NOV.9,2025 ANALYSIS ON DXY, BTC, NAS100, SPX500, XAUUSD & XAGUSDDXY CAUTION trading Below 55 EMA on 4H however 4H divergence at support zone is promising for uptrend continuation. Trend is still up on the daily chart and currently getting push back from the 200SMA. There are indicators supporting uptrend continuation such as the MACD histogram still up on weekly chart and unconfirmed RSI Bullish divergence on the 4H timeframe. A breakdown below 99.029 could target the 98.700 level next. However if the current support holds then our next target is 100.608 for the coming week and confirmation signal is a candle open and close above the 55 EMA on the 4H timeframe.
BTC BEARISH SIDEWAYS consolidating on the weekly 55 EMA support. While the weekly 55 EMA has acted as a support during previous rallies on BTC, I think this time is different until proven otherwise by the chart as there is no RSI divergence, MACD momentum signal similar to previous signals on the current weekly chart. A breakdown of the 55 EMA on the weekly chart is very likely to reach the triple tops target of $88,016. Trade cautiously until we breakout of the daily sideways channel described in the video presentation.
NAS100 & SP500 BEARISH with 4H mom trending down. There is a support on the daily 55 EMA or weekly 9 EMA, but evidence supporting the bearish case is the MACD crossover and bearish histogram bars on daily charts. Weekly MACD and RSI signals serious divergences since July, 2025. My conclusion is that based on Bullish engulfing candle on 4H, I think there will be a bounce to the rise targets on the charts before dumping.
GOLD & SILVER SIDEWAYS: both consolidating in a pennant triangle on the 12H timeframe and I suggest it's best to wait for a breakout of the triangle for either a re-test of the all time highs to create a weekly divergence on the indicators or below the pennant triangle lows for the lower targets.
I did also examine the US10Y Yields as it affects both the dollar index and the equites market. The US10Y Yield seem to have bottomed it's downtrend on the 4H chart and currently consolidating above the 200 EMA and 55 EMA. I will be monitoring an uptick or a breakdown from this support zone.
These are my observation on the market this week and I thank you for visiting my publications.
Please give the publication a boost, comment with your insights and share with a trader you care about. They will thank you when it saves them from a bad trade or a missed opportunity. Have a profitable and great trading week. Cheers .
Chart Patterns
CADJPY – Update & ExecutionYesterday, our CADJPY position was stopped out at 111.65. The trend-changing pattern between Wave 3 and Wave 4 remains valid.
The wave that broke the Wave 3 structure extended beyond expectations, and price has now confirmed a breakdown with a second lower low on the M5 timeframe.
We have re-entered short at 111.94, with a stop loss at the high of the day (112.28).
Our target remains 110.92.
How To Catch The Pullback - Part 1Forex ticker: OANDA:EURJPY OANDA:USDJPY OANDA:AUDJPY OANDA:CADJPY
Step 1 — Interpret MACD Colors Only (Bullish Table)
Given:
• 1H: Light Green 🟢
• 4H: Light Green 🟢
• Daily: Dark Green 🟢 + Rising Three Soldiers
From the Bullish MACD Table:
Daily
4H
1H
Interpretation
Probability
🟢 Dark Green
🟢 Light Green
🟢 Light Green
Daily regaining strength, intraday momentum accelerating
🟠 75-85%
MACD-only base probability: 75-85% (High)
Step 2 — Add Candlestick Pattern
Given Pattern:
• Daily: Rising Three Soldiers + Dark Green MACD
From Bullish Candlestick Table:
Daily - Rising Three Soldiers + Dark Green:
Three White Soldiers + 🟢 Daily + 🟢 4H + 🟢 1H → 95% base → 99% final
Since your 4H and 1H are Light Green (not full Dark Green), the probability
adjusts slightly but remains very high due to the strength of the Rising Three Soldiers pattern.
Step 3 — Combine for Final Probability
This is a very strong bullish setup:
Strengths:
• Strong MACD alignment: Daily Dark Green (maximum momentum), 4H & 1H Light Green (bullish momentum building)
• Powerful bullish pattern: Rising Three Soldiers on Daily (strongest pattern in your system)
• Good confluence across all timeframes
• All timeframes aligned bullish
Final Probability:
🔥 90-95% (Very High)
Trade Insight:
This represents a high-probability bullish continuation setup because:
• Daily shows maximum bullish momentum with the strongest pattern (Rising Three Soldiers)
• 4H and 1H confirm with bullish momentum (Light Green)
• Rising Three Soldiers indicates sustained buying pressure across multiple
sessions
• Perfect setup for continued upward movement
Action:
Excellent long entry - strong setup:
• Enter on any pullback toward Daily Rising Three Soldiers support
• Add positions on break above recent highs
• Place stops below the Daily Rising Three Soldiers pattern low
• Expect strong upward continuation
This is a high-confidence bullish trade with the strongest pattern (Rising Three Soldiers) aligned with solid momentum across all timeframes. The Daily pattern
provides exceptional bullish conviction that overrides the slightly weaker momentum on lower timeframes.
