EURUSD: Buying EUR, Selling USD at fresh demand level following bad forecast on unemployment claims for USD.
NZDCHF: Swiss Unemployment Rate Forecasted Bad. Buying NZD at fresh demand level.
The EUR German unemployment rate is set to be known in about half an hour. They forecast that it will be much lower, than the previous year. The EUR will strengthen, and the EURUSD, goes up
August 8, 2016 This is an abstract from my one of my blogs: www.lucky-index-trading.blogspot.com Compare this chart with my previous publication and comments So, from my experience, this is how it worked (and obviously I am merely stating a little portion of the big picture, but so far this "luckily" was enough to help predicting some moves based on...
EURUSD Unemployment rate 4.8%
The Risky BOJ front run trade using CPI inferences - I find it very interesting that the BOJ is releasing ALL of its key economic data (minus GDP) before making the easing decision, especially as we have already had CPI data this month so we will have an 2 CPI releases in one month which ive never seen happen before (CPI from JPY is usually due next week). -...
Predicting one more leg down to meet the bullish trend line depicted in the chart. NFP and Unemployment event risk might instigate this move.
$ Unemployment was soaring lower at 4.7% vs 4.9%, but markets went for the NFP print instead though - taking it as dovish for the $ pushing it lower. I think on the other hand this provides a great opp to sell the GBP or EUR topside Extremes at 1.451 and upwards as the fed considers unemployment as its target NOT NFP prints, i actually think this EMP report was...
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Detailed unemployment measures (part-time employment and long term unemployed) continue to trend down within their relevant descending ranges, however did not yet restore - unlike headline indicators (such as Non-Farm Payrolls and Unemployment Rate), confirming the Fed's words regarding still weak employment market. If the indicators stay within their relevant...
Jobless claims continue to trend down within relevant descending range. Currently reached a cyclical low, last seen in 2000 and 2006. Thus the short term unemployment indicator shows that on one hand, situation is improving, but on the other hand it will be difficult to trade lower - and a cyclical upturn in Jobless Claims could be in the cards.
This RSI-MA Model Predicts Unemployment Rate With Scary Accuracy! Although high unemployment usually occurs during economic recessions, it doesn't always mean that equity valuations would drop, nor does rising unemployment always mean recession. On the monthly chart of the official national unemployment rate: Unemployment Momentum Rising = MA6(RSI3) cross>50...
A lot of my radar today going around my trading portfolio including the EURUSD. After being stopped out for a loss on yesterday’s bullish Bat pattern, we re-did our IPDE process and started making predictions for our next opportunities. I still don’t see a structure level that I’m a fan of on this pair that is until/unless we get down to the 1.1000 area, but the...
Unemployment rate has declined below 6%, thus returning to levels usually associated with historical lows since 1970ies. 6% is an important number, as it is one of the targets of Federal Reserve’s dual mandate. 6% unemployment and 2% inflation are the numbers the FED is targeting to start unwinding monetary stimulus measures.
It's been a very slow week for me, but luckily Jason is picking up the slack. Going into Friday's Job Report I have no intention of entering any new positions aside from this potential bullish bat pattern on the Kiwi. NZDUSD is in a very interesting position as our HTF trend has bounced off previous structure resistance, yet our LTF trend has recently created a...
October was the ninth consecutive month where the headline payrolls figure came in above 200k, rendering this year’s January to October period the strongest in fifteen years. The US NAIRU may be 5.2% or it may be 5.7%. But wherever it lies, the actual unemployment rate is moving swiftly towards it. Friday’s Employment Situation Report showed that the US economy...
It's been a rough go around for pattern trades as of late (I'll talk more about that in my Weekend Review tonight www.youtube.com) But if the pattern is valid and meets you ROE's then you've got to pull the trigger. I'm still holding the 2nd half of my position on a EURUSD short from earlier in the week, but today we've got both a bullish gartley and a bearish...