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Bitcoin - Road to $150k or Bust!Bitcoin - Road to $150k or Bust! In this video I describe my of predictions along the logarithmic chart as you can see here with a bit stamp price since the beginning of time as far as we can go back, I estimated that bitcoin would probably see appropriately $150,000 price by the end of this cycle, which could extend almost to the new beginning of 2026,. Although I wouldn't follow myself into these trades per se, I have a more than optimistic outlook from bitcoin and all these other tokens in the world. Bitcoin has no problem achieving $300,000 by next cycle according to pre-existing variables that we can already somewhat predict on a level with some degree of accuracy, the volatility here will be something of unbelievable proportions, in 2 1/2 years from now when I tell you that bitcoin is at an all-time low at around the steady price of $42-$38,000, you'll probably look at me like I'm crazy, but within 4 1/2 years from now, we could genuinely see that $300,000 price or at least a $250,000 price. No I could talk about this forever, hypothesize, watch my previous video, took much longer expected to reach 125,000 I thought we were gonna do it like six or seven months ago, the cycle has not been as exciting as the previous. Don't give up by Solana, buy XRP,
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by EMJ123
ETHUSDT Ethereum Price Action (October 2025) As of October 12, 2025, Ethereum (ETH) is trading around $3,749.22, down about 2.25% from $3,835.63 on October 11, 2025. ETH has experienced significant volatility recently, with highs above $4,500 observed in early October before correcting downward. Over the past year, Ethereum has risen approximately 54%, from $2,435.71 one year ago to current levels near $3,749. Short-term price support is around $3,700, while resistance lies between $4,100 and $4,600. The price action is characterized by retracements after strong rallies Moving averages indicate a mixed outlook: the 50-day average is higher near $4,399 while the 200-day average sits around $3,097, suggesting medium-term bullish momentum but near-term corrections. Recent Trends Ethereum price surged early October reaching over $4,500 driven by anticipation of the Fusaka upgrade, institutional adoption, and general market optimism. Sell-offs following the rally have brought the price back to lower levels, typical of profit-taking amid volatile crypto markets.
Long
by Shavyfxhub
AUDCHF The SNB’s key policy interest rate is currently 0.00% This rate is the lowest among major central banks and reflects SNB’s cautious stance amid a fragile global economic context and trade tensions. Head of SNB The Chairman of the Governing Board (equivalent to head of SNB) is Martin Schlegel, who assumed office on October 1, 2024. Schlegel has a strong background in economics and central banking, previously serving as Vice-Chairman and a close ally to his predecessor Thomas Jordan. His leadership is expected to continue monetary policy continuity while addressing financial stability issues, especially after the 2023 Credit Suisse crisis. Economic Outlook The SNB notes inflation pressures have practically remained unchanged recently at about 1.1%, within its price stability goals. The Swiss economy faces uncertainty due in part to increased tariffs from the U.S. (up to 39%), impacting exports and trade. SNB emphasizes maintaining price stability while fostering steady economic growth. Inflation is currently low but monitored carefully amid global risks such as U.S. trade policies and economic developments. Financial stability concerns also remain a focus post-Credit Suisse and UBS merger. SNB RATE =0.00% CH10Y=0.245% The current cash rate set by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) as of October 2025 is 3.60%. The RBA has held this rate steady at recent meetings amid a cautious outlook on inflation and economic growth. The Governor of the RBA is Michele Bullock, who commenced her role on September 18, 2023. She previously served as Deputy Governor and held various senior positions within the RBA. Michele Bullock is known for her focus on price stability and full employment and is actively engaged in monetary policy formulation and financial regulation. RBA =3.60% AU10Y=4.319% BOND YIELD DIFFERENTIAL = 4.319%-0.245%=4.074% INTEREST RATE DIFFERENTIAL = 3.60%-0.0%=3.6% THE YIELD AND INTEREST RATE IN FAVOUR OF AUD BUT THE PAIR REMAINS BEARISH. Why is AUDCHF Bearish Despite Favorable Bond Yield and Interest Rate Differential for AUD? Despite Australia having higher bond yields and interest rates relative to Switzerland, AUDCHF is bearish due to several key factors: 1. Safe Haven Demand for CHF The Swiss Franc (CHF) is traditionally a safe haven currency. In times of global geopolitical uncertainty, market volatility, or risk aversion, investors flock to CHF, strengthening it even when Australian fundamentals appear stronger. Recent tensions and global uncertainty have intensified demand for CHF, offsetting AUD’s yield advantage. 