Are you still waiting for 50K? While this kind of forecast is completely unrealistic and out of range, it is ESPECIALLY so in light of the new SELL SIGNAL that has appeared off of the 24K resistance following Friday's NFP outcome. As I wrote in my previous analysis, when 5 waves can be clearly counted, the move has likely run out of steam. While this is still a...
A "Rule of the Majority" (RM) signal occurs when one of the three main U.S stock indices; S&P 500 (SPX), Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI), Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) makes a new high or low unaccompanied by the other two indices. The signals occur at major, intermediate and sometime short-term market turns. Because of the difused nature of stock market tops,...
This week things are very simple and the stakes are very high. In every significant timeframe, you can see how BTC is at a pivotal point but none other than the 1-week time frame gives us a better view. In this time frame alone you can see Bitcoin price having to overcome the 50MA (yellow wavy line), the 200MA (white wavy line), long-time support (thick straight...
Hello, guys🤪; I'm Pejman, and today we will change the regular TradingView to TradingView Disneyland🎡 . I want to tell the story of Snow White and the trader dwarfs. Once upon a time🌞, in the kingdom👑 of Stocktopia, there was a young princess👰♂️ named Snow White Charts. She was the heir to the realm of Stocktopia. Still, unlike her father, the King of...
On February 1st, the Federal Reserve (Fed) announced a widely-expected 25bps rate hike. This was the rallying cry for the current market rally to continue. Is this confidence warranted? An interesting note is that the FOMC meeting minutes and the associated press conference appeared contradictory in nature because there was not a straightforward hawkish or dovish...
At the moment there are a lot of internet "gurus" spouting nonsense. The guy in the picture is just one example. Over 500,000 subscribers being told that BITSTAMP:BTCUSD will be $50,000 in the next 3-4 months and to buy it up here after this rally. They are all telling you EXACTLY WHAT YOU WANT TO HEAR. When the price was $18,000 they were saying it was all...
Stocks in good times have a growth premium. In bad times the premium is crushed and the stock is priced more like a value stock. NASDAQ:TSLA
Summary: picking through the garbage to see if any value left for future. bankruptcy or big move in 5-10 years. Rolling short puts into stock for potential change based on new catalyst of joint venture. key concepts: Sizing- Having enough but not too much of an investment idea in a portfolio. Risk/reward- Assigning probabilities to various up and down scenarios....
Forward growth seems to be priced back into these hot high volume in the news stocks. Both Tesla and Facebook/meta have almost doubled in the last month. Dividend dow is not shunned and ignored as hot stocks are back in style. Fear in vix and junk bonds is low.
Some chart analysis on why I placed my trade in the E-mini S&P 500 today :)
CBOT: Treasury Yield Spread 10Y-2YY ( CBOT_MINI:10Y1! CBOT_MINI:2YY1! ), Micro Dow ( CBOT_MINI:MYM1! ), Micro S&P ( CME_MINI:MES1! ) On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve raises its benchmark Fed Funds rate by 25 basis points to a target range of 4.5%-4.75%. The move marked the eighth consecutive hikes that have began in March 2022. The overnight risk-free rate is...
For traders it's not about what the Fed does or is going to do, it's about how the market reacts to what the Fed does. Today the FOMC raised rates by .25 basis points and the markets took off. As of right now the bulls are in control, but for how much longer? In today's video I go over how I will determine a market top and ways to tell if this rally still has...
Why market is entering into short-term bullishness again and latter uncertainty or range? We will do both technical and fundamental analysis in this video tutorial, and we will see how both analyses can affirm each other. Content: . Why market is entering into a short-term bullishness? (Fundamental & Technical studies) . Subsequently the market will enter into...
Trading in the financial markets, whether it be forex or cryptocurrency, can be a thrilling yet challenging experience. It requires a level of strategy, discipline, and risk tolerance to make informed decisions and reap profits. But, as traders, we are often faced with fears that can cloud our judgment and hinder our success in the market. To help you overcome...
In my experience there are phases to creating a strategy. In this episode we will cover one of the most important steps: establishing an exit strategy. Exiting a position is crucial to risk management. If your entries are terrible but you have a good exit strategy, you might get by and not lose a lot of your capital. And vice-versa, if your entries are great, but...
Those who have been reading our past 2 ideas will know we’ve been harping on and on about expected rate path and policy timelines. Why the recent obsession you ask? Because we think we’re on the cusp of major turning points. So, for the third time, let’s look at the market’s expected policy rate path. With FOMC coming up this week, we are expecting a 25bps...
Key levels on the major currency pairs, gold and indices, as well as macro events to watch by our UK market analyst Fawad Razaqzada
A big breakout move in the stock market, is very near. The S+P 500 DAILY CHART shows the "indecision triangle" ( Shown here, along with RSI Indicator)" tightening" , preparing you in advance that it's coming. And it is backed up by the 50 and 200 Day Moving Average's on the S+P 500, "tightening" into a smaller and smaller" triangle price band"... as well. The...