Rocket Boost this content to learn more
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also use a simulation trading account
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NAS100 Bullish Structure Break with Key Fibonacci Level in PlayThe NAS100 is now showing clear signs of strength, with a solid bullish move and a confirmed break of structure on the 4-hour timeframe 🚀. With this shift, the focus turns to how price behaves on the pullback.
The main level of interest is the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the current swing. A buy setup becomes valid only if price retraces and holds above the 61.8 level 🔥. Holding above this zone would indicate a shallow pullback — a strong sign that buyers are stepping in aggressively and maintaining control.
If price respects the 61.8 and then breaks structure to the upside again, that’s the confirmation needed to look for long opportunities 📊.
However, if price breaks below the 61.8 level, the idea is invalidated and should be abandoned. A deeper retracement may signal weakness, although it could also be a smart-money liquidity run before a continuation — either way, the priority is to see momentum hold above 61.8 to keep the bullish narrative intact ⚠️.
Not financial advice.
'Sell Japan' trade opens door to 160 USDJPY on fiscal concernsUSDJPY has ripped through 157 with RSI pushing near extreme overbought, and the pair is now magnetised towards a key Fibonacci and prior-high cluster around 158.70–159.
In this video, I break down how the FOMC minutes maintained the recent status quo from the Fed, while blockbuster Nvidia earnings and Japan’s significant new stimulus package have combined to drive the latest leg of the USD/JPY rally. On the chart, the focus is a completed triangle breakout above 155 and an upside trajectory toward 158.70, 160 and potentially the 162 high reached in 2024.
Key drivers
Fed minutes offer no signals that policymakers should cut in December, keeping US yields and the dollar supported.
Nvidia’s earnings beat and guidance have boosted risk appetite and underpinned broad USD strength.
Japan is finalising a ¥17–21 trillion stimulus package, stoking fiscal concerns and encouraging a “sell Japan” trade that weakens the yen.
USDJPY has broken out our prior target of 155 from a triangle pattern, with Fibonacci projections and prior highs aligning around 158.70–159, then 160–162.
If you find this USDJPY roadmap useful, drop your trade levels in the comments and follow for more Fibonacci-based, fundamentals-plus-technical setups in real time.
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
GBPJPY –Trades Breakdown | 5.82R TP Hit + New 7.3R Trade RunningIn this video, I break down two GBPJPY trades I took:
✔️ Trade #1:
I entered long and held the position for 1.5 weeks, riding the structure all the way to my target.
The trade reached Take Profit with a 5.82 R:R, exactly as planned.
✔️ Trade #2:
Yesterday, I entered a new long setup with a 7.3 R:R.
This position is currently running in profit, and I’m waiting for price to continue toward my next liquidity target.
I explain my logic step-by-step: liquidity grabs, structure shifts, Wolf levels, and why I’m targeting higher levels as long as bullish structure holds.
📈 Simple explanation.
🎯 Clear entries.
📊 Clean risk management.
🔥 High-probability setups.
Let me know your thoughts or if you want the full chart breakdown.
Ethereum - Another -30% correction!🥊Ethereum ( CRYPTO:ETHUSD ) continues the bearmarket:
🔎Analysis summary:
Just over the past couple of weeks, Ethereum has already been correcting about -40%. This happened due to another failed all time high breakout sending prices lower. And Ethereum can drop another -30% before it will then retest a major confluence of support.
📝Levels to watch:
$2,500 and $ 2,000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Amd - Here comes the major reversal!👺Amd ( NASDAQ:AMD ) is reversing right now:
🔎Analysis summary:
Over the course of the past couple of months, we witnessed a very expected rally on Amd of about +250%. But right now, Amd is retesting a major resistance trendline. If we actually see bearish confirmation in the near future, the next bearmarket will start quite soon.
📝Levels to watch:
$250
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Day 73 — Perfect Rejection at the 2-Hour MOB | S&P Futures TradiEnded the day +$529.40 trading S&P Futures. Today was a solid bounce back, with the morning analysis playing out almost perfectly. I managed to catch the top of the day and ride the momentum down right as we rejected the 2-hour MOB. It felt good to be in sync with the market structure, especially with the volatility leading up to the Nvidia earnings release. The signals were clean, the execution was sharp, and it was just one of those days where the plan came together.