2. Swiss Economic Stability Switzerland shows relatively stable inflation and retail sales growth, supporting confidence in CHF holdings. The Swiss National Bank (SNB) maintains a cautious approach but secure economic fundamentals bolster CHF against riskier currencies. 3. Commodity Price Headwinds Australia’s currency is heavily tied to commodity exports like iron ore and coal. Moderation or declines in commodity prices weigh on AUD, undermining the yield advantage. The AUD suffers when commodity markets are weak or show signs of slowing demand. 4. RBA Rate Pause and Housing Market Slowdown The Reserve Bank of Australia has paused or signaled caution in rate hikes after several moves, limiting further interest rate support for AUD. The Australian housing market growth is slowing, suggesting domestic economic momentum may be weakening. 5. Technical and Market Sentiment Technical analysis shows AUDCHF is in a bearish trend with supply zones holding strong and resistance keeping the pair contained below certain levels. Market sentiment remains cautious on AUDCHF due to the above macro risks and safe haven flows into CHF. The bearish AUDCHF despite favorable interest rate differentials reflects a mix of safe haven CHF flows, stable Swiss economy, commodity price pressure on AUD, and market technical factors. The yield advantage alone is insufficient to overcome these headwinds currently. #AUDCHF #AU10Y #CH10Y
Short
by Shavyfxhub
XRP XRPUSDTXRP Use Case and Market Direction XRP Use Case Cross-Border Payments: XRP is primarily used as a bridge currency in Ripple’s payment network (RippleNet) to facilitate fast, low-cost cross-border remittances and liquidity management between financial institutions globally. Liquidity On-Demand: XRP provides liquidity on demand, allowing banks and payment providers to avoid holding large pre-funded accounts in foreign currencies. Speed and Cost Efficiency: XRP transactions settle in 3-5 seconds with very low transaction fees, significantly faster and cheaper than traditional correspondent banking systems. Interoperability: XRP supports interoperability between different fiat currencies and payment rails, improving global payment network efficiency. Use in Emerging Markets: Particularly valuable in regions with underdeveloped banking infrastructure, enabling greater financial inclusion. ETF Approval Prospects: Pending or potential approval of a spot XRP ETF could unlock substantial institutional investment, providing positive price momentum. Partnership Expansion: Ripple continually expanding partnerships with financial institutions worldwide strengthens XRP’s fundamental utility and demand. Market Volatility: XRP is subject to volatility tied to broader crypto market swings, regulatory news, and geopolitical developments. Price Outlook: With favorable regulatory outcomes and ETF approvals, XRP could see sustained growth and wider adoption, potentially reaching $4 or higher by the end of 2025, while adverse rulings could weigh on price. The SEC has historically delayed approvals for XRP ETFs due to ongoing legal and regulatory scrutiny surrounding XRP and Ripple Labs. XRP remains under a cloud of regulatory uncertainty in the U.S., which has slowed ETF approvals. However, there has been ongoing pressure for the SEC to provide clearer guidance or approve spot XRP ETFs. Market anticipation remains high as recent developments in Ripple’s legal cases and broader SEC crypto ETF transparency could pave the way for eventual approval. KEY SUPPORT ZONE WITH WICK REJECTION. 3MONTHS SUPPORT @0.9735$-0.9614 $ 6MONTH SUPPORT ZONE @0.8647$-0.8282 ANOTHER KEY SUPPORT @0.5783$ NOTE IF THE SEC APPROVES THE ETF ...ITS GOING TO THE MOON. #XRP #XRPUSDT
Long
by Shavyfxhub
SOLANA SOLUSDTSolana (SOL) ETF PENDING There is widespread optimism that the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) will approve a spot Solana ETF in 2025. Multiple filings from major firms like VanEck, Fidelity, Grayscale, Canary, and Franklin Templeton are under review. Analysts put the approval odds high ,anticipating billions in new institutional inflows that could boost SOL’s price significantly to over 500$ The REX-Osprey Solana Staking ETF (SSK) launched in July 2025 has shown strong investor interest, demonstrating early institutional appetite. However, progress has been delayed due to the partial U.S. government shutdown starting October 1, 2025. The SEC has halted many normal functions, including ETF approvals, causing uncertainty and delaying final decisions. Reasons for the Drop This Week FROM 214.62 after the break of the neckline of the double top structure on daily time frame and on the retest we sell key support will be the daily pivotal and psychological support floor at 86.86-84$ zone US Government Shutdown Impact: The ongoing partial US government shutdown since October 1, 2025, has caused delays in regulatory decisions, including ETF approvals that many expect to boost Solana. This uncertainty hit investor sentiment and liquidity. Broader Crypto Market Volatility: General weakness in the cryptocurrency market amid geopolitical tensions, US-China trade conflicts, and macroeconomic uncertainty have pressured crypto prices, including SOL. Profit Taking After Recent Rallies: After significant gains approaching the yearly highs, some investors took profits, leading to sell-offs and price corrections. ETF Approval Delay: The anticipation of a Solana spot ETF approval has fueled recent rallies. With delays caused by regulatory pauses, the momentum stalled, feeding into the price drop. Analysts expect approval likely once the government reopens and regulatory processes resume. #sol #solusdt #crypto #btc #ethusdt
Long
by Shavyfxhub
DOLLAR INDEX DXY The US Dollar Index (DXY) recently traded around 98.85 on October 10, 2025, experiencing a slight decline after a daily rejection from a supply roof @ 99.516 the dxy is standing on a daily support structure and lack momentum after the FOMC MEETING , the federal reserve under the chairman control of sir, Jerome Powell cut cut rate by 25basis point from 4.25%-4.5% to 4.0%-4.25%. The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 28-29, 2025. During this two-day meeting, the committee will discuss and decide on U.S. monetary policy, including the federal funds rate. Federal Funds Rate Decision Outlook: The Fed is widely expected to cut the federal funds rate during this meeting to support economic growth amid recent uncertainties. The current federal funds rate stands at a range of 4.00% to 4.25%. previous 4.25%-4.5% representing a 25basis point cut . The exact size of the new rate cut and forward guidance will depend on economic data and conditions leading up to the meeting. key Economic data tools used by FEDS . These indicators help the Fed assess the state of the economy, inflationary pressures, employment levels, and overall growth, enabling it to set appropriate monetary policy. (1)Inflation Measures Consumer Price Index (CPI): Measures the average change in prices paid by consumers for goods and services. (2)Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index: The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge that measures changes in prices for goods and services consumed by individuals, especially the core PCE excluding volatile food and energy prices. (3)Employment Data Non-Farm Payrolls: Monthly report on the number of jobs added or lost in the economy, excluding farms. It's a primary gauge of labor market health. (4)Unemployment Rate: Percentage of the labor force that is unemployed and looking for work. Labor Force Participation Rate: Measures the percentage of working-age population active in the labor market. (5)Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Measures the overall economic output and growth. The Fed looks at quarterly GDP data to understand economic momentum. (6)Retail Sales and Consumer Spending Consumer spending accounts for a large portion of economic activity; strong spending may indicate economic strength, influencing Fed decisions. (7)Manufacturing and Service Sector Data Reports like the ISM Manufacturing and Non-Manufacturing Indices provide insight into business activity. Wage Growth and Productivity Rising wages can signal inflationary pressures, while productivity affects economic efficiency. (8)Stock market trends, bond yields (e.g., 10-year Treasury yield), and credit market conditions also influence the Fed’s outlook. (9)JOHN TYLOR RULE. The Federal Reserve looks at the Taylor Rule during rate decision-making because it provides a systematic, rules-based framework that links key economic variables to the appropriate level of the federal funds rate. the rule helps policymakers gauge whether monetary policy is too tight, too loose, or appropriate based on inflation and economic output. Why the Fed Considers the Taylor Rule: Framework for Monetary Policy: The Taylor Rule offers a clear formula that relates the federal funds rate to inflation deviations from the target (usually 2%) and the output gap (difference between actual GDP and potential GDP). This helps the Fed set interest rates consistent with its goals of stable prices and maximum employment. Balancing Inflation and Growth: The rule suggests raising interest rates when inflation is above target or the economy is growing too rapidly (closing output gap), which can prevent overheating and inflationary pressures. Conversely, it recommends lowering rates when inflation is below target or growth is sluggish, supporting economic expansion. Rule vs. Discretion: While the Fed retains discretion, the Taylor Rule enhances transparency and predictability in policy decisions, providing a benchmark for evaluating whether current rates align with economic conditions. Historical Relevance: The Taylor Rule has been found to approximate the Fed’s policy stance over several decades and helps discipline monetary policy amid economic fluctuations. Policy Communication: It aids clear communication to markets and the public about the rationale behind rate moves, reducing uncertainty. Summary The DXY reflects the value of the US dollar versus a basket of six major currencies, with the euro composing about 57.6% of the index followed by the Japanese yen, British pound, Canadian dollar, Swedish krona, and Swiss franc. The US 10-Year Treasury Yield (US10Y) is currently around 4.058% daily open 4.1375 daily close 4.058%, representing the yield investors receive on US government debt with a 10-year maturity. The yield level is a significant driver of financial markets and often correlates with the strength of the US dollar. Relationship Generally, a higher US10Y yield tends to support a stronger DXY because higher yields attract international capital, increasing demand for the US dollar. Movements in DXY and US10Y can also be affected by geopolitical risks, monetary policy expectations, and macroeconomic data, leading to short-term deviations. THE DXY AND US10Y ARE YOUR TRADING BAROMETER AS A TRADER. WHEN DXY IS UP EURUSD,AUUSD,USDJPY,USDZAR,USDCAD,NZDUSD,GBPUSD,THEY GO DOWN BECAUSE OF INTERNAL CARRY TRADE ACTIVITIES, BOND YILED AND INTEREST RATE DIFFERENTIAL IN THE FX WINDOW. WE NEED INSIGHT INTO THE BIS (BANK OF INTERNATIONAL SETTLEMENT TRANSACTION ACTIVITIES TOO. FOREX IS EDUCATION 100%. RISK MANAGEMNET 100% PROBABILITY BASED ON ECONOMIC DATA AND FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS. #DXY #US10Y #DOLLAR #BOND #YIELD. GOODLUCK
TVC:DXYLong
by Shavyfxhub
EURCAD +3% Trade Recap 10.10.25 In this recap I break down my EURCAD short position I took yesterday morning. I fully forecast this setup in the morning as per my forecast video, and then executed later that day. Manually closing for just under 3% profit at the intended target. Full explanation as to why I executed on this position, using the 4H to my advantage but also understanding price was due a deeper pullback, but these pullbacks do not always happen. Any questions you have just drop them below 👇
by JordanWillson
14
BITCOIN BTCUSDT The bitcoin daily loss is part of trading strategy, gains and losses is what comes with trading any instrument. Macroeconomic Jitters Intensify Crypto Volatility as Global risk sentiment turned sharply negative after the U.S. announced new 100% tariffs on Chinese tech imports, reigniting fears of a prolonged trade conflict. the current crypto downturn reflects a complex mix of macroeconomic headwinds, leveraged liquidations, and cooling sentiment after record-breaking highs. key demand floors 107,829-107,500 key demand floor is 100,067 break and close sell into next demand structure. key demand floor 98,849-98,733 key demand floor 94400-93760 #bitcoin #btc
by Shavyfxhub
XAUUSD🟡 XAUUSD Trade Breakdown — 1:6.83 Risk-to-Reward Setup I took this Gold (XAUUSD) trade with an entry at $3,966, a stop loss at $3,947, and a take profit target at $4,098. This setup offered a 6.83x risk-to-reward ratio, meaning my potential reward was nearly seven times greater than my risk. The trade was based on clean price structure and momentum confirmation. After entry, price has already moved in favor and is now trading around $4,016, showing solid momentum toward my target. Risk management was key here — a tight stop below structure, a well-defined entry zone, and a clear target aligned with higher timeframe resistance. Whether this trade fully hits TP or not, it’s a great example of why strong risk/reward setups matter more than win rate. 📊 Trade Details: Pair: XAUUSD (Gold) Entry: $3,966 Stop Loss: $3,947 Take Profit: $4,098 Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:6.83 Current Price: $4,016 💡 Lesson: Focus on setups that give you asymmetric risk — small loss potential, big reward potential.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by IvsWolf