AT40 = 33.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (was as low 31.9%) AT200 = 47.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 14.0 (was as high as 15.8) Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary The S&P 500 is only 1.0% off its all-time high, yet extremes and critical tests of support abound. AT40 (T2108),...
AT40 = 38.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 51.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 12.1 Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary Looks like I had good reason to give a tepid endorsement to the upside potential for the stock market off the over-stretched conditions on display in AT40...
A Suspect Breakout for the S&P 500 AT40 = 52.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 56.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 11.8 Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary The stock market is not quite out the (short-term) woods yet. Last Wednesday I pointed out why the latest bearish...
Same as previous chart but long term weekly view
Of course, there are many levels to breach before this secular trend can be declared to have turned. Nothing conclusive therefore. To me however, the momentum appears to be positive. If indeed my analysis should come to pass as outlined, many a peripheral countries should find themselves gradually, though rather quickly, further up the proverbial creek.
Bond valuations being low means rates are high and thus stock become less attractive. simple economics. lets see if it recovers or the charts prove to be right (below declining MAs) and serious weakness is back in bonds.
Good day folks, A basic idea as usual. TLT have been oversold twice. Looks like it could bounce up, and maybe, fill the gap. There is also a big green candle that gives some support to this idea. Thank you,
Measured moved based on H&S break has this moving approximately 10%. We're currently looking at a retest of the break, but it's fading fast. When combined with the record net-short interest here, this could be a fast move, and could even invert the yield curve in one fell-swoop. If so, this would be reminiscent of the 2000 yield curve inversion, which happened...
Although not conclusive yet, this may indeed prove to be the end of this bull market...
The 30 year treasury yield has traded under 3.25% for almost 4 years now. The Fed continues to hike rates on a quarterly basis and Trump is unhappy about rising rates. Every day we hear how the economy is 'in great shape', and jobs data is 'as good as it gets'. More significantly what is pushing up rates are increased treasury issuance and the Fed's...
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We're back into the thick of earnings season again ... . NFLX (rank 64/implied 52) pops the top on Monday after market close, so you're going to want to slap anything you want to do on before session end to take maximum advantage of a volatility contraction play. Pictured here is a 20 delta iron condor in the weekly with a buying power effect of 6.59 per...
Fv target are marked seems likely target
$TLT #Bonds #bund #gild #treasuries These custom support resistance indicator lines show decent places to enter or exit. The Blue indicator line serves as a Bullish Trend setter. If your instrument closes above the Blue line, we think about going Long. If your instrument closes below the Red line, we think about Shorting. For Stocks, I prefer to use the...
TLT is bear flagging and hitting some key resistance.
$TLT (or futures) offer a good long entry here, with a relatively big risk/reward ratio if the trade pans out favorably. I'd say odds are 65% it does work, so definitely worth a try. With stocks and gold down for the day I'm inclined to get some exposure here to hedge my portfolio. Best of luck, Ivan Labrie.