🔑 Key Levels for Tomorrow
Above 6725 = Bullish Below 6710 = Bearish
📰 News Highlights
NVIDIA SHARES JUMP 5% AFTER 4Q REVENUE OUTLOOK TOPS ESTIMATE
Micron Technology - The end will come soon!✂️Micron Technology ( NASDAQ:MU ) will create a top soon:
🔎Analysis summary:
Starting back in mid 2025, Micron Technology retested a major confluence of support. This retest was followed by an expected rally of about +250%. But soon, Micron Technology will create a short term top formation, followed by a healthy correction towards the downside.
📝Levels to watch:
$250
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Nvidia: Downside Pressure Nvidia has recently faced notable downward pressure, but so far has managed to hold above the support level at $176.21. As a result, we continue to anticipate an imminent rally as part of the beige wave V, which should lift the stock into the now-red Target Zone between $227.38 and $260.60. However, if the stock immediately drops below the $176.21 mark, we would expect a new low for the beige wave alt.IV, with the lower $145.50 level still likely to hold.
ETHEREUM Thoughts - Potential Bottom front running the majority CRYPTOCAP:ETH has experienced a blood bath this month but I believe a potential bottom could be forming here. It really relies on several factors:
- CRYPTOCAP:BTC
- NASDAQ:NVDA
- Market wide sentiment
However, through technical analysis and hours of staring at this chart the past few weeks, I am spotting some interesting signs of life for a true bounce. I detail those in my video.
Spoiler Alert: Looks like a STRONG BULLISH DIVERGENCE is forming on the CRYPTOCAP:ETH daily chart - lets pay attention and see if the NASDAQ:NVDA earnings affect the price like I think it may...
CRYPTO IN REVERSAL TERRITORY!The market is dumping, sentiment is bearish, and everyone thinks we’re heading into a full breakdown — which is EXACTLY why I’m getting more bullish. STOP LISTENING TO CRYPTO INFLUENCERS!
The charts are telling a story…
And it’s the opposite of what the crowd believes.
In today’s video I break down:
-Why the current narrative is the biggest signal of a reversal
-ETH’s structure and what a bounce would look like
-BTC downside targets
-TOTAL market cap showing hidden bullish strength
-My Top 2 Coins to Buy Right Now
⚠️ Disclaimer:
I am not a financial advisor. The content shared on this channel is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
Trading and investing in cryptocurrency involve high risk — you could lose some, or all, of your money. Always do your own research and make sure you understand the risks before making any financial decisions.
This is a very tough market/ a look at gold and silver and dxyOctober 19th I'm sure most people listening to this are also listening to their favorite show that helps them make a decision about the markets and the more services you start to look at the more confused you will be. Personally I'm spending very little time looking at the market but I try to take a quick glance of it either at the middle or beginning of the current day and then I can determine whether the market looks interesting or not. However the pattern on Bitcoin which I do not trade is the setup I would be looking for the markets that I would be looking to trade. Bitcoin is taking a little bit of a drawdown and there's a lot of information out there saying that Bitcoin is in trouble.... Probably from people who trade gold and silver///so you have to be careful of other people's biases.... But it will probably be tradable tomorrow on Bitcoin defined a reversal pattern going higher.... And you should be able to take a trade with a very small stop but you want to let the market come to you if you don't see a 2 bar reversal indicating that Bitcoin is going to go higher you can't take the trade.
NVDA Earnings, FOMC Minutes, US Non-Farm OH MY!!!All eyes on NVDA and earnings - they matter (a lot)
More important than a beat or miss is the price action around NVDA earnings
-bulls have a long ways to go to reclaim all-time highs
-bears have pressured NVDA enough that it seems like major support could break
FOMC Minutes today
-CME Fed Watch Tool is literally 50/50 on the December rate cut outlook
-if the FED doesn't cut in December, they will likely be cutting in early 2026
US Employment Data
-Remember Non-Farm Payroll? Well it's back with a Thursday release
-58k forecasted, 4.3% unemployment forecasted
-let's see how the release is taken by the markets
Although it feels like "the brink" in many ways, my thoughts as expressed in the video
are I believe the market can win both ways and just provide wild volatility but no real direction or follow through. Negative sentiment is truly awful and it rarely rewards the bears with a sustainable down move. Seasonality is expected but perhaps bulls have grown too complacent. Therefore, the market is comfortable making everybody uncomfortable
More to come later this week when the smoke clears or the dust settles
Thanks for watching!!!
CP
Review and plan for 20th November 2025 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
Short term ideas included.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Pop and drop part deuxLooks like that is possible, although right now it definitely feels more bullish than not. I think the market will be choppy the next few days at least. Gold is at resistance. VIX looks like an ABC forming. Oil falling but likely a test of the bottom before a rally. BTC could get to 92500 but it will find resistance there. Good luck!






















