As rates rise, TLT showing more and more weakness by the day and is testing critical support levels. While the month isn't over we have produced an aggressive crossover sell signal. If inflation expectations and rate rises / QT continue to come to fruition I would expect rates to continue to rise. Which is a bubble / stonk headwind.
Hi folks! See my linked posts for more information regarding the macro state - I am just mentioning the arguments in bulletts it here: - The Chinese property crisis in getting worse by the minute - although mainstream media does not care. - Margin Debt in U.S. accounts is almost 1 Trillion (apx. 4% of GDP !!!!) - Real income down over 2% so far in 2021 due to...
TBT trying to put a bottom in here with good volume support, a recent gap fill and potential selling climax However indicators not confirming a bottom/turn up yet. Further, chart dynamics predict more down as the larger Wave 2 wants to finishes lower. US will likely raise rates relatively soon and sometime later this year, with the rest of the world - just...
Go long TBT as a play on rising rates. It appears that the 10yr has formed a double bottom and is ready to reverse. The economy is strong and the recovery is going well. The Delta variant is currently peaking so things will only get better going forward. Technicals look good on the TBT chart and the fundamentals backing the thesis are solid. TBT is a good...
TBT broke out of a long bottoming base. Bullish set up based on technicals and fundamentals. Targets and levels on the chart. Trade safe.
Without too much noise, interest rates appear to be creeping up. In comparing with other trading instruments I watch, it appears to have the biggest potential for a move. As the rising rates indicate an increase in inflation, I've also had my eyes on a few commodities. Inflation has too long been downplayed but we all know the reality of inflation because we...
The cross is using the 20 and 50 exponential moving average . Every time the shorter exponential moving average crosses the longer one, this indicates a bearish signal. You can see the times this has worked in the past, in the same chart.
When the 20ema crosses below or above the 50ema, it has been an amazing signal in trend reversals. Creating the strategy on your own is very easy to build and follow. The inverse of the TLT is TBT; which could prove to be interesting if we continue to see interest rates tick higher. Important to note, that the Bull-cross has been much more indicative than the...
Entry $17.00 TP1: 33$. Multi-year Bullish Harmonic String. Supporting Mean Reversion Levels. Thanks for Pondering the Unknown with me, Glitch420
Hitting a bottom here. Weekly divergence, long term play Good luck!
Price support at a rising 4-week moving average often serves as a launching pad to higher prices.
Looks as if it could run to 30 to 34 just on a normal retracement
An inverted yield curve (2/10) is an indicator but the 'cause'. Yields were 6%/5%/4% last times they were inverted and not 1.5% :) If corps can't afford to pay 1.5%, there is nothing Fed can do to resolve that issue. Policy issues are the cause and the cure is fiscal and not monetary. GL Not a trading call, just sharing my view. Peace
EARNINGS ORCL (50/29) releases earnings on Wednesday after market close, so look to put on a play in the waning hours of Wednesday's New York session. Pictured here is a non-standard short strangle, with the short call side doubled up in order to compensate for greater than one dollar wide strikes: 1.30 credit, break evens at 48.70/58.15, and delta/theta of...