (manufacturing activity):
Above forecast: Signifies stronger manufacturing sector, possibly bolstering rate hikes.
Below forecast: Points to cooling manufacturing, possibly tempering Fed tightening plans.
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment & Inflation Expectations:
Influences Fed’s view on future consumer behavior and inflation psychology. Higher inflation expectations may push for tighter policy.
Core PCE Effect on FOMC Rate Decision
The Core PCE Price Index is the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, excluding volatile food and energy prices.
The Fed targets roughly 2% inflation; sustained readings above target pressure the Fed to raise or hold interest rates higher to rein in inflation.
Conversely, Core PCE below or moving toward the target may allow the Fed to pause or ease rates
Even small monthly changes (like the forecast of 0.3%) are scrutinized for trend direction to guide future policy.
If Core PCE grows faster than forecast consistently, the Fed is more likely to signal tighter monetary policy in upcoming meetings.
Summary:
The Fed interprets stronger-than-expected inflation, income, and spending data as a green light to maintain or increase rates.
Weaker data than forecasts could tilt the Fed toward a more accommodative stance.
Core PCE, as the inflation benchmark, is the overriding influence on FOMC decisions.
Market participants watch Core PCE closely as a key signal for rate hikes, holds, or cuts.
TRADING IS 100% PROBABILTY AND KEY LEVEL CAN FAIL.
MANAGE YOUR RISK
FOCUS ON LOW RISK HIGH REWARD TRADES
HUNTER MINDSET AND PRECISION IS KEY.
GOODLUCK
Day 19 — Trading Only S&P Futures | Lessons From a Red DayWelcome to Day 19 of Trading Only S&P Futures!
Not every day is green — today I finished -630.
I’ve realized something important: my trading performance may be tied directly to my routine and supplements. Since I injured my back, I’ve been on painkillers and haven’t taken my usual supplement stack. Today I felt distracted, unfocused, and off my game — even though the setups were there, I just couldn’t execute with clarity.
It’s a reminder that trading isn’t just charts and signals — your health, focus, and routines matter just as much as strategy.
📰 News Highlights
U.S. Q2 GDP RISES +3.3%, EST. +3.0%; PREV. -0.5%
🔑 Key Levels for Tomorrow
Above 6485 = Remain Bullish
Below 6460 = Flip Bearish
PCE can set the toneThe PCE can set the tone for the Friday price action in the S&P 500 stock index. This number important to the Fed and important for the markets Outlook going forward in terms of potential Fed action. The next objective to the upside would be a close above 6530 going into the weekend.
PENDLE Buy Prices For a DCA Strategy & Fib Take Profit TargetsPENDLE is a great coin for this Bull run, which I think can easily push up to $10 - $20.
In this video, I cover where I'm placing limit buy orders below to dollar cost average in and build a bigger position, while lowering my overall cost.
Then we'll look at a few reasons why, showing that PENDLE is oversold and likely to push higher here, and into AltSeason.
I'm also sharing my 4 Take Profit Targets of $7 (Previous ATH), and the Fib Targets of $10 (F1.618), $15 (F2.618) and $20 (F3.618) as well as hold a Moonbag in case Pendle Moons!
We're up 70% on PENDLE already since recommending it in July and expect higher targets in the coming weeks and months, into the Bull Peak.
What are your thoughts and comments?
- Brett
How and why Silver May Overshoot Well Beyond 50 by 2026A description of silver price anomalies. Info is in video-only thing to add is we are going onour 6th consecutive year of silver structural demand deficits. The odds of a massive upside move intensify exponentially day to day at this point.
Do your own research
Binance Coin - The ultimate bullish breakout!🛸Binance Coin ( CRYPTO:BNBUSD ) finally breaks out:
🔎Analysis summary:
After a very long term consolidation of about five years, we are finally witnessing an overall breakout on Binance Coin. This means that we saw a lot of bullish pressure building up, which will soon unleash a parabolic rally. Even though it looks obvious, we still have to manage risk.
📝Levels to watch:
$1.000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Ethereum - Here comes the final breakout!🚀Ethereum ( CRYPTO:ETHUSD ) breaks the all time high:
🔎Analysis summary:
Finally, after a consolidation of about four years, Ethereum is back at the previous all time high. With the recent rally of more than +200%, bulls are flexing their muscles, preparing the breakout. So far, everything is playing out according to plan with new all time highs soon.
📝Levels to watch:
$5.000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Nasdaq - Preparing for another correction!🚔Nasdaq ( TVC:NDQ ) is starting to look weak:
🔎Analysis summary:
Over the course of the past couple of months, we witnessed an incredible rally on the Nasdaq. Following this previous price action, it is quite likely that we will soon see another correction. This could start with the current retest of the channel resistance trendline.
📝Levels to watch:
$23.000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Natural Gas New Bull Market? Natural Gas surging to the upside today on strong inventory data.
The weekly candle on Nat gas is shaping up to be a bullish weekly engulfing.
If this occurs it would be a very strong pivot to trade off of and likely means continued upside.
We trimmed some profits today but are still heavily invested in Nat Gas resource stocks.
Chart patterns on all resource stocks suggest more upside.