Chart Patterns
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
SOLANA SOLUSDTSolana (SOL) ETF PENDING
There is widespread optimism that the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) will approve a spot Solana ETF in 2025. Multiple filings from major firms like VanEck, Fidelity, Grayscale, Canary, and Franklin Templeton are under review.
Analysts put the approval odds high ,anticipating billions in new institutional inflows that could boost SOL’s price significantly to over 500$
The REX-Osprey Solana Staking ETF (SSK) launched in July 2025 has shown strong investor interest, demonstrating early institutional appetite.
However, progress has been delayed due to the partial U.S. government shutdown starting October 1, 2025. The SEC has halted many normal functions, including ETF approvals, causing uncertainty and delaying final decisions.
Reasons for the Drop This Week FROM 214.62 after the break of the neckline of the double top structure on daily time frame and on the retest we sell
key support will be the daily pivotal and psychological support floor at 86.86-84$ zone
US Government Shutdown Impact:
The ongoing partial US government shutdown since October 1, 2025, has caused delays in regulatory decisions, including ETF approvals that many expect to boost Solana. This uncertainty hit investor sentiment and liquidity.
Broader Crypto Market Volatility:
General weakness in the cryptocurrency market amid geopolitical tensions, US-China trade conflicts, and macroeconomic uncertainty have pressured crypto prices, including SOL.
Profit Taking After Recent Rallies:
After significant gains approaching the yearly highs, some investors took profits, leading to sell-offs and price corrections.
ETF Approval Delay:
The anticipation of a Solana spot ETF approval has fueled recent rallies. With delays caused by regulatory pauses, the momentum stalled, feeding into the price drop.
Analysts expect approval likely once the government reopens and regulatory processes resume.
#sol #solusdt #crypto #btc #ethusdt
DOLLAR INDEX DXY The US Dollar Index (DXY) recently traded around 98.85 on October 10, 2025, experiencing a slight decline after a daily rejection from a supply roof @ 99.516 the dxy is standing on a daily support structure and lack momentum after the FOMC MEETING , the federal reserve under the chairman control of sir, Jerome Powell cut cut rate by 25basis point from 4.25%-4.5% to 4.0%-4.25%.
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 28-29, 2025. During this two-day meeting, the committee will discuss and decide on U.S. monetary policy, including the federal funds rate.
Federal Funds Rate Decision Outlook:
The Fed is widely expected to cut the federal funds rate during this meeting to support economic growth amid recent uncertainties.
The current federal funds rate stands at a range of 4.00% to 4.25%. previous 4.25%-4.5% representing a 25basis point cut .
The exact size of the new rate cut and forward guidance will depend on economic data and conditions leading up to the meeting.
key Economic data tools used by FEDS .
These indicators help the Fed assess the state of the economy, inflationary pressures, employment levels, and overall growth, enabling it to set appropriate monetary policy.
(1)Inflation Measures
Consumer Price Index (CPI): Measures the average change in prices paid by consumers for goods and services.
(2)Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index: The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge that measures changes in prices for goods and services consumed by individuals, especially the core PCE excluding volatile food and energy prices.
(3)Employment Data
Non-Farm Payrolls: Monthly report on the number of jobs added or lost in the economy, excluding farms. It's a primary gauge of labor market health.
(4)Unemployment Rate: Percentage of the labor force that is unemployed and looking for work.
Labor Force Participation Rate: Measures the percentage of working-age population active in the labor market.
(5)Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
Measures the overall economic output and growth. The Fed looks at quarterly GDP data to understand economic momentum.
(6)Retail Sales and Consumer Spending
Consumer spending accounts for a large portion of economic activity; strong spending may indicate economic strength, influencing Fed decisions.
(7)Manufacturing and Service Sector Data
Reports like the ISM Manufacturing and Non-Manufacturing Indices provide insight into business activity.
Wage Growth and Productivity
Rising wages can signal inflationary pressures, while productivity affects economic efficiency.
(8)Stock market trends, bond yields (e.g., 10-year Treasury yield), and credit market conditions also influence the Fed’s outlook.
(9)JOHN TYLOR RULE.
The Federal Reserve looks at the Taylor Rule during rate decision-making because it provides a systematic, rules-based framework that links key economic variables to the appropriate level of the federal funds rate. the rule helps policymakers gauge whether monetary policy is too tight, too loose, or appropriate based on inflation and economic output.
Why the Fed Considers the Taylor Rule:
Framework for Monetary Policy:
The Taylor Rule offers a clear formula that relates the federal funds rate to inflation deviations from the target (usually 2%) and the output gap (difference between actual GDP and potential GDP). This helps the Fed set interest rates consistent with its goals of stable prices and maximum employment.
Balancing Inflation and Growth:
The rule suggests raising interest rates when inflation is above target or the economy is growing too rapidly (closing output gap), which can prevent overheating and inflationary pressures. Conversely, it recommends lowering rates when inflation is below target or growth is sluggish, supporting economic expansion.
Rule vs. Discretion:
While the Fed retains discretion, the Taylor Rule enhances transparency and predictability in policy decisions, providing a benchmark for evaluating whether current rates align with economic conditions.
Historical Relevance:
The Taylor Rule has been found to approximate the Fed’s policy stance over several decades and helps discipline monetary policy amid economic fluctuations.
Policy Communication:
It aids clear communication to markets and the public about the rationale behind rate moves, reducing uncertainty.
Summary
The DXY reflects the value of the US dollar versus a basket of six major currencies, with the euro composing about 57.6% of the index followed by the Japanese yen, British pound, Canadian dollar, Swedish krona, and Swiss franc.
