USD FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK: BULLISH BASELINE The Fed is on a data-dependent (meeting-by-meeting) policy stance, meaning incoming growth, inflation and jobs data remains a key driver for short-term USD volatility where we expect a cyclical reaction for both the USD and US10Y (good data expected to be supportive for the USD and US yields while bad data is...
The rally off last week's CPI has lifted equities but cryptocurrencies still lag. This week we will talk about some of the positions I am in, some more info about the FTX collapse, and talk about viewer's ideas. Santa Claus rally SOON?
Hi all, hope you guys are doing well. In this post, we are going to see how we can combine different indicators/concepts to create confluence zones and find high-probability trades. Introduction A trade that has a greater chance of success than a regular trade is called a high-probability trade. Obviously, it's our assumption that some trades have higher...
We are used to the fact that the world's most prominent investors are known for their outstanding deals, returns and stability of results over a long time horizon. Yes, all this is certainly a sign of excellence, but no investor has gained his popularity through books. The books he wrote. This man created his writings back in the 1930s and 1940s, but they still...
Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators 📈📉 Losing $22 Billion in one day is probably a record for the books. Let's take a closer look at the Sam Bankman-Fried story... At 30, SBF is(was) the youngest billionaire in the US. In 5 years, he managed to start the fastest growing DEX (FTX), as well as Alameda Research. He is also well connected. VERY well connected,...
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In my opinion, the global energy crisis isn't over; hence there are many reasons why being bullish on oil makes sense, and in this idea, I will try to analyze most of them one by one. First of all situation between Russia-Ukraine doesn't look any good, and it also heavily affects Europe, which is essentially directly involved in this war. Currently, gas from...
👉Scheduled Streams: Monday - Friday 9:15 am EST (15 minutes before NYSE Open) and we go for about 45 min to a 1hr+ depending on the markets. 👉Stream Content: Price Action based TA, Key Level gain/loss, Swing Failure, and Liquidity Grab Patterns. Market
Bold question and should certainly raise some eyebrows but let's look at the complete picture. This chart displays Dow Jones (DJI) and the Federal Reserve Interest Rate (blue trend-line) on the 1M (monthly) time-frame. I will make it quick to save us time and then each person can individually make their own conclusions from the chart. The combination of the Fed...
Dear investors... The temperatures are falling and one of the hottest summers in the past years is coming to an end. We are entering the fall holidays in my country and i encourage everyone to take some time off the market - spend time with your loved ones instead. We have to be honest here, the past weeks were very challenging for our analysis and bitcoin...
👉Scheduled Streams: Monday - Friday 9:15 am EST (15 minutes before NYSE Open) and we go for about 45 min to a 1hr+ depending on the markets. 👉Stream Content: Price Action based TA, Key Level gain/loss, Swing Failure, and Liquidity Grab Patterns. Market
Throughout history, one can always look back and categorize a period of time such as "The Great War", "The Great Depression", "The Progressive Era", "The Gilded Age", etc. We humans do not think of the present in such terms because everything feels as it is. There is no cognitive thought that can pinpoint that we are in a historical period until we reach what is...
Bitcoin price action analysis, support / resistance levels and potential setups for the coming week. Question about a stock or alt coin? Just ask in the chat. Be objective. Be prepared. RISK first! HYPE FREE!
With the barrage of disappointing earnings and the FED rate hike scheduled for today, we have very little to be optimistic about for the rest of 2022. Our reasoning is based on the persistence of high inflation and interest rates poised to stay here for much longer than many analysts initially expected. Therefore, we believe it is a matter of time until something...
Two days ago, we projected the downward sloping channel on the daily chart of BTCUSD. Since then, the price broke to the upside and retraced back to the channel, increasing the upper bound's significance (and again validating the pattern). Meanwhile, the market sentiment started to turn bearish, with many market participants giving up on hopes of the FED's pivot....
Continuing the topic of spreads between related commodities, the Hard Red Winter Wheat – Soft Red Winter Wheat spread is another one trading at an extreme level now. A brief explanation on the different types of wheat we are referring to here: 1) The Hard Red Winter Wheat (HRW) is the most widely grown class of wheat. A high protein product, used for breads,...
CME: Micro E-Mini Nasdaq 100 ( CME_MINI:MNQ1! ) On August 17th, I published “Market Impacts of US Midterms Elections”. Thanks to your support, it made it to “Editors’ Picks” and was featured in TV Digest newsletter in an email themed “Midterms are Coming” to all subscribers. With the midterm elections coming to an end, it’s a good time to reassess the...
Solana is one of the best performers from the bull market, and was one of the few to actually achieve a 1000x increase. Multiple coins did this in 2017, but very few did this time around, most likely because leverage can now be used in the crypto market. Pumping altcoins by this much doesn't seem worth the risk anymore, considering they often just retrace most of...