The US 10-Year Treasury Yield (US10Y) is currently around 4.058% daily open 4.1375 daily close 4.058%, representing the yield investors receive on US government debt with a 10-year maturity. The yield level is a significant driver of financial markets and often correlates with the strength of the US dollar.
Relationship
Generally, a higher US10Y yield tends to support a stronger DXY because higher yields attract international capital, increasing demand for the US dollar.
Movements in DXY and US10Y can also be affected by geopolitical risks, monetary policy expectations, and macroeconomic data, leading to short-term deviations.
THE DXY AND US10Y ARE YOUR TRADING BAROMETER AS A TRADER.
WHEN DXY IS UP EURUSD,AUUSD,USDJPY,USDZAR,USDCAD,NZDUSD,GBPUSD,THEY GO DOWN BECAUSE OF INTERNAL CARRY TRADE ACTIVITIES, BOND YILED AND INTEREST RATE DIFFERENTIAL IN THE FX WINDOW.
WE NEED INSIGHT INTO THE BIS (BANK OF INTERNATIONAL SETTLEMENT TRANSACTION ACTIVITIES TOO.
FOREX IS EDUCATION 100%.
RISK MANAGEMNET
100% PROBABILITY BASED ON ECONOMIC DATA AND FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS.
#DXY #US10Y #DOLLAR #BOND #YIELD.
GOODLUCK
EURCAD +3% Trade Recap 10.10.25 In this recap I break down my EURCAD short position I took yesterday morning. I fully forecast this setup in the morning as per my forecast video, and then executed later that day. Manually closing for just under 3% profit at the intended target.
Full explanation as to why I executed on this position, using the 4H to my advantage but also understanding price was due a deeper pullback, but these pullbacks do not always happen.
Any questions you have just drop them below 👇
BITCOIN BTCUSDT The bitcoin daily loss is part of trading strategy, gains and losses is what comes with trading any instrument.
Macroeconomic Jitters Intensify Crypto Volatility as Global risk sentiment turned sharply negative after the U.S. announced new 100% tariffs on Chinese tech imports, reigniting fears of a prolonged trade conflict.
the current crypto downturn reflects a complex mix of macroeconomic headwinds, leveraged liquidations, and cooling sentiment after record-breaking highs.
key demand floors 107,829-107,500
key demand floor is 100,067 break and close sell into next demand structure.
key demand floor 98,849-98,733
key demand floor 94400-93760
#bitcoin #btc
XAUUSD🟡 XAUUSD Trade Breakdown — 1:6.83 Risk-to-Reward Setup
I took this Gold (XAUUSD) trade with an entry at $3,966, a stop loss at $3,947, and a take profit target at $4,098.
This setup offered a 6.83x risk-to-reward ratio, meaning my potential reward was nearly seven times greater than my risk.
The trade was based on clean price structure and momentum confirmation. After entry, price has already moved in favor and is now trading around $4,016, showing solid momentum toward my target.
Risk management was key here — a tight stop below structure, a well-defined entry zone, and a clear target aligned with higher timeframe resistance.
Whether this trade fully hits TP or not, it’s a great example of why strong risk/reward setups matter more than win rate.
📊 Trade Details:
Pair: XAUUSD (Gold)
Entry: $3,966
Stop Loss: $3,947
Take Profit: $4,098
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:6.83
Current Price: $4,016
💡 Lesson: Focus on setups that give you asymmetric risk — small loss potential, big reward potential.
Gold Trade Ideas🟢 Bullish Conclusion
✅ Buy above yesterday’s Point of Control (POC).
Bias turns constructive if price holds above Wednesday’s low and Asian session high, aligning all timeframes bullish.
Look for continuation toward 4030–4040 if value builds higher.
🔴 Bearish Conclusion
🚫 Sell below today’s Point of Control, only if price remains below Wednesday’s lows.
Ideal setup: a fake-out high of the London or Asian session (or both), followed by a breakdown through Wednesday’s low.
Sell from the closing price under those conditions — targeting rotation down toward last week’s highs as support.
SHORT TERM BULLISH WHIPSAW?Once again, the analysis played out perfectly. WATCH my previous video!! I called the move down on BTC, ETH and XRP. AND NOW! I am calling the long on ETH for a short term whipsaw move to the upside! High Risk High Reward!
In this video, I break down:
- The possibility of one last push up
- ETH structure showing clear signs of weakness HOWEVER a high risk long position which I have entered
- Total Market Cap forecast
- My XRP short still running — currently +200%
We could get that one more fake move to the upside, but overall, I’m preparing for what could be a major correction. Stay patient and don’t get trapped chasing green candles.
#Crypto #Bitcoin #BTC #ETH #XRP #CryptoMarketUpdate #ICTTrading #Altcoins #CryptoAnalysis #BitcoinCrash
Ethereum - This triangle decides everything!🪄Ethereum ( CRYPTO:ETHUSD ) still respects the triangle:
🔎Analysis summary:
As we are speaking, Ethereum is creating the fourth retest of the previous all time high. Since Ethereum has been trading in a bullish triangle pattern for the past four years, a bullish breakout remains likely. But short term volatility remains totally expected.
📝Levels to watch:
$4,000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Gold - Just buy the all time high!🔱Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) will rally even higher:
🔎Analysis summary:
Gold remains totally bullish. And after the recent all time high breakout rally of about +15%, traders are willing to accept much higher prices. Following the significant long term rising channel formation, Gold will rally another +25% before we will see a retracement.
📝Levels to watch:
$4.000, $4.500
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION